Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

The over/under line is set at 41.5 points for the week three non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Seahawks. The game, which kicks off at 4:05 ET, is being televised on CBS. The Seahawks are favored on the money line at -223 and against the spread by -5 points. The Dolphins are the +184 underdogs on the money line.
MIAMI DOLPHINS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Dolphins +5
This game will be played at Lumen Field at 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.
WHY BET THE MIAMI DOLPHINS:
- We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 25 to 23
- Even though we like the Seahawks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Dolphins at +5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points
Will The Dolphins Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
The Dolphins were favored by -2.5, but they lost to the Bills 31-10, dropping their record to 1-1. Miami was looking to build on a week one win, but they were blown out at home by Buffalo. The Dolphins were tied 7-7 after the 1st quarter, but the Bills dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring Miami 17-3, leading 24-10 at halftime, and Miami never recovered.
Tua Tagovailoa did connect with Jaylen Waddle for a 21-yard touchdown in the 3rd quarter, but by that time, the Dolphins were already down 24-10. Miami’s defense couldn’t get off the field, as the Bills were 8/14 on 3rd down and 2/2 on 4th down. The Dolphins will look to regroup and get back on track in week three.
The Dolphins’ offense struggled in their 31-10 loss to the Bills, as they turned the ball over three times and were inefficient in the passing game. Tua Tagovailoa completed 17 of 25 passes for 145 yards and threw one touchdown, but he also threw three interceptions and finished with a passer rating of 56. Miami had 20 first downs and converted 46.7% of their third down attempts, but they managed only 212 yards through the air.
De’Von Achane led Miami in rushing with 96 yards on 22 carries and was also the top receiver with 69 yards and a receiving touchdown. The Dolphins’ running game gained 139 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt, but they were unable to find the end zone outside of Achane’s receiving score.
In their 31-10 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 139 passing yards on just 13 completions. Miami’s defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Buffalo found success on the ground, rushing for 108 yards on 26 attempts. Overall, Miami gave up 247 total yards in the game.
The Dolphins’ defense also allowed Buffalo to convert on 66.7% of their red zone trips and 46.7% of their third down attempts. Additionally, Miami allowed the Bills to control the time of possession, holding the ball for 35:18 compared to Miami’s 24:42.
Are The Seahawks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Seattle is now 2-0 after their 23-20 overtime win over the Patriots. The Seahawks led 17-13 at halftime and the game was tied at 20 after regulation. Geno Smith’s touchdown pass to Jaxon Smith-Njigba early in the 3rd quarter gave the Patriots a 20-17 lead, but the Seahawks managed to tie the game at 20 with 58 seconds left in the 4th quarter. Seattle’s defense held in overtime, and Jason Myers’ 31-yard field goal secured the win.
Seattle’s win was a push vs. the spread, as they were 3-point favorites with an over/under line set at 39 points. The Seahawks and Patriots combined for 43 points. Jason Myers also connected on a 44-yard field goal to end the 2nd quarter for Seattle. The Patriots missed a chance to take the lead with 3:59 left in the 4th when Joey Slye missed a 48-yard field goal.
Geno Smith had a good game for the Seahawks in their 23-20 overtime win over the Patriots, throwing for 327 yards on 33 completions. He completed 75% of his passes, with one touchdown and no interceptions. Seattle’s offense managed only 46 yards on 19 rushing attempts, as Zach Charbonnet led the team with 38 yards and one rushing touchdown.
DK Metcalf was the standout in the passing game, catching 10 passes for 129 yards and a touchdown, including a 56-yard reception. The Seahawks’ offense picked up 18 first downs and gained 312 total yards, with a 46.7% conversion rate on third down. However, Smith was sacked three times in the game.
In their most recent game, the Seahawks’ defense gave up 185 rushing yards on 36 attempts to the Patriots, but still managed to come out on top in a 23-20 overtime win. The Patriots finished with 310 total yards on 66 plays. Seattle’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing just 125 yards through the air on 15 completions. They also recorded three sacks and held New England to a 37.5% conversion rate on third down.
Despite struggling to stop the run, the Seahawks’ defense made things difficult for the Patriots in the passing game, limiting big plays and keeping them out of the endzone. The Patriots averaged 5.1 yards per attempt on the ground, but Seattle’s defense didn’t allow any individual rusher to surpass 100 yards. This performance helped the Seahawks secure the win in a hard-fought battle.