Betting on today's Blue Raiders and Flames game? Catch the action at Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA, as the Flames hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 130 points, and Liberty is favored by -11.5 vs. Middle Tennessee in a Conference USA conference matchup.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +11.5

This game will be played at Liberty Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flames.
  • Even though we have Liberty winning straight-up, we like Middle Tennessee at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Blue Raiders Chances on the Road

Despite being 0-8 on the road this season, Middle Tennessee State has been the underdog in all nine of its games away from home. The Blue Raiders' average scoring margin on the road is -19.2 points per game.

Overall, Middle Tennessee State is 8-14 this season, including a 2-5 record in Conference USA action. The Blue Raiders are coming off an 88-65 loss to Western Kentucky, and they are 0-10 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has struggled against the spread this season, going 0-9. Their overall ATS mark is just 5-15, and they are 0-8 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Raiders have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 130 for Middle Tennessee's game against Liberty is slightly lower than their average over/under line of 134.2 this season. So far, 14 of their games have had higher OU lines than 130. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, and their over/under record in their last five games is 4-0-1.

The Middle Tennessee offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 65 points versus Western Kentucky. During the game, they attempted 42 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 33.3%. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Jordan with 22 points. Jestin Porter also added 18 points for the Blue Raiders.

The Blue Raiders' defense is presently ranked 65th nationally, allowing an average of 67.3 points per contest. So far, the Middle Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14 times per game (691st).

Will Liberty Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Liberty comes into this game with a 14-9 overall record and a 3-4 mark in Conference USA. They have been much better at home this season, going 9-4 compared to 2-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +7.9 points per game.

As the favorite, the Flames have gone 11-5 in 16 games this season. They are currently on a two-game winning streak after beating UTEP 67-65 in their last game. Over their last 10 home games, Liberty has gone 6-4.

As the favorite, Liberty's ATS record this season is 9-7, but their ATS mark as the favorite over their last 10 games is just 3-7. At home, the Flames are 8-5 vs. the spread this year, but they have gone just 3-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Today's over/under line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in Liberty's games this season (137.9). Currently, their over/under record is 9-9-1. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today's line of 130. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

The Liberty offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against UTEP. They posted a field goal percentage of 48% and connected on 8 threes. Kyle Rode is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 13.2 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Kaden Metheny brings a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

So far this season, the Liberty defense has been performing well, ranking 28th in the country at 64.5 points allowed per contest. In today's game vs. Middle Tennessee, the Liberty defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Liberty made 15 free-throws vs. the Flames.