At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-138) will host the Timberwolves (+114) in a Western Northwest division matchup. The over/under line for the game is 224.5.

Minnesota is currently 2nd in the Western Conference at 32-14, while Oklahoma City is 1st in the West with the same record.


The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, January 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-117 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will the Timberwolves Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Minnesota's O/U record for the season is 23-23, and the under has hit in their last three games. Today's O/U line is set at 224.5, and their games have averaged 220.7 points per game.

The Timberwolves are 4-5 straight-up as the underdog this season, and they have gone 5-4 ATS in those games. As the underdog, they have lost their last two games vs. the spread.

On the road, Minnesota is 11-13 ATS this season and 15-10 straight-up. In their games vs. the spread, they have an average scoring margin of +2.6 PPG.

Minnesota's last game finished with a 113-112 loss to the Spurs. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and the Timberwolves were favored by 10.5 points going into the game.

In the Western Conference standings, the Timberwolves are currently in 2nd place with a record of 32-14. In non-conference games, they are 11-6 compared to 21-8 against Western Conference opponents.

Heading into tonight's game, the Timberwolves are 22nd in the league in scoring at 113.1 points per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 113.4 points compared to 112.7 at home.

So far this season, Minnesota has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.5% of their games. In terms of pace, the Timberwolves are 25th in the league at 97.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 39% of their attempts from beyond the arc (2nd).

In the current season, the Timberwolves defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the NBA by allowing 107.6 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Spurs, the Timberwolves' defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 57% leading to 113 points.

Pressure Builds for Oklahoma City as Home Favorites

Today, the Thunder are 2.5-point favorites at home against the Timberwolves. If the Thunder cover the spread, it will be their 21st ATS win at home and 32nd overall.

Oklahoma City's O/U record for the season is 25-21, and the under has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 234.2 points per game compared to today's line of 224.5.

In their most recent game, the Thunder lost to the Pistons by a score of 120-104. They were favored by 12.5 points going into the game, and the O/U line was 237.

Despite the loss, the Thunder still hold the top spot in the Western Conference with a record of 32-14. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 20-10 and 9-2 against teams in the Northwest Division.

Overall, the Thunder have an ATS record of 31-15, which ranks 13th in the NBA. At home, they are 16-6 ATS compared to 15-9 on the road.

At home, the Thunder have been one of the NBA's top offensive teams, ranking 3rd in scoring at 123.9 points per game. Overall, they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 121.2 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 12th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 50%.

Oklahoma City has been one of the NBA's best three-point shooting teams, ranking 3rd in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. However, they are just 17th in three-point attempts at 33.3 per game.

Currently, the Thunder's defense holds the 13th rank in the NBA, allowing 113.0 points per game. So far this season, the Thunder's defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 11th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 24.8 times per game vs. Oklahoma City.