Today's NL matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets is set to begin at 1:10 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. The Brewers are currently listed as the underdog with a money line payout of -108, while the Mets are favored with a payout of -112.

The over/under line for the game is currently set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -111 and the under at -110. On the mound for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while the Mets will counter with Jose Quintana.

NEW YORK METS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -112

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, March 28th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS METS:

  • We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Brewers Records & Stats

Despite finishing with the best record in the National League Central, the Brewers were unable to advance past the Wild Card round, losing to the Diamondbacks. Milwaukee's overall record last season was 92-70.

Today, the Brewers are favored on the money line at -108. Last year's team went 53-37 when favored and 39-33 as the underdog. On the road, Milwaukee was 27-23 as the underdog and 16-15 as the favorite.

On the road last season, the Brewers had a run line record of 44-37, averaging a run margin of +0.3 runs per game. For the season, their run line record was 79-83, with a run margin of +0.5 runs per game. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.7 runs per game compared to -2.5 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line.

When looking at the Brewers' over/under record from last season, they finished 72-85, and their average over/under line was 8.6 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 11-6. Last season, 85.2% of their games had higher O/U lines than today's 7.5, and their games averaged a combined 8.5 runs per game. In their games last year, 54.9% of them finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 30 starts, Freddy Peralta will take the mound for the Brewers against the Mets. Last year, Peralta went 12-10 with an ERA of 3.86. His WHIP was 1.12, and he finished the year with 16 quality starts. In terms of batting average allowed, Peralta held opponents to a .210 mark, while his OBP allowed was .277. For the season, he gave up 26 home runs and averaged 11.41 strikeouts per nine innings.

Despite finishing 16th in runs per game last season, the Brewers struggled to hit for power, ranking just 21st in home runs. Overall, Milwaukee's offense was 16th in batting average and 16th in strikeouts. On the road, the Brewers hit just .230 compared to .240 at home, and their road slugging percentage of .357 was 29th in the league.

The Brewers will be looking for big seasons from Willy Adames and Christian Yelich. Adames hit 24 home runs and drove in 80 runs last year while Yelich batted .278 and hit 19 home runs. William Contreras led the team in hits last year and batted .289. He hit 17 home runs and drove in 78 runs. Gary Sánchez was added to the team this offseason after hitting 19 home runs and batting .217 for the Padres last year.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets missed out on the playoffs last season, finishing with an overall record of 75-87. In the National League, they were in 12th place and 4th in the NL East. Against their division, the Mets went 25-27.

At home, the Mets were 43-38 compared to 32-49 on the road. In series play, the Mets went 19-27-5 overall. At home, they were 13-11-1 in series play, while on the road, they went 6-16-4.

Today, the Mets are the underdog against the Brewers, and last season, they went 24-46 as the underdog. As the home underdog, the Mets were 13-13 last season.

At home last season, the Mets had a run line record of 39-42, compared to 33-48 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home was +0.1 runs per game, compared to -0.3 runs per game on the road. Overall, they were the underdog in 43.2% of their games, going 38-32 vs. the run line in those contests.

When looking at the Mets' over/under record from last season, they finished with a record of 67-85. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.8 runs, and 87.0% of their games had higher O/U lines than today's line of 7.5 runs. Last season, their games averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game, and in games with an O/U line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 8-8. Overall, 53.1% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 13 starts, Jose Quintana had an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.31. He finished the year with a record of 3-6 and gave up a total of five home runs. Quintana's FIP for the season was 3.52, and he averaged 7.14 strikeouts per nine innings. He also averaged 1.8 walks per game and had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.5.

Last season, the Mets were 19th in runs per game at 4.4 runs per contest. On the road, they averaged 4.5 runs per game, which was 17th in the league. For the season, they were 9th in home runs with 215. At home, their batting average was just .229, which was 27th in the league.

The Mets are returning their top two home run hitters from last season, Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Alonso hit 46 home runs and drove in 118 runs. Lindor finished the season with 31 home runs and 98 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo led the team in hits last season and finished the year with a batting average of .274. The team's top off-season addition was J.D. Martinez, who hit 33 home runs and drove in 103 runs for the Dodgers last season.