Don't miss out on the NBA showdown between the Heat and Suns. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on AZFa, and it's hosted by the Suns at Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 229.5 points, with the Suns being the favored team playing at home against the Heat.


The Pick: Miami Heat +3.5

This game will be played at Footprint Center at 9:00 ET on Friday, January 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-112 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will Miami Make it Happen on the Road?

As the Miami Heat get ready to take on the Suns, they are the slight 3.5-point underdogs. Miami comes into today's game 4th in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Southeast with a record of 20-14.

So far, the Heat have been slightly better on the road compared to their home games, both in terms of straight-up and ATS records. Miami's road record for the season is 11-8, and they have gone 11-7 ATS on the road.

Today's over/under line of 229.5 is just below the average over/under line for the season of 222.3. In their games, Miami has had higher over/under lines than this in 6 of their 34 games. Their over/under record in these games is 3-3.

When playing as the underdog, the Heat have an average scoring margin of -0.3 points per game vs. their average scoring differential of +2.3 on the road. This season, they have been the underdog in 15 games and have a record of 8-7 vs. the spread in those games.

The Heat offense scored 110 points vs. the Lakers in their most recent game. They shot 44.1% from the field and hit 16 threes. Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 21.7 PPG, is the team's leading scorer. Jimmy Butler is also averaging 21 PPG entering today's game.

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 111.5 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 56.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they're also connecting on 36.6% of their three-point attempts.

Can Phoenix Deliver Being Favored at Home?

With an overall record of 18-16, the Suns will look to pick up a win at home today as 3.5-point favorites vs. the Heat. If they are able to come through, the Suns will also move above .500 at home for the season, as they are currently 10-10.

When playing teams from the Eastern Conference, the Suns have gone 6-4 for the season compared to just 3-6 against other teams in the Pacific Division.

As the favorite, Phoenix has put together four straight wins and leads the way in terms of both straight-up and ATS records. So far, they have been favored in 24 of their 34 games and have gone 15-9 vs. the spread in those games.

The over/under record in their games is currently 19-15, and the over has gone 12-5 in their games when the OU line was lower than today's line of 229.5. The teams have combined to average 229.2 points per game this season.

Coming into today's game, the Suns are coming off a strong offensive performance against the Clippers, where they scored 122 points. This is above their season-average of 115.4 PPG. Kevin Durant is the team's leading scorer, averaging 29.9 PPG. Devin Booker is also averaging 26.7 PPG.

This season, the Suns' defense is the 15th ranked defense in the NBA at 15th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 64.7% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.2% while allowing 36.7% from downtown.