The Miami Dolphins travel to take on the Kansas City Chiefs, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff for this Wild Card round game is set for 8:00 PM ET and will be televised on PEA.


The Pick: Miami Dolphins +4

This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 22-20 in favor of the Chiefs.
  • Our projections have Tua Tagovailoa finishing with 208.346 passing yards on 17.237/26.906 passing.
  • The Chiefs are projected to finish with 335 yards of offense compared to the 309 yards for the Dolphins.

Can the Dolphins Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Through 17 games, the Dolphins are 11-6. In the AFC-East standings, they are in 2nd place which puts them 6th in the AFC. With a scoring margin of +6.2, the Dolphins' have achieved an ATS record of 10-7 so far.

As they enter week 1, the Dolphins offense ranks 2nd in the league, averaging 29.2 points per contest. Heading into week 1, Miami ranks 19th in passing attempts and is averaging 8 yards per attempt (2). With 265.5 passing yards per game, they hold the 1st spot in the league.

The Dolphins have been running the ball an average of 26.8 times per game and currently hold the 6th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 5.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Dolphins give up an average of 221.2 passing yards and 97.1 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Miami is currently ranked 3rd in the league. So far, they are giving up 23 points per game and 318.3 yards.

Can the Chiefs Hold Strong at Home?

So far this season, the Chiefs are an above .500 team at home at 5-4. Heading into Wild Card round, they are 1st in the AFC-West on an overall record of 11-6. On the road, Kansas City has gone 6-2 thus far. So far this season, the Chiefs are above .500 vs. the spread at 9-7-1. Their average scoring margin this season is +4.5.

The Chiefs come in with an average of 21.8 points per game which is 13th in the NFL. Kansas City is currently ranked 6th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 246.4. In terms of passing yards per attempt, they are 10th in the league.

In terms of rushing, the Chiefs are averaging 24.5 rushing attempts per game, placing them 19th for rushing yards. They have an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt.

Kansas City is sitting 2nd in points allowed so far. Heading into week 1, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.3 points per game, on 289.8 yards per contest.