Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24
This article was published on Aug 16, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Corbin Burnes and the Orioles will host the Red Sox tonight at 7:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -216. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 63-57 and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Boston’s money line odds are sitting at +180, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs.
Cooper Criswell is slated to start for the Red Sox, and he will be facing an Orioles team that is 72-50 and is currently on a two-game winning streak. Burnes has been excellent this season, as he is 6-3 with a 3.05 ERA.
BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +180
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, August 16th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Baltimore cruised to a 5-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -150 on the money line.
Zach Eflin pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Cole Sulser got the win out of the bullpen. Nick Pivetta had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss.
At the plate, the Orioles were led by Gunnar Henderson, who went 2/4 with a home run. Cedric Mullins and Colton Cowser each had two hits and an RBI. Wilyer Abreu had a two-hit game for the Red Sox.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 63-57 overall and trails the Orioles by eight games in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Orioles heading into today’s game. So far, they have gone just 14-14 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Red Sox are 29-32 this year, and they have gone 34-25 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox have posted a record of 20-20 this year. Boston’s overall series record is 20-13-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.
The Red Sox have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 55-65 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 33-26. They have been an underdog in more games than they have been a favorite, and they have been a better bet when getting the runs. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while it is -4.1 in losing games.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 9.7 runs per game. Overall, Boston’s over/under record is 63-50, and their games have averaged a total of 9 runs per game, slightly higher than today’s line of 8.5 runs.
Cooper Criswell is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. This year, he has made 13 starts and one of them was a quality start. Criswell’s record for the season is 4-4, and his ERA is 4.02. Looking back at his last outing, Criswell came out of the bullpen and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went two-thirds of an inning, giving up two earned runs on three hits. Criswell has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.03 strikeouts and just 2.13 walks.
So far this season, the Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 4th in runs per game (5) and are batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have also been one of the best power-hitting teams in the league, as they are 7th in home runs and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league. One of the most impressive things about their lineup is that they are the best in the league in terms of batting average on balls in play.
Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have been two of the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 25 homers and 72 RBIs, while Duran has gone deep 14 times and is 2nd on the team with 58 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Ceddanne Rafaela has gone 10/26 (.385), but he has yet to homer in that stretch.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles host the Red Sox today with an overall record of 72-50, and they are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has gone 27-13 against other teams in the AL East this year. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 60-39, and they are 33-23 when favored at home. As the underdog, Baltimore has gone 12-11 this year. The Orioles’ overall series record is 22-11-5, and they are winning their current series vs. the Red Sox.
The Orioles are 31-31 vs. the run line at home this season, but they have covered in two straight games at Camden Yards. Baltimore’s average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 67-55 overall. They are 36-24 vs. the run line on the road, where their average run margin is +1.0 runs per game.
The Orioles have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 67-45, and they have played in 37 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record in those games is 19-15. The O/U line for today’s game against the Red Sox is set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Burnes has been especially tough at home, coming in with a 2.15 ERA compared to 3.43 on the road.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league and are also the top team in terms of isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Baltimore is also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS. The Orioles have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game.
Anthony Santander is the league’s 3rd leading home run hitter and has driven in 80 runs this season, which is 12th in the league. However, he has hit just .143 over his last six games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/25 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .289 with 31 homers.
