Books have said publicly for years that they are most afraid of their exposure in MLB, as compared to any other sport. In baseball we are just looking for winners and not worried about point spreads, so in many respects it's far less complicated.

In football (or basketball) they set numbers designed to attract good two-way action, since the overwhelming majority of their tickets are all at -110. Those numbers are not mathematically derived, and in fact it's relatively easy to know ahead of time roughly what the spread in an NFL game will be. For the most part the're all based around "3" and "7'", the two key numbers. But in baseball, there is no key number.

In baseball it's the money line, and if it's off it can really expand a books' exposure, so you will see them move a LOT as they try to balance action. When they move like .20-.50 it's generally evident that they've missed something, something we have to find before they do, hopefully. They've got an entire week to make an NFL line and adjust it, whereas in baseball they've got twenty-four hours, or less, to get it right. And they don't.

They don't have the time to look at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/value-betting-mlb-baseball-run-line/"><strong>Run Line</strong></a> splits for every game, recent history of starters and bullpens, umpires, and a myriad of other variables you just don't have in football. We have time. And because we are on top of it every day, often times we don't have to look, we just know. Most books wait (as they do in football) for one or two of the sharper books that aren't afraid to throw out a number, and then within minutes they follow. They follow the mis-priced baseball lines. We take advantage of them.

<strong>Home Teams and more Home Teams</strong>
<p style="text-align: center;">San Diego
White Sox
Tigers
Milwaukee</p>
Terrible teams, all of them. Or are they? What do they all have in common?

Last season they were all profitable at home, and they're all teams you probably don't like to bet on. Books know we don't "like" these teams and are throwing out prices based on the fact that we are generally NOT going to bet on them, regardless, which is exactly why we should. And the fact of the matter is that San Diego finished under .500 at home, yet still made bettors money.

This season-to-date both the Twins and Reds are profitable at home.

Last year these teams were NOT profitable at home:
<p style="text-align: center;">Boston
Toronto
Houston
St. Louis
San Francisco</p>
And yet, those are all either playoff or public teams everyone likes to bet on. The point is that the books are going to throw out prices on these teams that are way more than they should be, KNOWING we are going to bet on them regardless, which is exactly why we shouldn't.

I'm certainly not suggesting we go out and bet on bad teams in home every game, because it's all situational.

If the Cubs are in San Diego with their fourth or fifth starter on the mound, while the Padres have Trevor Cahill on the mound, Chicago is quite likely to be around -150 and the Cubs perhaps +140. People remember that Cahill has had some down years and my goodness, these are the Cubs! But, Cahill has been on fire. Maybe the Cubs are flying home after the game to play the Cardinals. Even MLB has look-ahead situations. Maybe it's the end of a ten-game road trip. Maybe the Cubs are resting some people. Maybe they depleted their bullpen the night before.

Don't assume anything in any sport, especially baseball. There is no "maybe." That's what the bookmakers count on. Do the work, try and stick to under valued home teams, and you'll make money. The books DO know that. And remember, at +140 you only need to win 41% of your bets to break even.

Dave Essler is at Pregame, featured on ESPN, Fox Sports, and CNN.

Betting On MLB - Why You Should!

College football is one of the most popular betting options in the United States, and it’s also a sport that is enjoyed by many as well. College football begins in the early part of September, and a national champion is crowned in January every single year.

When it comes to college football, there are three different divisions that are played. It’s the teams that play at the highest level that attracts the most attention, and that’s also where you see most of the betting options.

There are just four teams that make it to the College Football Playoff each year, but that number is going to be expanding soon. There are other major bowl games that take place throughout the year, and those teams are chosen based on how they perform during the regular season.

This article will not only give you the best college football betting sites &amp; sportsbooks, but it will also give you tips so you know how to bet on college football.
<h2 id="h-where-to-bet-college-football" class="wp-block-heading">WHERE TO BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL</h2>
Knowing how to bet on college football is going to be an important step, but you also need to know where you should be wagering. Choosing the right sportsbook is going to be a huge part in sports betting, especially during the college football season.

Here are six of the best college football sportsbooks to use the next time that you are wanting to wager on the sport.

Best College Football Betting Sites & Sportsbooks

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

College Football

Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Boise State Broncos vs Wyoming Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

James Madison Dukes vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Newsletter

<p>The Mets (67-78, 37-34 home) will host the Diamondbacks (76-71, 38-36 away) in game four of this National League series. Starting for the Mets is Kodai Senga, while the Diamondbacks are giving the ball to Merrill Kelly. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks.</p><h3>ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +103</p><p>This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Thursday, September 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:</h3><ul><li>Coming into the game, the Mets have gone just 4-6 in their last ten home games.</li><li>Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets are just 4-6 (straight-up).</li><li>The Diamondbacks have gone 1-2 in Kodai Senga's last five starts.</li></ul><h3>ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD</h3><p>Arizona's overall record currently stands at 76-71, placing them 2nd in the NL West. The Diamondbacks will look to extend their current series winning streak to 49 and have an overall series record of 26-18-4. At home, Arizona is 38-35 and 38-36 on the road.</p><p><p>Merrill Kelly has been impressive in 26 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 3.16 and an 11-6 record. As he takes the mound against the Mets, he will look to extend his streak of not allowing a home-run to five games. Opponents have managed a .356 slugging percentage and .216 batting average against him thus far.</p></p><p>In his most recent outing against the Cubs, Merrill Kelly allowed one run on four hits over 5 2/3 innings. Although he didn't receive a decision, Kelly's performance aided the Diamondbacks in their 3-2 victory.</p><p>With a season-long average of 4.6 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are the 13th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .252, with an OBP of .323. In Arizona's last ten games, they are 15th in home runs, having gone deep six times in that span.</p><p>Tommy Pham has been the Diamondbacks' most consistent hitter over the last five games, leading the team with a .377 batting average. During this span, he has also tallied an impressive 62 RBIs. For the season, Pham is hitting at a .266 clip and is proving to be an invaluable asset for Arizona's offense.</p><h3>WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?</h3><p>Coming in with an overall record of 67-78, the Mets are winners of three straight games. Through 47 series, they are 16-25-6 and in 4th place in the NL East. At home, they have gone 37-34 compared to 30-44 on the road.</p><p><p>Kodai Senga will take the mound for the Mets with an impressive 10-7 record. He has made 26 appearances this season, boasting a 3.07 ERA and .202 batting average allowed. Opponents have walked 70 times against him, while he has struck out 181 batters. His WHIP stands at 1.23 and SLG allowed is .314.</p></p><p>Kodai Senga was unable to secure a victory in his most recent start, allowing two runs over six innings. Despite the quality start, the Mets were defeated by the Twins 5-2.</p><p>The Mets have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 8 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 3rd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 11th in home runs and 14th in slugging percentage. Overall, New York is averaging 4.4 runs per game (20th).</p><p>Brandon Nimmo has been a force for the New York Mets this season, boasting a .265 batting average and slugging .458. In the team's last ten games, Nimmo has been especially impressive, leading the Mets in hits and batting .306.</p>

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/23

BetDSI

Bookmaker

Bet US

BetOnline

Bovada

<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Thundering Herd and Wildcats. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on SECN, and it's hosted by the Wildcats at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 156.5 points, with the Wildcats being the favored team playing at home against the Thundering Herd.</p><h3>MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd +17.5</p><p>This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, November 24th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Wildcats.</li><li>Even though we have Kentucky winning straight-up, we like Marshall at +17.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.</li></ul><h3>Will Marshall Shock Everyone at Rupp Arena?</h3><p>Marshall, who has a record of 2-3, is preparing for their 6th game of the season. In their last five road games, which includes last year, Marshall has a record of 1-4. As we delve into Marshall's ATS performance, we find that they currently hold a 2-3 record. Looking back at their previous ten games, which includes last season, Marshall has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.</p><p>Marshall comes in with an over/under record of 1-4-0 through five games, with their games averaging a combined 146.2 points per game so far. The Thundering Herd's have recorded an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 70 points per game.</p><p>In their recent matchup, the Marshall offense ended with 71 points against Oakland. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37% and made 7 threes. Kevon Voyles is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today's matchup with an average of 15.8. Meanwhile, Nate Martin also brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.</p><p>In terms of defense, Marshall is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.8 points per game. The Marshall defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Oakland to connect on 7 threes.</p><h3>Does Kentucky Stand a Chance at Home?</h3><p>Today, Kentucky will face off against Marshall, entering the game with a 3-1 record. In their last ten home games, including those from last year, Kentucky has a home record of 6-4. In terms of against the spread (ATS), Kentucky has a 1-3 record thus far in the current year. Taking into account the previous season, Kentucky has gone 5-5 ATS in their last ten games.</p><p>After four games, Kentucky has an over/under record of 2-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 153.8 points per game so far. Looking at the Wildcats' last three games, their over/under record is 3-0 with their games averaging 93 points per game.</p><p>In their recent matchup, the Kentucky offense ended with 101 points against Stonehill. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 63.9% and made 17 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Reed Sheppard with 25 points. Rob Dillingham also added 20 points for the Wildcats.</p><p>Coming into today's game, the Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. So far, the Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8 times per game (192nd).</p>

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Kentucky Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/23