Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
Coming into this week seven matchup, the Louisville Cardinals are favored by -7.5 points on the road as they take on the Virginia Cavaliers. The game is set for 3:30 ET at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville and will be broadcast on ACCN. The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Louisville has a 3-2 record, while Virginia is 4-1 on the season.
LOUISVILLE CARDINALS VS VIRGINIA CAVALIERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +7.5
This game will be played at Scott Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE VIRGINIA CAVALIERS:
- We have the Virginia Cavaliers winning this one by a score of 26 to 21
- Not only do we have the Virginia Cavaliers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points
Will The Louisville Cardinals Win As Road Favorites?
Louisville enters Week 7 against Virginia with a 3-2 record, ranked 16th in our power rankings. They have a 91.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but just a 4.9% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Cardinals are 2-1 at home and 0-1 on the road this season.
Louisville is 2-2 against the spread, with a +19 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in three games, going 2-1 ATS as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog.
Their over/under record stands at 3-1, with an average total of 58.2 points per game. This week’s line is 54.5 points, slightly above their season average line of 53.4 points.
Louisville’s passing game has been the focal point of their offense, ranking 22nd in passing yards per game with 303.4 yards. Tyler Shough has thrown for 1,443 yards, 13 touchdowns, and just 2 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 118. Overall, Louisville is 18th in our offensive power rankings and is scoring 38.6 points per game, which also ranks 18th nationally.
Ja’Corey Brooks leads the receiving corps with 489 yards and 6 touchdowns on 25 catches. Louisville is 29th in passing completions per game, averaging 21.8, and they are 39th in passing attempts. Shough’s completion percentage is 64.5%.
Louisville’s defense, ranked 26th nationally, has allowed an average of 19.6 points per game this season. In their recent game against SMU, they gave up 34 points, including 485 total yards, with 291 yards through the air and 194 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 199.6 passing yards per game against Louisville, completing 67.4% of their passes. On the ground, the Cardinals have allowed 115.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 40th in the country.
Are The Virginia Cavaliers Going Win In At Upset At Scott Stadium
Virginia enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, facing Louisville at home. They are 1-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. The Cavaliers are ranked 61st in our power rankings, with a 58% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they have been favored in four of their five games.
Virginia’s average scoring margin is +7.4 points per game, and they are 2-1-1 against the spread. At home, they are 1-1 ATS, while they hold a 1-0-1 record on the road. As favorites, their ATS record stands at 2-1-1.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 54.5 points. Virginia’s games have averaged 50.6 points, with an average over/under line of 53.8 points. Their over/under record for the season is 2-2.
Heading into week 7, Virginia’s offense is averaging 29 points per game, placing them 49th in the nation, and they are ranked 69th in our offensive power rankings. Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 1,211 yards, completing 66.4% of his passes, and has eight touchdowns to four interceptions, with a passer rating of 98.
Virginia ranks 44th in passing attempts, averaging 31.2 per game, and 35th in completions. They are 58th in passing yards, with 252 per game. On third downs, they have converted just 33.8% of their attempts. Xavier Brown leads the rushing attack with 315 yards, averaging 8 yards per carry, but he has yet to score a touchdown. Malachi Fields has 412 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 28 catches.
Virginia’s defense is currently ranked 33rd nationally, allowing 21.6 points per game. They’ve been strong against the run, giving up just 113.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 36th in the country. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, allowing 266.4 yards per game, ranking 143rd.
In their recent game against Boston College, Virginia’s defense allowed just 14 points and 65 rushing yards on 29 attempts. They also forced two interceptions, though they did give up 254 passing yards and two touchdowns.