Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
ESPN2 is handling the broadcast as the UCF Knights and Cincinnati Bearcats face off at 3:30 ET this Saturday, October 12th. The game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando. The over/under line is currently sitting at 58.5 points. UCF is the -3.5-point favorite at home. Both teams come into this one with 3-2 records on the season.
CINCINNATI BEARCATS VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +3.5
This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:
- We have the Cincinnati Bearcats winning this one by a score of 35 to 27
- Not only do we have the Cincinnati Bearcats winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 58.5 points
Will The Cincinnati Bearcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Cincinnati enters Week 7 with a 3-2 record, ranking 48th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 63.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 1-1 on the road and 1-1 at home this season.
The Bearcats have been favored in three of their five games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +11.8 points per game, and they are 2-1-1 against the spread this season.
Cincinnati’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 55 points. The average over/under line for their games is 54.1 points, while this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.
Cincinnati’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 23rd nationally with 301.2 yards per game. Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 1,481 yards, boasting a passer rating of 117. He has 12 touchdowns and just one interception. The Bearcats are 30th in scoring, averaging 33.4 points per game, and they rank 11th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Sorsby has completed 66.3% of his passes, and Cincinnati ranks 25th in third-down conversions, converting 47.6% of their attempts. Xzavier Henderson leads the receiving corps with 450 yards and four touchdowns. On the ground, Corey Kiner has rushed for 413 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry.
Despite allowing 44 points in their recent 44-41 loss to Texas Tech, Cincinnati’s defense gave up just 333 total yards, including 119 rushing yards on 27 attempts and 214 passing yards. They allowed three rushing touchdowns but no passing scores.
On the season, Cincinnati ranks 33rd nationally, giving up 21.6 points per game. Opponents have averaged 157.6 rushing yards per game and 249 passing yards, with quarterbacks completing 61.1% of their passes and posting a 93 passer rating.
Are The UCF Knights Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
UCF enters Week 7 with a 3-2 record, facing Cincinnati at home. They are ranked 39th in our power rankings and have a 77.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 1-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
The Knights have a +9.6 average scoring margin and are 2-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite.
Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 59.5 points. This week’s line is set at 58.5 points, just below their average line.
UCF’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 4th nationally with 282.4 rushing yards per game on 49.8 attempts per game. RJ Harvey leads the team with 600 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 9 touchdowns.
Overall, UCF is 29th in scoring, averaging 34.2 points per game, and they have converted 47.1% of their third-down attempts. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards with 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. UCF ranks 91st in passing yards per game. Kobe Hudson has 363 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.
UCF’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 92.8 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Florida, they gave up 135 rushing yards on 29 attempts. The Knights also allowed 229 passing yards and one passing touchdown, while forcing no interceptions.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 93.7 passer rating against UCF, completing 70.7% of their passes. UCF’s secondary has allowed 247 passing yards per game, ranking 121st nationally. On average, opposing offenses have thrown the ball 33.2 times per game against UCF’s defense.