Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/1/24
The forecast from Detroit on Thursday calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. The Royals and Tigers are set to face off at 6:40 PM ET at Comerica Park. Kansas City is 60-49, while the Tigers are 52-57. Seth Lugo is starting for the Royals, while Keider Montero is on the mound for the Tigers.
Kansas City is currently on a three-game winning streak and is the heavy favorite on the money line today at -163 compared to the Tigers at +138. Thursday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSKC.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -163
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Thursday, August 1st.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Royals Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Freddy Fermin at the plate, the Royals are coming off a 10-3 win over the White Sox to close out their series. Fermin went 4/5 with three RBIs and a homer. The Royals really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 3rd.
Brady Singer started for the Athletics, going seven innings and giving up three runs on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Kansas City is 60-49 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have taken three straight games, and they are 22-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Royals closed out their series vs. the White Sox with three straight wins.
At home, the Royals have gone 36-22 this year, and they are just under .500 at 24-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 34-19 this year and 26-30 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 16-17-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 62-47 overall. They’ve been especially profitable as the underdog, going 34-22. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they’ve been even better at home, where their run line record is 34-24 and their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Royals have played in 106 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.6. Overall, the over/under record for Kansas City this season is 46-60. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Royals have a record of 10-19 in those games. So far this season, 36 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 33.0% of their games.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Tigers on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 2.66 ERA. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings. Lugo’s last outing came vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
With an average of 4.7 runs per game, the Royals have the 10th ranked scoring offense in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. So far, they have been a good contact team, as they are the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts. Kansas City is also among the league leaders in batting average and on-base percentage.
Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have been the Royals’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for 1st on the team with 19 home runs. Witt Jr. comes into the game with a 13-game hitting streak and is batting .349 for the season. He has been even better of late, going 14/31 (.452) in his last eight games.
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +115 on the money line. Detroit’s offense only had four fewer hits than the Guardians but didn’t score a run. Bligh Madris was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/3.
Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs. Alex Faedo was also hit hard out of the bullpen, allowing two more runs in the 8th.
Detroit is 52-57 overall, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak today at home vs. the Royals. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 14 games for the division lead. So far, they are an even 19-19 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Tigers are 25-28 this year and 27-29 on the road. This season, the Tigers have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 30-37 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 22-20. The Tigers’ overall series record is 13-16-5, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Guardians.
The Tigers have a run line record of 54-55 this season, including a 21-32 mark at home. Their overall run line record is just below .500, but they have been much more successful on the run line on the road, going 33-23. They have lost their last three games against the run line at home and are just 12-30 against the run line as the favorite this season.
Today’s game between the Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which matches the combined run average for the Tigers’ games this season. Detroit has gone over the total in 59 of their 106 games, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Tigers have gone over in 12 of 22 games, and 16 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for just 14.7% of their contests.
Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Twins. In that start, which came on July 26th, he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Montero has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far this year, he has a record of 1-4, an ERA of 6.38, and a WHIP of 1.45. Opposing batters are hitting .278 off Montero this season. Out of his six starts, Montero has two quality starts and is averaging 7.61 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This season, they are batting just .231 as a team, which is 19th in the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Riley Greene and Matt Vierling. Greene has gone deep 17 times this season, while Vierling has 13 homers. Greene also leads the team with 51 RBIs and is batting .264 for the season.
Over his last 10 games, Colt Keith has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, going 11/36 with two homers. However, Javier Baez has struggled as of late, going just 4/25 in his last seven games. Parker Meadows is currently on a three-game hitting streak for the Tigers.