Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/1/24

At 7:20 PM ET, the Marlins and Braves face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -200. The Marlins are +169 underdogs, and their money line odds have them at +169.

Thursday’s forecast in Atlanta calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. Charlie Morton is the starter for the Braves, and he will be facing off against Max Meyer for the Marlins. Miami is 40-68, while the Braves are 58-49 and have won two straight. BSFL is carrying this one on TV.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Thursday, August 1st.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins pulled off a big 6-2 upset over the Rays to close out their series. Miami was the +221 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rays could only score two runs, both of which came in the 1st.

Rodder Munoz put together a good start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Miami’s offense was carried by Jonah Bride, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Miami is 40-68 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 9-21 in divisional games. The Marlins kick off their series vs. the Braves on the road, and they are 18-34 on the road this year.

As the road underdog, Miami is 18-34 this year, and they are 4-13 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 10-20-4 heading into today’s game, and they split their two-game series with the Rays.

The Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 51-57 overall. They’ve been slightly better on the road, where they are 26-26 against the run line. Miami has been a profitable play as an underdog, going 49-42 against the run line in those games. The Marlins have an average run differential of -1.3 runs per game this season.

With an over/under line of 9 runs, the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves are expected to score more runs than their combined season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Marlins have played to the over in 60 of their 105 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Miami has gone over the total in three of their 12 games with a line of 9 runs, and the over has hit in two straight Marlins games.

Max Meyer and the Marlins will be on the road to take on the Braves. This will be Meyer’s second start of the season against Atlanta, as he picked up a win in his first outing against them. In that game, he went 6 innings, allowing just 1 earned run and striking out 7. He is coming off a no-decision against the Brewers, where he went 4 innings and gave up 3 earned runs.

The Marlins offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .237, which is 15th in the league, and have the league’s worst on-base percentage. Their team slugging percentage of .365 is also near the bottom of the league.

Jake Burger and Josh Bell have been two of the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 15 homers and Bell right behind him with 14. Over his last six games, Burger is 7/20 with three homers, while Bell has also gone deep three times in his last four games, hitting .389 over that stretch. Xavier Edwards has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/23 in his last six games.

Braves Records & Stats

Travis d’Arnaud had a big game at the plate for the Braves in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, going 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs. The Braves really broke things open with a four-run 7th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Braves were the slight underdog at -119.

Chris Sale started for the Athletics, going 5 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He gave up six runs on eight hits and issued three walks. Sale also hit two batters and threw a wild pitch.

With an overall record of 58-49, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. The Braves will take on the Marlins at home today, and they are on a two-game winning streak. Their two most recent wins came in the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers.

At home, the Braves are 30-21 this season compared to 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 51-38 and 7-11 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped four straight at home, and their overall series record is 18-13-4.

When betting on the Braves this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are just 49-58 against the run line, but their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 28-28 against the run line compared to 21-30 at home. As the favorite, they are 40-49 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 9-9. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while in losses it is -3.2.

When the Atlanta Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-63. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-12-3. So far this season, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, which accounts for 66.4% of their games.

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Marlins and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets. In that start, he took the loss, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Looking back further, Morton has made 19 starts and has a record of 5-6. His ERA for the season is 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Opponents have hit .233 off Morton this year, and he has a BB/9 figure of 3.4 compared to 8.75 strikeouts per nine innings.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .301 with a team-high 31 home runs and 84 RBIs. He comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitters, as his 31 homers are 3rd best in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, but he is batting just .226 this season and has gone deep 17 times.

Over his last five games, Austin Riley has gone 7/22 with a home run and five RBIs. Matt Olson has also homered four times in this stretch but has just four hits in 19 at-bats. Currently, Travis d’Arnaud is on an eight-game hitting streak for the Braves.