Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Ball State Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 11/5/24

ESPN will be covering the week 11 matchup between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the Ball State Cardinals, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie. Miami (OH) enters the game with a 4-4 record, while Ball State is 3-5 on the season. The over/under line is currently set at 48 points, with Miami (OH) as the heavy favorite at -12 points.
MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS VS BALL STATE CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks -12
This game will be played at Scheumann Stadium at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 5th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS:
- We have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning this one by a score of 33 to 19
- Not only do we have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -12
- Look for this game to go over the line of 48 points
Will The Miami (OH) RedHawks Win As Road Favorites?
Miami (OH) enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, facing Ball State on the road. They are 1-3 away and 2-1 at home this season. The RedHawks have a 96.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 32.5% chance of winning the Mid-American, according to projections.
Miami (OH) has a +2.9 average scoring margin and a 4-3 record against the spread. They are 3-0 ATS as favorites and 2-2 on the road. At home, they are 2-1 ATS, going 2-0 as favorites.
Their over/under record is 4-3, with an average line of 44.7 points. This week’s line is set at 48 points, and their games have averaged 42.6 points per contest.
Miami (OH) enters week 11 averaging 22.8 points per game, ranking 79th nationally. They are 86th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1,727 yards, completing 58.9% of his passes, with 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Miami is 60th in passing attempts, averaging 30.1 per game, and 77th in passing yards, with 227.5 per game.
On the ground, Miami averages 128.4 rushing yards per game. Keyon Mozee leads the team with 545 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but has only 2 touchdowns. Cade McDonald has 507 receiving yards on 38 catches, with 2 touchdowns. Miami ranks 108th in third-down conversions, converting just 32.6% of their attempts.
Miami (OH)’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 19.9 points per game. They’ve given up 183.4 passing yards per game, which is 33rd fewest in the country, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 70.8 against them, the 22nd lowest in college football.
In their recent game against Central Michigan, Miami’s defense gave up just 7 points and 168 total yards. They allowed 106 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 62 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Are The Ball State Cardinals Going Win In At Upset At Scheumann Stadium
Ball State enters Week 11 against Miami (OH) with a 3-5 record and a 124th-place ranking in our CFB power rankings. They have only a 3.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Cardinals are 1-1, while they’ve gone 1-4 on the road this season.
Ball State is 4-3 against the spread, going 2-0 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game, with an average scoring margin of -15.2 points per game. As underdogs, they are 4-2 ATS.
Their over/under record stands at 6-1, with games averaging 65.5 points. This week’s line is set at 48, compared to their average over/under line of 54.7 points this season.
Ball State’s passing game has been the focal point of their offense, ranking 29th in completions and 37th in attempts heading into week 11. They are averaging 223.1 passing yards per game, and their quarterback, Kadin Semonza, has thrown for 1,749 yards with 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Semonza’s passer rating is 91, but he has completed 66.1% of his passes.
Overall, Ball State is 69th in scoring, averaging 25.1 points per game, and we have them ranked 94th in our offensive power rankings. On third downs, they convert 41.5% of their attempts. The Cardinals’ ground game has struggled, averaging 114.2 rushing yards per game. Braedon Sloan leads the team with 501 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns.
Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 40.4 points per game. They have given up 301 passing yards per game, ranking 172nd nationally, and 179.2 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 116.5 passer rating and a 66% completion rate against Ball State’s defense.
In their recent game against Northern Illinois, Ball State allowed 23 points and 374 total yards. Northern Illinois ran the ball 24 times for 142 yards and completed 25 of 43 passes for 232 yards. Ball State’s defense did manage to force two interceptions in the game.