Looking to win big? The Cardinals and Hurricanes face off at 7:00 ET on ACCN. The Hurricanes are hosting the game at Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL. The over/under for this Atlantic Coast conference contest is set at 158 points, with the Hurricanes being the favored team playing at home against the Cardinals.


The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +16

This game will be played at Watsco Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Hurricanes.
  • Even though we have Miami (FL) winning straight-up, we like Louisville at +16.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Despite being 0-3 on the road this season, Louisville has been the underdog in all seven of their games away from home. They have lost all seven of those games, and they have lost their last three overall. Most recently, they fell to Pittsburgh by a score of 83-70.

On the season, Louisville is 5-9, and they are 0-3 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They have a scoring differential of -12.7 points per game on the road, and they have lost their last 10 games away from home.

Against the spread, Louisville has a record of 4-8-2 this season. As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 2-4-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 1-2 and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Louisville games sits at 8-6. On average, their games have finished with 148.8 points compared to an average over/under line of 145.2, resulting in an average margin of 3.6 points. Today's over/under line of 158 is higher than the average scoring total of their games this year and over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0.

The Cardinals' offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 72.7 points per contest. One area that the Louisville offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 23rd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 42%.

At this time, the Cardinals' defense is positioned 241st in the country, permitting 76.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Louisville's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.8% this season.

Will Miami (FL) Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

After losing their last game to Wake Forest by a score of 86-82, Miami (FL) will look to bounce back and improve their record to 12-3. At home this season, the Hurricanes have been perfect, going 11-0, and over their last ten games at home, they have gone 10-0.

On the other hand, Louisville enters this game with an 11-3 record and is coming off a 64-46 win over Georgia Tech. Over their last five games, the Cardinals have gone 4-1, and on the road this season, they are 3-0.

As the favorite this season, Miami has gone 7-4 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 8-5-1. At home, the Hurricanes are 8-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Miami has a 6-4 ATS record. In their last 3 home games, the Hurricanes are 3-0 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Miami (FL) games is 9-5 and today's line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (154.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 164 points.

In their latest game, Miami (FL)'s offense looked good, scoring 82 points against Wake Forest. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.3% and made 12/14 free throws. Leading Miami (FL) in scoring vs. Wake Forest was Kyshawn George with his 21 points. Norchad Omier also added 20 points for the Hurricanes.

Coming into today's game, the Miami (FL) defense is giving up an average of 71.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.2 threes per game vs. Louisville. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.4%.