Betting on today's RedHawks and Panthers game? Catch the action at GSU Convocation Center in Atlanta, GA, as the Panthers hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and Georgia State is favored by -5 vs. Miami (OH).

MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS VS GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks +5

This game will be played at GSU Convocation Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-72 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Even though we have Georgia State winning straight-up, we like Miami (OH) at +5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Despite being the underdog, Miami (OH) has been much better on the road this season compared to at home. So far, the RedHawks are 4-8 on the road compared to 5-4 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.5, while it is +3.7 at home.

Over their last 10 road games, Miami (OH) has gone 4-6. In their most recent game, they lost to Northern Illinois by a score of 62-59.

As the underdog this season, Miami (OH) has a solid ATS record of 9-5 and they are 12-9 overall vs. the spread. On the road, the RedHawks are 7-5 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games.

Today's over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Miami (OH)'s games this season (144.1). The over/under record for the RedHawks this season is 10-10-1, and their games have finished with more points than today's line in 12 of their games. Over their last three games, the OU record is 0-3.

Against Northern Illinois, the Miami (OH) had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72.9 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 35.2% in the game. On the offensive front, the RedHawks have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 143rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 57th in terms of percentage and 132nd in three-pointers made.

In terms of defense, Miami (OH) is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Miami (OH)'s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.4% this season.

Pressure Builds for Georgia State as Home Favorites

Georgia State has been much better at home this season, going 4-3 compared to 4-10 on the road. They are coming off a 78-69 win over Louisiana-Lafayette and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

So far this season, Georgia State has been the favorite 10 times, going 6-4 in those games. For the season, they are 10-13 overall and 5-7 in Sun Belt Conference games. Today, they are favored by 5 points.

Georgia State's ATS mark for the year is just below .500 at 9-11-1. At home, the Panthers are 3-3-1 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Georgia State is 5-4-1 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Georgia State's games this season (149). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Georgia State offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against Louisiana-Lafayette. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.6%, and they made 4 threes. Lucas Taylor is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.5 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Toneari Lane brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.

Coming into today's game, the Georgia State defense is giving up an average of 75.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Georgia State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 26.8% this season.