The Mets are the heavy favorite heading into Wednesday's matchup vs. the Marlins, with their money line odds sitting at -151 compared to the Marlins at +128. This one is being played at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

Miami will be starting Braxton Garrett, while the Mets are sending David Peterson to the mound. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-43, while the Mets are 4th at 28-37. BSFL will be televising this NL East matchup.

NEW YORK METS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -151

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, June 12th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS METS:

  • We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs Mets series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 4-2 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +131 on the money line.

Jesús Luzardo started for the Marlins, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as Tanner Scott got the save. Tylor Megill had a good outing for the Mets, giving up two earned runs across 4 2/3 innings of work.

Tim Anderson was the only Marlins hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/4 with an RBI. Starling Marte and Mark Vientos each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 23 games. Overall, the Marlins are 23-43 and have gone just 5-12 in divisional matchups this year. The Marlins took the series opener vs. the Mets, and their overall series record is 5-15-1 this year.

At home, the Marlins are just 12-25 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 11-18. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 20-31 this year.

The Marlins have been a solid bet on the run line on the road this season, going 16-13. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run differential of -0.8 runs per game away from home.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the New York Mets in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-30. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 10-5. So far this season, 69.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Braxton Garrett and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Mets, and Garrett has had a couple of solid outings to start the year. He picked up a win in his first start of the season, going 5 innings and striking out 6. In his last start, he took the loss vs. the Rays, giving up 5 runs in just 2 2/3 innings.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They have been a little better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233 and have the league's worst isolated power figure. Miami's offense has been led by Bryan De La Cruz, who is hitting .249 for the season and has gone 8/31 in his last eight games, including two homers.

Josh Bell and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 31, and have seven and nine homers, respectively. Bell has gone 10/34 in his last nine games, with one homer. Otto Lopez comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 17.5 games. Overall, the Mets are 28-37, and they are 9-10 in divisional matchups. New York is looking to bounce back in today's game, as they lost the series opener vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Mets are 13-23 this season and 15-14 on the road. So far, they are just below .500 as the underdog, putting together a 13-20 mark. As the favorite, the Mets are 15-17 this season, and they are 10-13 when favored at home. New York's overall series record is 8-12-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line with the Mets, it's been more profitable to take them on the road compared to at home. The Mets are 18-11 against the run line on the road, compared to 11-25 at home. The Mets have been an underdog in 33 games this season, and they've covered the run line in 18 of those games. The Mets have a run differential of -0.5 runs per game this season.

When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs, but their over/under record is 33-30 on the season. Their games have gone under the 7.5 run line in eight of 18 games, and they are currently on a three-game under streak.

David Peterson will be making his second start of the season for the Mets, coming off a win in his first outing. He went 6 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 2 walks. He struck out 5 in that game.

Heading into today's game, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been a much better offense on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. New York has been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, and they are batting a collective .240, which is 11th in the MLB.

Over the past six games, Luis Torrens has gone 5/16 with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him put together a three-game hitting streak. Starling Marte is also on a four-game hitting streak and comes into the game batting .284 with six homers. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 32, and Alonso's 14 homers are 8th best in the league.