Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24
From Citi Field in New York, the Marlins and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. First pitch on Friday is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. BSFL is carrying this one on TV.
New York is the heavy favorite on the money line, with odds of -230, while the Marlins are sitting at +191. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and Sean Manaea will be starting for the Mets, while the Marlins are going with Roddery Munoz. Miami is currently 5th in the NL East, and the Mets are 3rd, while their overall record is 45-76, compared to the Mets at 62-59.
MIAMI MARLINS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +191
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, August 16th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS METS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 9-5 loss to the Phillies, Jonah Bride went 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs. The Marlins also had three other players with two hits. However, they scored just three runs and all of them came in the 1st inning.
Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Marlins had 11 hits but only scored five runs. They also wasted a big game from Bride, who homered in the 1st inning.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 26 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, they are 45-76 and have gone just 12-24 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are coming off a series split vs. the Phillies and are 4-6 across their last ten games.
At home, the Marlins are 24-39 compared to 21-37 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As for their record as the underdog, they are 41-63 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 10-22-6, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 55-49 ATS in that role, compared to just 2-15 ATS as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 57-64, and they have been a .500 team on the run line when on the road, going 29-29.
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the New York Mets today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 67-51. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-18. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.5% of their games.
Miami is sending Roddery Muñoz to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-6 and ERA of 5.67. Muñoz has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .241 this season. In his 14 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 7.47 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s last outing came vs. the Padres, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Over his last six games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 11/24 with four homers and 10 runs scored. For the season, he is batting .253 and leads the team with 54 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 15 homers and 48 RBIs this season.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. This hasn’t been much better at home, where they are averaging 4.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting a combined .238 and have the league’s 23rd ranked home run total.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with a 7-6 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -193 going into the game but fell behind early, as the Athletics scored four times in the 4th.
Offensively, the Mets scored their six runs on nine hits and two home runs. Mark Vientos went 2/5 with two homers and three RBIs. The Mets also had a four-run 2nd inning. Jose Iglesias was the only other Mets hitter with more than one hit, going 2/4.
New York is two games above .500 at 62-59, and they are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets are 3rd in the division and trail the Braves by two games for the 2nd spot in the NL East. So far, they are 20-16 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 31-31 this season and 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, New York has gone 39-33 and 23-26 as the underdog. They will be the home favorite today vs. the Marlins. The Mets are looking to get back on track, as they dropped two of three in their series vs. the Athletics.
When betting on the Mets, the run line has been a coin flip this season, as they are 57-64 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 31-28, compared to 26-36 at home. The Mets have been the favorite in 72 games and the underdog in 49 games. Their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game.
With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the New York Mets have been involved in games with an average of 9.4 runs per game this season. The Mets have played 31 games with a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 62-55. Currently, the Mets are on a four-game over streak.
Sean Manaea will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners, as he gets the start for the Mets today. In that August 10th start, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, picking up the win in two straight starts and not allowing a run in either outing. Manaea’s ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a record of 8-5. Out of his 23 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.15 strikeouts per nine innings.
Francisco Lindor has been on fire for the Mets of late, going 14/35 in his last eight games with one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .263 with 23 homers and 69 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/32 in his last eight games with three homers and nine RBIs. Alonso’s 26 homers this season is the best mark on the team and 10th best in the league.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 6th ranked home run hitting team in the league and have the 8th best OPS in the league.