At 7:00 ET tonight, the Miami Heat (-335) will travel to take on the Washington Wizards (+266) at Capital One Arena. The Heat are currently favored by 8 points and the over/under line is set at 229.5.

Miami is 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 25-23, while Washington is 14th in the East at 9-38. This game will be played in Washington and can be seen on MNMT.


The Pick: Washington Wizards +8

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-114 in favor of the Wizards.
  • Our projections have Kyle Kuzma finishing with Kyle Kuzma points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Wizards finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.9% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will Miami Win on the Road?

Miami's O/U record for the season is 20-28, and the team has hit the under in their last two games. Today's O/U line is set at 229.5, which is lower than the average O/U line in their games this season (222.6).

In their last game against the Kings, Miami won by a score of 115-106. The O/U line for that game was 228 points, giving them a 9-point win vs. the spread (-2.5).

On the road, the Heat have an average scoring differential of -1.2 points per game. They are 12-12 straight up on the road and 11-11 vs. the spread. As the favorite, their ATS record on the road is 12-15.

Miami's overall record is 25-23, which is good for 7th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 18-15 and 9-2 vs. their division.

In Heat games this season, the average combined scoring total has been 222 points. This is lower than 40 of their games, which have had lower O/U lines than today's (8 games higher).

Heading into their game against the Wizards, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring at 110.5 points per game. However, they have been more efficient on the road, averaging 107.2 points per game compared to 113.7 at home.

In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game. This slower tempo has contributed to their below-average scoring numbers.

When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 27th in field goal percentage at 46%. Inside the arc, they are 28th in two-point shooting at 51%.

Miami's defense has been playing well, ranking 7th in the NBA with 111.6 points allowed per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team's are averaging 20.5 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.8%.

Are Washington Ready for a Home Win?

Washington has lost three straight games against the spread as the underdog and are 22-22 ATS as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 8 points against the Heat and have gone 9-35 as the underdog.

The Wizards are 6-16 ATS at home and have an average scoring differential of -10.5 points per game. On the road, their ATS record is 16-9 compared to 22-25 overall.

In Washington's last game, they lost to the Clippers by a score of 125-109. The O/U line for that game was 235.5, and the Wizards were getting 9.5 points. This was their 6th straight game finishing below the O/U line.

On average, the Wizards' games have finished with 239 points this season, and today's O/U line is set at 229.5. In their last six games, the under has hit in each game.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Wizards are in 14th place with a record of 9-38. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 6-27 compared to 3-11 in non-conference games.

At home, the Wizards are averaging 115.3 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 115 points per game. Washington has outscored the league average in 53.2% of their games this season.

When it comes to pace, the Wizards are the fastest team in the NBA, averaging 102.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th at 47%. From two-point range, Washington is 12th in shooting percentage at 55%.

Coming into this game, the Wizards have made 11.9 three-pointers per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are shooting 35% from beyond the arc, which is 26th. In terms of offensive rebounds, Washington is 27th in the NBA.

On defense, the Wizards are ranked 30th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 72.3% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Wizards are forcing 13.4 per game, which is 20th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 10th in blocked shots at 5.6 per game.