Betting on today's Heat and Warriors game? Catch the action at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA, as the Warriors hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on NBCS. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 227.5 points, with the Warriors being the favored team playing at home against the Heat.


The Pick: Miami Heat +2.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-112 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.8% and knocking down 13 threes.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

The Miami Heat head into today's matchup vs. the Warriors as the 2.5-point underdog. So far this season, they have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per game on the road, which is the 9th-best mark in the NBA.

When looking at their record, Miami is currently 18-12 and have won three straight games. In the Eastern Conference standings, they are currently in 4th place and 1st in the Southeast Division.

Miami has been favored in three straight games and have an overall record vs. the spread of 14-15. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-5, and they have covered the spread in two straight games on the road.

The average over/under line in Miami's games this season is 221.3, and they have an over/under record of 16-14. In their last game, the Heat were favored by 2 points and picked up a 119-113 win over the 76ers.

In their most recent game against the 76ers, the Heat offense scored 119 points. They shot 47.6% from the field and made 12 three-pointers. Overall, the Heat have a 47% field goal percentage and are hitting 39% of their three-pointers on 33 attempts per game.

The Heat's defense is presently ranked 8th in the league, allowing an average of 111.9 points per contest. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.

Pressure Builds for Golden State as Home Favorites

As the Warriors get set to host the Heat, Golden State will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Their last game ended in a 120-114 loss to the Nuggets. In that game, the Warriors were 7.5-point underdogs and picked up an ATS win.

So far, Golden State has an overall record of 15-15, which puts them in 5th place in the Pacific Division and 11th in the Western Conference. Against the spread, the team is 14-15, and they have covered in four straight home games.

When playing at home, the Warriors are 9-6, and they have an average scoring differential of +1.1 points per contest. Golden State's average point total in games this season is 233, and their games have finished with over 227.5 points in 17 of their 30 games.

Leading up to today's matchup with the Heat, the Warriors are favored by 2.5 points and have an over/under of 227.5 points. When favored this season, Golden State has gone 12-5 vs. their opponents and 6-11 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the Warriors offense is averaging 117.1 points per game, which is 9th best in the league. In 60.0% of their games, they have scored more points than their opponent's defensive average. When they played the Nuggets, Andrew Wiggins led the Warriors with 22 points and Stephen Curry was second with 18.

Currently, the Warriors' defense holds the 19th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.9 points per game. So far this season, the Warriors' defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 4th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 25.6 times per game vs. Golden State.