Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Keydets? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA. The Bears are the favored team in this Southern conference contest against the Keydets. The game's over/under currently sits at 140.5 points.


The Pick: VMI Keydets +5

This game will be played at Cameron Hall at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Keydets.
  • Not only will VMI pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Are the Bears Ready for a Win at Lexington?

Heading into today's matchup, Mercer is favored by 5 points on the road. So far, they have gone 2-5 on the road this season and have lost their last three road games by an average margin of 8.7 points per game.

Overall, the Bears are 7-7 this season and have gone 3-2 when favored. In their last game, Mercer fell to East Tennessee State by a score of 80-69. Over their last 10 road games, the Bears are just 2-8.

As the favorite this season, Mercer has gone 2-2-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 6-3-1 vs. the spread. On the road this year, Mercer has an ATS mark of 2-4-1 and their last 10 road ATS record is 3-6-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Mercer is 7-4 and today's line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

In their recent game, the Bears' offense concluded with 69 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.9 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Bears have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 235th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 236th in terms of percentage and 267th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Bears' defense is nationally ranked 136th, allowing 70.9 points per game. Against East Tennessee State in their most recent game, the Mercer defense gave up a total of 80 points while allowing East Tennessee State to hit 40% of their shots.

Will VMI Win at Home?

Heading into today's matchup, VMI is the underdog and have lost 10 straight games. So far, they have an overall record of 3-11 and are 0-4 at home this season.

In their last game, the Keydets faced off against Longwood and lost by a score of 68-49. Over their last 10 games at home, VMI has a record of 4-6.

As the underdog this season, VMI has gone just 3-7 against the spread. Their home ATS mark is just 1-3, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, the Keydets have failed to cover the spread, going 0-2 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for VMI games is 2-8 and today's line of 140.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their over/under record during this span is 1-1.

Coming off their recent game, the VMI offense tallied 49 points in a matchup against Longwood. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.1%, and they made 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Brennan Watkins, who is averaging 15.8 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, Tyran Cook also maintains a PPG average of 11.9 heading into game.

So far, the Keydets' defense is ranked 181st in the country at 73.0 points per contest. So far, the VMI defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15.6 times per game (708th).