Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/13/24
There appears to be a chance for light rain in Boston on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 74 degrees. Seth Lugo will start for the Royals, as they look to extend their four-game winning streak. The Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford, and they are 51-42 overall.
Boston is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131 compared to the Royals at +111. Today’s over/under line is 9 runs, and NESN will be televising this AL matchup. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 4:10 PM ET.
BOSTON RED SOX VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -131
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 13th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a two-home run performance from MJ Melendez, the Royals cruised to a 6-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -113 on the money line.
Melendez wasn’t the only Royals hitter to have a good game, as both Bobby Witt Jr. and Adam Frazier each had two hits and scored two runs. Salvador Perez also drove in two runs while going 1/3.
Kansas City got to Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell, who gave up two homers and six runs in just six innings of work. As for the Royals, Cole Ragans put together a good outing, getting the win after going seven innings and giving up just one earned run.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals have won four straight games, and they are 52-43 overall this season. In the AL Central, they are six games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-10 in divisional games. Kansas City took the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox.
At home, the Royals have been good this year, putting together a 31-18 record. On the road, they are just under .500 at 21-25. As the underdog, the Royals are 26-28 this year and 26-15 when favored. Kansas City’s overall series record is 14-15-1, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 54-41 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 25-21 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7, and they have been particularly profitable as an underdog, going 33-21 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Kansas City Royals’ game against the Boston Red Sox is slightly higher than their season average of 8.5 runs per game. The Royals have played 92 games this season, and only 14 of them have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, accounting for just 14.7% of their games. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 6-7.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 11-3 with an ERA of 2.21. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 19 starts, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per nine innings. Lugo most recently faced the Rockies, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed an earned run in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Royals are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage is just 12th in the league, and they are also 20th in walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been on fire for the Royals, hitting .327 for the season with a team-high 16 home runs. He has also gone 20/40 in his last 10 games with four homers. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also having strong seasons at the plate, with Perez batting .280 and Pasquantino at .249.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 51-42 overall this season, and they are 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 1.5 games for the second spot in the division. The Red Sox are at home today, and they are 13-11 in division games this year.
So far, the Red Sox have been good on the road, putting up a record of 29-17. At home, they are just under .500 at 22-25. Boston has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 15-10-5 this year.
When the Red Sox win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Despite their overall run line record being below .500, they have been a profitable team to bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 27-19. On the other hand, they have been a poor bet when favored, going just 17-30.
The Red Sox will look to get back on track after a tough series against the Yankees, as they return home to face the Royals. The O/U line for this game is set at 9 runs, which is right on par with their combined season average of 9 runs per game. Boston’s O/U record on the season is 44-43, and their average O/U line is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9 runs this season, their O/U record is 5-3-2. This is the 18th game this season where the O/U line has been set at 9 runs, accounting for 19.4% of their games. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Kutter Crawford will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Yankees, he went seven innings and gave up just four hits. Crawford finished with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 3.24. Looking at his overall numbers, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .215 this season. Crawford has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.03 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 14 home runs. At home, his ERA is 4.34 compared to 2.36 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Boston’s offense has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 25th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 21 home runs are 7th in the league. He is also 11th in the league with 58 RBIs. Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 with two homers over his last five games. Jarren Duran comes into the game with a batting average of .275 and has 10 homers of his own.