Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Thundering Herd and Bobcats. The game is starting at 5:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Bobcats at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX. Get ready to place your bets! In this Sun Belt matchup, the Thundering Herd are the betting favorite against the Bobcats. The over/under for the game is 141.5 points.


The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +2

This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Bobcats.
  • Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Thundering Herd Live Up to the Hype on the Road?

Marshall comes into today's game as the favorite, with a point spread of -2. So far this season, the Thundering Herd have gone 7-8 overall and 2-0 in conference play. In their last game, Marshall took on Louisiana-Monroe and came away with a 68-57 victory.

Over their last ten road games, the Thundering Herd have gone just 4-6. On the road this season, Marshall is 3-5 and have an average scoring margin of -5.5 points per game. However, they have won their last two games and are favored in today's matchup.

When looking at Marshall's ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at 7-7. However, when looking at their record vs. the spread when favored, they are just 3-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, their ATS mark is only 4-6.

Marshall's over/under record this season is 3-11 and their games have averaged 150.3 points. Today's over/under line of 141.5 is lower than their season average over/under line of 155.1. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today's line.

In contrast to their season average of 75.9 points per game, the Marshall had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Louisiana-Monroe and had a field goal percentage of 41.4%. Coming into the game, the Thundering Herd offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 24.5 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14.8 made free-throws.

At this time, the Thundering Herd's defense is positioned 233rd in the country, permitting 75.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. Louisiana-Monroe, the Warhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 32% and a total of 57 points vs. Marshall.

Can Texas State Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?

After starting the season with a 5-3 record, the Texas State Bobcats have hit a rough patch, dropping five of their last six games. Most recently, they fell to Coastal Carolina by a score of 71-63.

So far this season, the Bobcats have gone just 1-3 at home, and they have lost three straight games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, they are just 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Texas State has an ATS record of 3-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home this year, Texas State is just 1-3 ATS and they have gone 2-6 ATS over their last 10 games at home.

Today's over/under line of 141.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas State's games this season (136.9). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 130 points.

In their most recent game, the Texas State offense concluded with only 63 points against Coastal Carolina. Throughout the game, they made 5/20 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Offensively, the Bobcats have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 290th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 329th in percentage and 354th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 69.9 points per contest. Texas State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Coastal Carolina to just 33% shooting in their most recent game.