Planning on watching today's Spartans and Fighting Illini game? Catch the action at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL, as the Fighting Illini hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on FS1. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 149.5 points, and the Fighting Illini are favored to win at home against the Spartans.


The Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini -4

This game will be played at State Farm Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Not only will Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is a Win at Champaign Possible for the Spartans?

Michigan State will look to snap a two-game road losing streak when they take on Illinois. The Spartans have gone just 3-7 on the road this season, and they are 1-2 as the underdog. Their overall record is 9-6, and they are 1-3 in Big Ten play.

So far, Michigan State has been the underdog in three of their 15 games, and they have gone 1-2 in those matchups. They come into this game off an 88-74 loss to Northwestern, and they are 0-3 in their last three road games.

Michigan State has an overall ATS record of 8-7 this season, but they have struggled vs. the spread on the road, going 0-2. In their last 3 road games, the Spartans are 0-3 vs. the spread and over their last 10 road games, they are just 3-7. As the underdog, Michigan State is 1-2 vs. the spread this year and they have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan State games is 8-7. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 143.9 points. Today's over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (142.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 158 points.

The Spartans' offense wrapped up their last game with 74 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 78 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Tyson Walker, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 20.6, while A.J Hoggard also maintains a PPG average of 11.3 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Spartans' defense holds the 59th rank in the nation, allowing 65.9 points per game. In their most recent game, the Michigan State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Northwestern knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 88 points.

Does Illinois Stand a Chance at Home?

Illinois enters this game with an overall record of 11-3, including a 2-1 mark in Big Ten play. The Fighting Illini are 9-1 at home this season, and they have won their last seven games at home.

Coming off a loss to Purdue, Illinois will look to get back on track. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

When looking at Illinois' ATS record this season, they are currently 8-4-2. At home, their ATS mark is 5-4-1. Over their last three home games, the Fighting Illini have gone 2-0-1 vs. the spread.

Illinois' over/under record for the season sits at 8-6 and today's line of 149.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (146.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

In their latest game, Illinois offense put up 78 points against Purdue. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.6% and made 8 threes. The Illinois offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.6 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

At present, the Fighting Illini's defense is nationally ranked 76th, allowing 66.8 points per game. The Illinois defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 83 points and allowed Purdue to connect on 9 threes.