Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 7/13/24
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with the Marlins as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -158 compared to the Marlins at +134. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Reds will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive. Miami has lost four straight and is 5th in the NL East.
First pitch from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is set for 4:10 PM ET, and BSFL will be televising this NL matchup. Saturday’s forecast in Cincinnati calls for light rain and temperatures in the low 80s. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, while the Reds are going with Andrew Abbott.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -158
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 13th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 7-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Marlins, they scored three of their four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -175 on the money line.
Carson Spiers got the win for the Reds, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. Yonny Chirinos had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Jeimer Candelario and Rece Hinds, as they were the only two Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Candelario, Jonathan India, and Elly De La Cruz each had two RBIs for Cincinnati’s offense.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 32-62 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 29 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped four straight games, and they are 2-8 across their last 10. So far, they are just 7-19 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Marlins are just 18-31 and 14-31 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 28-49 this year, and they are just 4-13 when favored. The Marlins have an overall series record of 8-20-2 this year.
Miami is 41-53 on the run line this season, including 22-23 on the road. The Marlins are 2-15 vs. the run line as favorites and have failed to cover in their last three games. Miami’s average run differential is -1.6 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 1.4 runs per game on the road.
Despite the fact that the Miami Marlins have played in 85.1% of games with over/under lines set at less than 9 runs, the over has hit in three straight games. The over/under record for the Marlins is 50-42 on the season, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. Today’s line is set at 9 runs, which is just the fourth time this season that the line has been set at 9 or higher.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes in with a record of 1-2 and ERA of 6.84. So far, he has made six starts and has one quality start to his credit. Cabrera’s ERA on the road is 11.7, and he has a record of 1-1 away from home. The right-hander most recently faced the White Sox, where he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and one homer. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cabrera has given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the 29th in the majors. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only three runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been especially weak in the power department, as their team ISO of .120 is the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 15th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 16 homers are the best on the team and 12th in the league. He also leads the team with 44 RBIs. De La Cruz is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat, with 12 homers and 42 RBIs, but he is just 3/24 in his last six games.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 46-49 overall and trail the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. The Reds are 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central this year. Cincinnati has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Reds are 24-27 this season and an even 22-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 24-19 this year and 22-30 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 10-17-3, and they are currently up 1-0 in the series vs. the Marlins.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 52-43 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 30-14. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 as the favorite in those games. Overall, they are 20-23 against the run line as the favorite and 32-20 against the run line as the underdog.
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Miami Marlins in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Reds have an over/under record of 42-49 on the season and have gone over the total in four straight games. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and when the over/under line is set at 9 runs, they have a record of 2-15-3.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.06 ERA. Out of his 18 starts, Abbott has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.17 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Abbott was dominant, going seven innings and not allowing a run. He gave up just three hits in that outing. Abbott has won each of his last three starts. The last time he lost was on June 16th.
Elly De La Cruz has been a key run producer for the Reds this season, as his 40 RBIs are 3rd on the team and he is also tied for the team lead with 15 homers. De La Cruz is batting .255 for the season and has gone deep in four straight games. Spencer Steer has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/38 in his last 10 games with four homers and eight RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .231 and are 23rd in strikeouts. However, they have been pretty good at drawing walks this season and are 12th in on-base percentage.