Don't miss out on the NBA showdown between the Timberwolves and Rockets. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on Spac, and it's hosted by the Rockets at Toyota Center in Houston, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The Timberwolves are the favorites in this Western conference matchup the against the Rockets. The over/under for the game is set at 219 points.


The Pick: Houston Rockets +3.5

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, January 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-114 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with Jalen Green points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.6% and knocking down 11 threes.

Is a Win at Houston Possible for the Timberwolves?

As the Timberwolves get ready to take on the Rockets, they are on a bit of a slide, losing two straight games. Despite this, they are still in 1st place in the Western Conference at 24-9. When playing on the road, Minnesota has gone 10-7 this season.

If they are able to pull out a win today, the Timberwolves will also need to cover the spread as 3.5-point favorites. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +.6 points per game on the road. As the favorite, they have gone 20-5 this season.

Minnesota's ATS record of 15-17 includes an ATS losing streak of five games on the road. Their average ATS differential for the season is -3.1 points per game on the road. The over/under record in their games is currently 18-15, and the under has been the result in each of their last three games.

So far, 26 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's line of 219. The Timberwolves have gone 4-3 in their previous games with higher over/under lines than 219, giving them an over/under record for the season of 18-15.

In their most recent game, the Timberwolves scored 106 points against the Pelicans. They shot 45.1% from the field and hit 10 three-pointers. Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves in scoring with 35 points while Karl-Anthony Towns added 22 points.

The Timberwolves' defense is presently ranked 1st in the league, allowing an average of 107.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.5 per game, which is 26th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 6th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.

Will Houston Pull Through as the Underdog Home Team?

As the Rockets get ready to host the Timberwolves, they are the 3.5-point underdogs at home. If they are able to cover, it will snap their two-game losing streak as the underdog. Overall, Houston has gone 8-13 as the underdog this season.

When looking at the Western Conference standings, the Rockets are in 8th place and sit 3rd in the Southwest. Against other teams in the West, Houston is 14-9 compared to just 3-6 in non-conference matchups.

Through 32 games, the Rockets have an average scoring margin of +9.5 at home this season. Their straight-up home record is 14-5, and they have also put together two straight home wins.

So far, Houston has an over/under record of 13-19 with their games averaging 222.6 points. Today's line of 219 is slightly below their average over/under line of 222.1. In their previous games with lower over/under lines than 219, their OU record is 4-5.

In their most recent game, the Rockets scored 112 points, which is similar to their season average of 113 points per game. Alperen Sengün leads the team with 21.5 points per game, while Jalen Green is averaging 17.4 points per game.

This season, the Rockets' defense is the 2nd ranked defense in the NBA at 2nd PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games. Inside the arc, the Rockets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.3% and 32.4% from three-point territory.