Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/25
In a non-conference matchup, the Timberwolves (-190) travel to Miami to take on the Heat (+159) at 8:00 ET. Minnesota is currently favored by 4.5 points and the over/under line is set at 216.
The Timberwolves (35-29) are 7th in the Western Conference and have won three straight games. As for the Heat (29-32), they are 7th in the Eastern Conference and lead the Southeast Division.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 7th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-124 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 17 threes.
Taking a Look at the Timberwolves Chances on the Road
The Timberwolves improved to 35-29 on the season with a 125-110 road win over the Hornets on Wednesday. Minnesota, favored by 9 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 235 points went over the 226.5-point line.
A key 10-0 run helped the Timberwolves take control, turning a 29-22 deficit into a 32-29 lead. They led 97-83 going into the 4th quarter and edged out the Hornets 28-27 in the final period.
In their 125-110 win over the Hornets, the Timberwolves knocked down 21 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep and 48.9% overall. Jaden McDaniels and Anthony Edwards each scored 29 points, with Edwards hitting 6 threes at a 46.2% clip.
McDaniels added 10 rebounds, while Julius Randle contributed 25 points, 10 boards, and 9 assists. Donte DiVincenzo scored 11 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter, and Naz Reid added 12 of his 13 points in the opening period.
The Timberwolves held the Hornets to 110 points on Wednesday, giving up 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 25 points, and limited Charlotte to 27 points in the 4th.
Minnesota kept the Hornets to 44% shooting, including just 28% from three-point range, where Charlotte hit 12 threes. The Timberwolves also sent the Hornets to the line 18 times, where they made 14 free throws. Defensively, Minnesota recorded 9 steals and 3 blocks.
Does Miami Stand a Chance at Home?
Miami dropped to 29-32 on the season after a 112-107 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. The Heat were +13.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game came in just under the 219.5 O/U line, with a combined score of 219.
Miami started strong, going on a 10-0 run early in the game, but couldn’t capitalize on their momentum. They played the Cavs evenly in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, with both teams scoring 27 and 23 points, respectively. Heading into the 4th quarter down 86-82, Miami couldn’t close the gap, as Cleveland outscored them 26-25 in the final period.
Bam Adebayo delivered a standout performance in the Heat’s 112-107 loss to the Cavaliers, scoring 34 points and grabbing 12 rebounds while shooting 61.1% from the field. He also hit 3 threes at a 60% rate, with 12 of his points coming in the 4th quarter.
Duncan Robinson added 14 points, knocking down 4 threes at 50%, and Haywood Highsmith contributed 13 points. Miami shot 43.4% overall, with a 36.1% mark from beyond the arc, hitting 13 threes in the game.
The Heat’s defense tightened up after a rough 1st quarter where they allowed 36 points, giving up just 23 in the 3rd. Overall, they allowed 112 points on 47% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, Miami held Cleveland to 14 threes on 35% shooting. The Cavaliers also went 16/22 from the free-throw line. The Heat finished with 33 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 2 blocks.