Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/25

At 7:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (32-31) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) in a Western Southwest Division matchup. ESPN will televise the game from the American Airlines Center.

Memphis (-540) is favored by 10.5 points over Dallas (+398) in a game with an over/under of 239.5. The Grizzlies have lost four straight games and are 4th in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks have dropped three in a row and are 10th in the West.

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -10.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 7:30 ET on Friday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 145-66 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Our projections have Ja Morant finishing with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.4% and knocking down 16 threes.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Favored Memphis?

The Grizzlies fell to 38-24 on the season after a 120-103 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Memphis, who were +7 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread at home. The combined score of 223 points was well below the O/U line of 253.

Oklahoma City took control with an 11-0 run, turning a 70-64 deficit into a 75-70 lead. The Thunder outscored the Grizzlies in each quarter, including a 30-23 advantage in the 3rd, and Memphis couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, where they started down 91-78.

In their 120-103 loss to the Thunder, the Grizzlies struggled offensively, shooting just 40.7% from the field and hitting only 9 threes at a 26.5% clip. Ja Morant led the way with 24 points, though he shot 36.4% overall and 22.2% from deep.

Desmond Bane and Scotty Pippen Jr. each added 15 points, with Pippen shooting 66.7% from the field and making 2 threes at the same percentage. Pippen scored 7 points in the 4th quarter, while Morant added 5 in the final period.

Defensively, the Grizzlies struggled against the Thunder, allowing 120 points on 50% shooting. Memphis gave up 30 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters and 31 in the 2nd, with their best defensive effort coming in the 4th, where they allowed 29 points.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 15 threes at a 41% clip. Memphis sent Oklahoma City to the line 19 times, where they made 17 free throws. The Grizzlies collected 38 defensive rebounds, allowing just 3 offensive boards, and recorded 9 steals.

Can the Dallas Offense Score Enough at Home?

Dallas dropped to 32-31 after a 137-107 road loss to the Bucks on Wednesday. The Mavericks entered the game as +11.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 244 points exceeded the O/U line of 225.5 by 18.5 points.

Milwaukee’s 11-0 run early in the game helped them build a commanding lead. Dallas trailed 43-30 after the 1st quarter and went into the 4th down 106-79. The Bucks outscored the Mavericks in every quarter, including a 31-28 edge in the final period.

In their 137-107 loss to the Bucks, the Mavericks shot 45.9% from the field and made 13 threes at a 33.3% clip. Klay Thompson led the way with 28 points, hitting 6 threes at 42.9% efficiency.

Naji Marshall contributed 22 points and 11 rebounds, scoring 11 points in the 3rd quarter. Brandon Williams added 14 points and 8 assists, with 6 points in the final period.

The Mavericks struggled defensively on Wednesday, giving up 137 points to the Bucks. Dallas allowed 43 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 3rd, with Milwaukee shooting 58% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks hit 16 threes at a 45% clip. The Mavericks sent Milwaukee to the line 19 times, with the Bucks converting 17 free throws. Dallas recorded 13 steals and 3 blocks.