The Black Bears and Catamounts are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Catamounts will host the game at Patrick Gymnasium in Burlington, VT. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 133.5 points, and the Catamounts are favored to win at home against the Black Bears.


The Pick: Maine Black Bears +8

This game will be played at Patrick Gymnasium at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Catamounts.
  • Even though we have Vermont winning straight-up, we like Maine at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Will the Black Bears Make it Happen on the Road?

Coming into today's game, the Maine Black Bears are 8-7 overall and have lost three straight games. On the road, they are 5-6 this season and have an average scoring margin of -2.9 points per game.

So far, Maine has been the underdog in five games and have gone just 1-4 in those contests. In their last game, they faced Minnesota and lost by a score of 80-62.

As the underdog this season, Maine has an ATS record of just 1-4 and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 games on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Black Bears have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Maine's games this season (136.1). So far, 10 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today's number. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 140 points compared to their season average of 132.6 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Maine offense put up just 62 points vs. the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Overall, they are now averaging 68.8 points per game which is 360th in the country. Leading Maine in scoring vs. Minnesota was Peter Filipovity with his 16 points. Kristians Feierbergs also added 14 points for the Black Bears.

Currently, the Black Bears' defense holds the 68th rank in the nation, allowing 66.3 points per game. So far, the Maine defense is giving up an average of 8.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (417th).

Can Vermont Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Heading into today's matchup, the Vermont Catamounts are favored by 8 points over the Maine Black Bears. So far this season, Vermont has an overall record of 10-5 and a home record of 4-1. In their last game, the Catamounts defeated Brown by a score of 71-70.

Over their last ten games at home, Vermont has gone an impressive 9-1. So far this season, they have been favored in eight of their 15 games and have a record of 6-2 when favored.

As the favorite this year, Vermont has gone just 2-6 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is just 1-4 this season, and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Catamounts are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the season average over/under line in Vermont's games (137.6). So far this season, their over/under record is 5-7-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their over/under record during this span is 1-1-1. On the year, 11 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's line of 133.5.

In their recent game, the Catamounts' offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.2 points per contest. Offensively, the Catamounts have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 79th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 102nd in percentage and 35th in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Vermont defense has been performing well, ranking 45th in the country at 64.9 points allowed per contest. The Vermont defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed Brown to connect on 9 threes.