Planning on watching today's Lakers and Timberwolves game? Catch the action at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, as the Timberwolves hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on BSN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 226.5 points, and the Timberwolves are favored to win at home against the Lakers.


The Pick: Los Angeles Lakers +3.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, December 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-115 in favor of the Lakers.
  • Our projections have Anthony Davis finishing with Anthony Davis points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Lakers finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.8% and knocking down 11 threes.

Can the Lakers Offense Score Enough in Minneapolis?

As the Lakers get ready to take on the Timberwolves, they are the 3.5-point underdogs. Before this game, LA is 8th in the West and 3rd in the Pacific with a record of 17-15.

When playing on the road, the Lakers have struggled this season, going just 6-11. The average scoring margin on the road is -6.9 points per game.

Against the spread, Los Angeles is 14-18, on average, they have been the favorites by 5.4 points per game and have gone 14-6 straight-up when favored.

The over/under record in their games is currently sitting at 17-15, and the over has hit in five straight games for the Lakers. Today's line of 226.5 is slightly below their average over/under line of 229.3. In their previous games with lower over/under lines than 226.5, their OU record is 5-7.

In 56.2% of their games, the Lakers offense has scored below what their opponents are allowing on average this season. Overall, the Lakers are 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 114.7 points per game. Anthony Davis is the team's leading scorer at 24.9 PPG, while LeBron James is averaging 25.1 PPG.

Los Angeles' defense is currently in line with the NBA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 114.5 points per game. Los Angeles' defense is currently forcing 13.5 turnovers per game, which is 20th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 13th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.5 rejections per game.

Do the Timberwolves Stand a Chance at Home?

With an overall record of 23-7, the Timberwolves will look to pick up another win as they host the Lakers. Minnesota is also leading the Western Conference, but they have dropped two straight against the spread at home. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +11.6 points per game at home compared to +1.1 on the road.

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 8-6 at home and 15-14 overall. They are also favored in today's game, which has them in the lead in terms of being the favorite this season (19-3). Their over/under record coming in is 17-13, and the over has hit in each of their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 220.9 points per contest this season, and today's line is 226.5.

When playing at home, Minnesota's average scoring margin has not been enough to cover the spread in each of their last two games. They have had the lead at home for six straight games and have also won six in a row at home.

In the Timberwolves' most recent game, they scored 118 points vs the Mavericks. They shot 51.4% from the field and made 17 three-pointers. Anthony Edwards had a game-high 44 points while Rudy Gobert added 20 for the Timberwolves.

Coming into today's game, the Timberwolves' defense is giving up an average of 107.4 points per contest. The Timberwolves defense is coming off a game in which they held the Mavericks offense to just 51.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 110 points to Dallas.