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Minnesota is the favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to the Red Sox at +113. Sunday's matchup is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, and the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. 

First pitch for this one is set for 12:35 PM ET, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. Televising today's AL matchup is BSN. Nick Pivetta is set to start for the Red Sox, and the Twins are starting Pablo Lopez.<h3>MINNESOTA TWINS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -135This game will be played at Fenway Park at 12:35 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.<h3>HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS RED SOX:</h3><ul><li>We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul>It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Red Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.

David Festa got the start for the Twins, going just five innings while giving up one hit and one earned run. Scott Blewett came out of the bullpen for the win, and Griffin Jax got the save. Richard Fitts only went five innings for the Red Sox but didn't give up a run.

Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, Carlos Correa, and Matt Wallner each had two hits for the Twins. Buxton, Royce Lewis, and Wallner each homered. Jarren Duran had a two-hit game for Boston.<h3>Twins Records & Stats</h3>Minnesota is 81-73 overall this season, and they are eight games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins are 29-23 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 42-33 at home compared to 39-40 on the road.

As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 64-43 this season, and they are 17-30 when picked as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 26-19-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series.The Twins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 72-82 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 40-39, compared to 32-43 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 25-22, compared to 47-60 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they have been even better in their wins, with an average margin of +3.7 runs per game.Minnesota's games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Twins have hit the over in 77 of their 148 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 19 of 37 games, and the under has hit in the last two games.Pablo López has been pitching well for the Twins, coming into the game with a record of 15-8 and an ERA of 3.84. He has made 30 starts this year and has turned in 18 quality starts. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents have a batting average of .243 this year. In his last outing, López finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has done a better job of keeping the ball in the park on the road, with an ERA of 4.73 compared to 4.30 at home.
Over the past five games, Willi Castro has gone 5/17 with a home run and four runs scored. This comes after batting .250 overall this season with an OBP of .337. Castro is 3rd on the Twins in RBIs and has the 7th most home runs in the lineup. Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the top home run hitters for the Twins this season, with 22 and 20, respectively.

Currently, the Twins are 9th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in the league in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the MLB.<h3>Red Sox Records & Stats</h3>Boston is 76-78 overall and trails the Yankees by 14.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are 4th in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Rays for 3rd place. So far, they are 22-24 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Red Sox are 35-41 compared to 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 41-35 this year. They are 35-43 as the underdog and have dropped two straight series.At home, the Red Sox have a run line record of 28-48, while on the road, they are 44-34. Their overall run line record is 72-82. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.9, while in their losses, it is -3.8.The Boston Red Sox are at home against the Minnesota Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Boston's games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-71. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 9-12. The over has hit in 85.1% of their games this season, and the under has hit in their last three games.Sox starter Nick Pivetta finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. Most recently, he went 4 2/3 innings vs. the Rays, giving up four earned runs, six hits, and three homers. Against the Orioles on September 11th, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Pivetta has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 5-11 with a 4.37 ERA. Opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander this season. Pivetta has made 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.88 strikeouts per nine innings.Heading into today's game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are batting .252 as a team, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Boston has also been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as their average of 9 per game is the 26th best mark in the league. One of the Red Sox's biggest strengths has been their ability to hit home runs, as they are 8th in the league in homers and have the top team ISO in the league.

Over his last eight games, Trevor Story has gone 9/28 and has two homers. For the season, he is batting just .244. Rafael Devers and Tyler O'Neill have been the top power hitters for the Red Sox this season, with Devers leading the team with 83 RBIs and O'Neill's 31 homers is the top mark on the team and 11th best in the league. Devers is also 14th in the league in homers, with 28.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

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