Newsletter

Happy March! Despite all the fuss over teenagers and 20somethings the NBA continues to get better and better. The Lakers and Clippers gave us a taste of what to expect in the Western Conference finals. Giannis is out a few games with a knee sprain. Will the Bucks shut him down for the rest of the regular season? The Heat, Raptors, and the Celtics are preparing for the playoffs and the Pacers &amp; 76ers have about six weeks to get healthy and find an identity if they want to meet their preseason expectations. Meanwhile the Grizzlies are watching their lead for the eighth seed tighten as the Pelicans look terrifying and the Kings, yes, the Sacramento Kings, are playing great basketball. As Kevin Garnett said, “ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!”, but for now, here’s some data and thoughts on the week to come. Below you’ll find each team’s pace and net ratings (total, home, &amp; away) for the season in total, the last ten games, and then my own ratings. Pace shows us how many possessions are averaged per 48 minutes and net rating shows us the difference in offensive &amp; defensive efficiency for each team. The season totals give a larger sample size, last 10 games a look at current form, and finally are Noops’s Numbers, my own view of things. I take the first 2 sets of data along with other cuts of time, other points of data, and adjustments for opponents faced. Without further ado, here’s my ranking of teams for the upcoming week:

[caption id="attachment_690398" align="alignnone" width="2560"]<a href="http://bangthebook.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Power-Rankings-Table-3-9-20-scaled.jpg"><img class="zoooom wp-image-690398 size-full" src="http://bangthebook.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Power-Rankings-Table-3-9-20-scaled.jpg" alt="" width="2560" height="1058" /></a> (click to enlarge)[/caption]

To be clear, these are specifically how I’m ranking teams for the next week. The NBA season is long and always changing so it’s important to make adjustments regularly. This is a reference tool you can use throughout the week to value teams. The arrows help us see which teams are trending above or below their season averages. I look for discrepancies in lines and my rankings. For example, if the Houston Rockets were visiting the Los Angeles Lakers season long data would set the Lakers as favorites, but I would love to take the Rockets in that spot. On to the week ahead:

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Memphis Grizzlies</strong></span>

Everyone, even me, has been talking about the Pelicans and Kings. Will Zion be able to lead New Orleans to even one win in the first round? Can the Kings complete the miracle playoff run to end the longest active playoff drought? Screw all that. The Grizzlies have a four game lead on the final playoff spot and Jaren Jackson Jr. &amp; Branbon Clarke should be back this week. On top of the improving roster, Memphis has been playing good ball after bad five game losing streak which makes the L10 data little murky. The lost to the Kings, Lakers, Clippers, Rockets, and Kings again before beating the Lakers, then going 2-1 on a three game roadie against Atlanta, Brooklyn, and Dallas finishing up the week with a second victory over the Hawks. They are beating the teams they should soundly and losing to some of the league’s best teams and the Kings. I think we have a chance to buy low here. The host Orlando Tuesday and then visit Portland and Utah to finish a short week. I’m going to be looking to bet the Grizzlies in all three games, especially if both Jackson Jr. &amp; Clarke return.

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Toronto Raptors</strong></span>

The Raptors have overachieved all season in my opinion and I think things are starting to cool off just a little bit. They’re still winning games, but the margins are shrinking and a loss at home to Charlotte is embarrassing. Some injuries are starting to creep in again and Lowry looks like he’s feeling the 36 minutes a night for 51 games. Toronto is 5-4 in their last nine games after winning almost 75% of their games to start the year. Now could be the time to start fading the Raptors, but they have a bizarre schedule this week. They visit Utah Monday night and then don’t play until Saturday when they host the Pistons. I’m betting on the Jazz Monday night. This is the last game of a five game road trip for Toronto and a back to back so the Jazz have a big rest advantage. Lay the points with Utah Monday. As for Saturday, maybe a Pistons first half bet? I’ve covered the tanking Pistons, but maybe the Raptors are rusty off the long break after a long road trip. Tanking teams tend to play well to start and fade in the second half so look at the first quarter or first half and avoid betting Detroit full game.

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Boston Celtics</strong></span>

My numbers are down on the Celtics, but this is a perfect example of needing to put context around what data is telling you. Their numbers are down and they lost four of their last fives games, but are we sure the Celtics are actually any worse? Looking at their four losses I’m actually not too concerned going forward. They lost overtime games against Houston &amp; Brooklyn and very close games to Utah &amp; OKC. They shot 40% from the field and 31% from 3 in those games despite shooting 46% and 34% respectively for the entire season. I think this stretch was more regression to the mean after an 11-2 run than an indication to be concerned going forward. They visit Indiana then it’s onto Milwaukee where they may miss Giannis with the week ending against Washington &amp; Chicago. I’m not going to be afraid to bet Boston early in the week and selling points at the week’s end could be a great idea.

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>San Antonio Spurs</strong></span>

Did you notice earlier how I missed them when talking about the race for the final playoff spot in the West? I did it twice. They’re five games out now behind three other teams after a 4-10 run. Demar DeRozan is back and that is not a good thing. The Spurs’ net rating improves 3.9 points with Demar off the court. The offense steps back 3.5 points, but defense gets a whopping 7.4 points without him. His younger replacements are much better suited to defend in today’s NBA. If DeRozan continues to get minutes we should look to fade San Antonio. They host Dallas, Denver, and Minnesota this week. I’m ready to bet on Dallas, Denver, and maybe even Minnesota this week. Ok, probably not Minnesota, but we’ll see.

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Denver Nuggets</strong></span>

This team is perplexing. At certain points Jokic looks like an MVP candidate and they beat the Bucks in Milwaukee by a dozen. Then, just last Tuesday, they lost by 16 to Golden State at home. It really fries my noodle and the numbers lead me to believe they are more mediocre than they are good. They have a stroke of luck on Monday as they host the Bucks sans Giannis, but then they head on the road where they’ve been downright awful this season. They visit Dallas, San Antonio, and the Lakers. I already mentioned the spot in San Antonio and despite what I just said, they should be able to take care of business. The other two games are great spots to bet against Denver. The game in Dallas is particularly enticing. The Mavericks should be focused on moving up in the seeds to avoid a Los Angeles team and ready to avenge a loss to Denver in Dallas earlier this season. Look to fade the Nuggets against good teams until further notice.

<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Tanking Update</strong></span>

Fade the Pistons. I’ve covered this enough the past few weeks. They stink and they’re only incentivized to stink even worse.

Golden State with Curry is going to be funky. They lost, but were competitive when he played against Toronto and actually beat the 76ers without him. They have the worst record in the league by a few games, so they could win a game or two for the season ticket holders if they want. Be careful here.

San Antonio, Portland, Sacramento, and New Orleans are all competing for the playoffs so there is no tank in sight.

That leaves us Phoenix, Minnesota, Washington, Charlotte, Chicago, New York, Cleveland, and Atlanta. All of these teams for various reasons, good, bad, or otherwise, continue to compete every night. I would actively be trying to lose games if I were these teams. Giving it your best is always admirable, but pride is often foolish. It’s time to extend injury recovery times, test out young players &amp; free agents to see what you’ve got, and maybe do your best to use all your timeouts before the end of the game. I can’t condone blindly fading these teams yet.

Thanks for reading! You can reach me on Twitter <a href="https://www.twitter.com_noops"><strong>@_Noops</strong></a> with any thoughts or questions. Feel free to let me know what I could be doing better or what else you might be interested to know. Have a great week and good luck!

NBA Power Rankings for the Week of March 9-15, 2020

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<p>FOX is set to broadcast the week 15 matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Boise State Broncos, which is scheduled for 8:00 ET on Friday, December 6th, at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. The Broncos are the -4 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 58.5 points. Both teams have had strong seasons, with Boise State at 11-1 and UNLV at 10-2.</p><h3>UNLV REBELS VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: UNLV Rebels +4</p><p>This game will be played at Albertsons Stadium at 8:00 ET on Friday, December 6th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:</h3><ul><li>We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 27 to 26</li><li>Not only do we have the UNLV Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 58.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The UNLV Rebels Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs</h3><p>With a 10-2 record, UNLV heads into Week 15 against Boise State. They are 6-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season. The Rebels have been favored in seven games, going 7-0 as the favorite. They have a +16.7 average scoring margin and are a lock for bowl eligibility. UNLV has a 31.5% chance of winning the Mountain West and ranks 13th in the nation with a 27.5% chance of making the playoff.</p> <p></p><p>UNLV’s ATS record stands at 6-4, with a 4-2 mark on the road and 2-2 at home. They are 4-3 against the spread as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. On the road, they are 2-2 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.</p> <p></p><p>The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with their average over/under line at 57.3 points. They are 4-6 against the over/under this season, with four games having higher lines than this week’s total and seven games with lower lines.</p><p>UNLV’s offense is averaging 38.7 points per game, ranking 7th in the nation. They are 3rd in rushing, with 259.2 yards per game, and 5th in rushing attempts, averaging 44.3 per game. Jai'Den Thomas leads the rushing attack with 833 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 yards per carry. UNLV is ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.</p> <p>Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,735 yards, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109. UNLV ranks 13th in passer rating nationally. Ricky White III has 1,020 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 75 catches.</p><p>UNLV's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 101.7 rushing yards per game. In their recent win against Nevada, they gave up only 67 rushing yards. The secondary has allowed 248.2 passing yards per game, but they rank 16th in the nation by holding opposing quarterbacks to a 54.8% completion rate.</p><p></p><p>In the game against Nevada, UNLV’s defense allowed 14 points and 359 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced an interception. This season, the defense is ranked 31st in the country, giving up 22 points per game.</p><h3>Are The Boise State Broncos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?</h3><p>Boise State enters Week 15 with an 11-1 record, and they are ranked 27th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and hold a 68.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 8th best odds of making the playoff at 68.6%.</p> <p></p><p>The Broncos are undefeated at home (5-0) and have gone 5-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in 10 of their 12 games and are 10-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.4 points per game, and they are 6-4-1 against the spread.</p> <p></p><p>This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. Boise State’s games have averaged 63.8 points, and their average over/under line is 60.6 points. Their over/under record for the season is 6-5.</p><p>Boise State's offense has been impressive this season, ranking 3rd in points per game with 40.6, and they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15. Their run game is a major strength, averaging 255.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been a standout, rushing for 2,288 yards and 28 touchdowns, with an average of 7 yards per carry. Boise State also excels on third downs, converting 49.4% of their attempts.</p> <p>Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 2,556 yards, completing 61.7% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 102. Boise State ranks 61st in passing attempts per game. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 811 yards and four touchdowns on 51 catches.</p><p>Boise State's defense has allowed an average of 23.2 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 18 points, allowing 13 first downs and 345 total yards. Oregon State ran the ball 19 times for 119 yards and completed 21 of 37 passes for 226 yards.</p> <p></p><p>Opponents have averaged 258.2 passing yards per game against Boise State, with a completion rate of 62.5%. The defense ranks 21st in the nation against the run, giving up just 107.1 rushing yards per game on 31.1 attempts, which is the 26th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.</p>

UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 12/6/24

<p>The Catamounts and Huskies are set to face off at 7:00 ET on FloH. The Huskies will host the game at Matthews Arena in Boston, MA. The Catamounts are the favored team in this non-conference contest against the Huskies. The game's over/under currently sits at 139 points.</p><h3>VERMONT CATAMOUNTS VS NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Northeastern Huskies +2.5</p><p>This game will be played at Matthews Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 6th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-69 in favor of the Huskies.</li><li>Not only will Northeastern pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.</li></ul><h3>Can Vermont Grab a Win on the Road?</h3><p>Vermont is about to play their 10th game of the season and currently have a record of 7-2. When playing away, the Catamounts have a 1-2 record, while they have a perfect 4-0 record at home. Vermont has a subpar ATS record, sitting at 2-5. In their previous five games, the team is winless against the spread at 0-4.</p><p>Looking at their over/under performance through nine games, Vermont has an over/under record of 2-5-0, with their games averaging 133.4 points per game on average. Over the course of the last five games, the Catamounts' games have averaged 138 points per game, along with an over/under record of 1-3.</p><p>In their recent matchup, the Vermont offense ended with 66 points against Yale. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.9% and made 10 threes. TJ Long led the scoring for the Catamounts, contributing 23 points. Additionally, Shamir Bogues chipped in with 14 points.</p><p>So far, the Catamounts' defense is ranked 17th in the country at 61.4 points per contest. So far, the Vermont defense is giving up an average of 7.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.3 times per game (236th).</p><h3>Can the Huskies Pull the Upset at Home?</h3><p>Northeastern enters their 10th game of the season with a 4-5 record. Looking back at their previous five home games, including those from last year, Northeastern has a 4-1 record. Northeastern has a winning record against the spread, sitting at 5-4. In their previous five games, they are 3-2 vs. the spread.</p><p>Northeastern comes in with an over/under record of 8-1-0 through nine games, with their games averaging a combined 150.6 points per game so far. The Huskies have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 156 points per game and an over/under record of 5-0.</p><p>Northeastern is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 81 points versus Old Dominion. This output is higher than their season-average of 74.6 points per game. Leading Northeastern in scoring vs. Old Dominion was Luka Sakota with his 18 points. Jared Turner also added 14 points for the Huskies.</p><p>So far, the Huskies' defense is ranked 195th in the country at 76.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Northeastern's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 48.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.3% this season.</p>

Vermont Catamounts vs Northeastern Huskies Betting Pick & Prediction 12/6/23

<p>The Detroit Pistons head to Phoenix to take on the Suns in a non-conference matchup. The game is set to tip-off at 9:00 ET and can be seen on AZFa.</p>

<p>Phoenix is currently favored by 6 points and has a record of 14-12. They are 9th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific Division. Detroit is 11th in the Eastern Conference and 5th in the Central Division. They come into this game with a record of 11-17.</p><h3>DETROIT PISTONS VS PHOENIX SUNS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Detroit Pistons +6</p><p>This game will be played at Footprint Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, December 21st.</p><h3>WHY BET THE DETROIT PISTONS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 121-112 in favor of the Pistons.</li><li>Our projections have Cade Cunningham finishing with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Pistons finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 14 threes.</li></ul><h3>Taking a Look at the Pistons Chances on the Road</h3><p>The Pistons fell to 11-17 on the season after a 126-119 home loss to the Jazz on Thursday. Detroit, favored by 4.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 245 exceeded the O/U line of 227.5 by 17.5 points.</p> <p>Detroit’s slow start saw them down 48-19 after the 1st quarter. They responded with a 35-19 2nd quarter and went on a 10-0 run to cut the deficit from 32-15 to 32-25. Despite outscoring Utah 32-30 in the 3rd and 33-29 in the 4th, they couldn’t complete the comeback.</p><p>In the Pistons' 126-119 loss to the Jazz, Cade Cunningham led the way with 33 points and 7 assists, shooting 56.5% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 37.5%. Malik Beasley contributed 26 points, knocking down 7 threes despite shooting just 34.6% overall.</p> <p>As a team, Detroit made 13 threes, but shot just 27.7% from beyond the arc and 43.8% overall. Cunningham scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, while Beasley added 9 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.</p><p>Defensively, the Pistons struggled out of the gate, allowing 48 points in the 1st quarter, but they tightened up in the 2nd, giving up just 19. However, they couldn't maintain that level of play, allowing 30 points in the 3rd and 29 in the 4th, leading to a 126-119 loss to the Jazz.</p> <p>Detroit had a tough time defending the perimeter, as the Jazz hit 20 threes at a 50% clip. Utah also went to the line 31 times, making 28 free throws. The Pistons gave up 15 offensive rebounds but did manage to record 10 steals and 8 blocks.</p><h3>Can Phoenix Deliver Being Favored at Home?</h3><p>The Suns fell to 14-12 on the season after a 120-111 loss to the Pacers on Thursday. Phoenix, favored by six points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 231 points came in just under the 235.5-point line.</p> <p>Indiana’s 14-0 run early in the game put Phoenix in a hole, but the Suns battled back to lead 59-60 at halftime. However, a rough 3rd quarter, where they were outscored 37-24, left them trailing 97-83 heading into the 4th. Despite outscoring the Pacers 28-23 in the final quarter, the Suns couldn’t complete the comeback.</p><p>Kevin Durant poured in 37 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in the Suns' 120-111 loss to the Pacers, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 50% clip. Devin Booker added 17 points, with 12 of those coming in the opening quarter, while Bradley Beal contributed 16 points, shooting 66.7% from the floor and making 2 threes at 50%.</p> <p>Durant was a force in the 4th quarter, scoring 16 points, and added 11 more in the 3rd. The Suns made just 9 threes as a team, shooting 30% from beyond the arc, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 48.8%.</p><p>The Suns gave up 120 points in their loss to the Pacers, with a tough 3rd quarter where they allowed 37 points. They did tighten up in the 4th, holding Indiana to 23 points. Phoenix allowed the Pacers to shoot 43% from the field.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, the Suns allowed 16 threes on 39% shooting. Indiana also got to the line 31 times, making 26 free throws. Phoenix gave up 9 offensive rebounds while recording 6 steals and 4 blocks.</p>

Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Prediction 12/21/24

<p>Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Panthers versus the Golden Knights? The puck drops at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 6 goals, and the Golden Knights are favored to win at home vs. the Panthers.</p><h3>FLORIDA PANTHERS VS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5</p><p>This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS:</h3><ul><li>With the Golden Knights being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Golden Knights.</li><li>Take the Golden Knights on the moneyline</li><li>On the spread, we like Panthers (+1.5)</li></ul><h3>Can The Panthers Secure a Road Victory?</h3><p>This season, the Panthers currently hold an overall record of 23-12-2. When playing on the road, Florida has a 11-7-2 record, while they are 12-5-0 at home. At the moment, they hold the 2nd spot in the Eastern Atlantic division and are ranked 3rd in the Eastern conference.</p><p>Regarding the puck line, Florida comes in with a 18-19 record. On the road against the puck line, they are 11-9, while their home record is 7-10. This season, Florida's games are averaging 5.5 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.4. The Panthers currently have an over/under record of 14-23-0.</p><p>In their last three games away from home, the Panthers have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.</p><p>The Panthers come into the game scoring an average of 3 goals per game, putting them 20th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 2nd in the league. This season, the Panthers have a 16-11 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 5-1 record.</p><p>Florida's leading goal scorer is Sam Reinhart. So far this season, he has 24 goals, placing him 3rd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Reinhart has 21 assists this season.</p><p>Defensively, the Golden Knights come into the season ranked 11th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 29.8 shots per game against Vegas. For the season, they are ranked 10th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.</p><p>Heading into this matchup vs. Vegas, goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has started 28 games in this season. His current record is 18-9, and his save percentage stands at 0.9411764705882353%.</p><h3>Does Vegas Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?</h3><p>The Golden Knights come in with an overall record of 22-11-5. On the road, Vegas has a 9-8-3 record, whereas they are 13-3-2 at home. They are currently positioned 2nd in the Western Pacific division and 4th in the Western conference.</p><p>Regarding the puck line, Vegas comes in with a 18-20 record. On the road against the puck line, they are 9-11, while their home record is 9-9. For the season, Vegas' games have finished with an average of 6.1 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.2. Overall, the Golden Knights have an over/under record of 18-20-0.</p><p>Across their three previous home games, Vegas has an puck line mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 1 goals per game.</p><p>For their offensive performance, the Golden Knights come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 10th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 3rd in the league. Looking at how the Golden Knights' offense is performing during power plays, they are 8th in power play goals and 10th in shorthanded goals.</p><p>Vegas will be looking for a good game from Jonathan Marchessault who leads the team in scoring with 17 goals, ranking 25th in the NHL. Marchessault also comes into the game with 10 assists.</p><p>Vegas defense takes on the Panthers ranked 11th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Vegas. They alsso are 10th in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.</p><p>Heading into this matchup vs. Florida, goalie Logan Thompson has started 20 games in this season. His current record is 11-7, and his save percentage stands at 0.7843137254901961%.</p>

Florida Panthers vs Vegas Golden Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/24

College Football

Arkansas State at South Alabama College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19

No. 20 Boise State vs. Colorado State College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19

Missouri vs. Arkansas College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19

Washington State vs. Washington Free ATS Betting Pick 11/29/2019

NCAA Football Free ATS Pick - No. 18 Cincinnati at No. 17 Memphis 11/29/19

Texas State vs. Coastal Carolina College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

No. 5 Alabama at No. 16 Auburn College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

Arizona at Arizona State College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

Wyoming vs. Air Force College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

Miami (FL) vs. Duke College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

<p>The Aggies and Gamecocks are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Gamecocks will host the game at Pete Mathews Coliseum in Jacksonville, AL. The over/under for this Conference USA conference contest is set at 132.5 points, with Jacksonville State being favored by -8.5 at home against New Mexico State.</p><h3>NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -8.5</p><p>This game will be played at Pete Mathews Coliseum at 5:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Gamecocks.</li><li>Not only will Jacksonville State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -8.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Can the Aggies Lock in a Road Win?</h3><p>With a record of 11-18, New Mexico State has struggled this season, especially on the road. In fact, the Aggies have yet to win a game away from home, going 0-14.</p>

<p>Overall, New Mexico State has lost six straight games, with their most recent game being an 83-58 loss to Liberty. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Aggies are 0-10.</p><p>As the underdog, New Mexico State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 6-13. Their ATS record on the road is 4-10, and they have not covered the spread in any of their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies are just 1-9 vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico State's games this season (140.1). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 134 points.</p><p>In their latest game, New Mexico State offense put up 58 points against Liberty. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.6% and made 5 threes. The team's top scorer is Christian Cook, who enters today's matchup with an average of 10.4, while Femi Odukale also carries a PPG average of 10.9 into the game.</p><p>New Mexico State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. New Mexico State's three-point defense is currently 160th in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.4% of their shots vs. New Mexico State.</p><h3>Will Jacksonville State Win at Home?</h3><p>Through 29 games, Jacksonville State has a record of 14-15 and is 6-8 in Conference USA. The Gamecocks are 7-6 at home compared to 5-9 on the road.</p>

<p>As the favorite, Jacksonville State has gone 8-5. For the year, the Gamecocks have been favored in 13 of their 29 games.</p><p>As the favorite this season, Jacksonville State has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gamecocks are 6-4 vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Jacksonville State's games this season (135.2). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 143 points.</p><p>Coming off their recent game, the Jacksonville State offense tallied 65 points in a matchup against UTEP. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.7%, and they made 6 threes. One area that the Jacksonville State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 121st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.</p><p>The Gamecocks' defense is presently ranked 32nd nationally, allowing an average of 65.6 points per contest. Jacksonville State's defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the UTEP offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 72 points.</p>

New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24

<p>Betting on today's Bonnies and Friars game? Catch the action at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT, as the Friars hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on CBSS. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 127.5 points, and Providence is favored by -3.5 vs. St. Bonaventure.</p><h3>ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES VS PROVIDENCE FRIARS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Providence Friars -3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Mohegan Sun Arena at 5:00 ET on Saturday, December 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE PROVIDENCE FRIARS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Friars.</li><li>Not only will Providence pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 127.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Will the Bonnies Win in Uncasville?</h3><h3>St. Bonaventure Bonnies Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>St. Bonaventure improved to 8-1 on the season with a 65-55 home win over Buffalo on Saturday, December 7th. Although the Bonnies were favored by 17.5 points, they didn’t cover the spread.</p> 

<p>After leading 32-22 at halftime, St. Bonaventure and Buffalo both scored 33 points in the 2nd half. The game’s total points of 120 fell short of the 142.5 O/U line.</p><p>St. Bonaventure's offense put up 65 points in their latest game, shooting 44.7% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 48.9%, with a 53.1% success rate on two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, they struggled, hitting just 26.7% of their threes (4/15).</p> <p>At the free-throw line, the Bonnies connected on 79.2% of their attempts, going 19/24. They grabbed 6 offensive rebounds and dished out 11 assists. Chance Moore and Ryan Sabol both played 38 minutes, with Moore scoring 16 points and Sabol adding 14, hitting 3 of 6 from deep. Bryson Wilson and Melvin Council Jr. also contributed 14 and 12 points, respectively, with Council adding 2 assists.</p><p>St. Bonaventure's defense held their opponent to 55 points, even though they shot 44% from the field. The Bonnies allowed 17 two-point baskets on 32 attempts, a 53% success rate.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, St. Bonaventure limited their opponent to 4 made threes on 15 attempts, a 26% shooting performance. They also sent them to the free-throw line 24 times, where they made 19, shooting 79%. The Bonnies gave up 6 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>Do the Friars Have a Shot at a Home Win?</h3><h3>Providence Friars Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>The Friars moved to 7-4 on the season with a 70-63 win over DePaul on Tuesday. Providence, who entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs, not only secured the win but also covered the spread.</p> 

<p>Providence trailed 30-27 at halftime but outscored DePaul 31-28 in the second half to pull away. The game’s total points of 133 fell short of the 138.5 O/U line.</p><p>Providence put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 44.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.8%. They hit 54.1% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 30.8% of their threes.</p> <p>David Skogman was a standout, hitting 6 of 10 threes and finishing with 22 points and 6 rebounds. Bensley Joseph also contributed 20 points and 7 assists, shooting 50% from the field.</p><p>Providence's defense was on point, giving up just 63 points while holding their opponent to 32% shooting from the field. They were especially effective inside, limiting the other team to 32% on two-point attempts, with just 11 makes on 34 tries.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Providence allowed 11 threes on 33 attempts, a 33% shooting clip. They also sent their opponent to the line 15 times, where they hit 8 free throws, good for 53%. Providence gave up 10 offensive rebounds in the game.</p>

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Providence Friars NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/14/24

<p>From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Tigers and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. Monday's game is getting started at 4:08 PM ET, and the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 50s. Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers, and they are the slight money line favorite (-129). The Guardians are starting Matthew Boyd and they are +110 on the money line. Cleveland comes into the game on a two-game losing streak and is 92-69 overall, while the Tigers are 86-76 and have lost two straight as well.</p>

<p>The over/under line for Monday's game is currently at 6 runs, and the under is paying out at -108 compared to -111 for the over. Detroit is 3rd in the AL Central, while the Guardians are leading the division.</p><h3>CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +110</p><p>This game will be played at Progressive Field at 4:08 ET on Monday, October 7th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Guardians winning by a score of 4 to 3</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Tigers, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster two runs and left the bases loaded.</p>

<p>Tanner Bibee only went 4 2/3 innings for the Guardians but didn't give up a run and finished with six strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Holton had a rough outing for the Tigers, giving up four runs in no outs of work.</p>

<p>Lane Thomas hit the game's only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Cleveland's offense.</p><h3>Tigers Records & Stats</h3><p>As the Tigers prepare for game two of their series against Cleveland, they find themselves needing a win to avoid falling behind 0-2. Detroit is on the road, where they went 43-38 during the regular season, matching their home record. They’ve dropped their last two games and have also lost two in a row as the favorite. The Tigers finished the regular season with an 86-76 record.</p> <p>Detroit’s run line record stands at 88-77, with a +0.4 scoring margin on the road and an even margin at home. They’ve lost two straight against the run line as favorites. On the road, their run line record is 53-31. The Tigers’ over/under record is 78-81, and today’s line of six runs is well below their season average of 8.1.</p><p>Tarik Skubal has been outstanding this season for the Tigers, coming into the game with a record of 18-4 and an ERA of 2.39. He has made 31 starts and has a WHIP of .92. Skubal has been especially tough at home, going 10-1 with a 2.02 ERA. On the road, his record is 9-3 with a 2.90 ERA. Skubal has made 22 quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he didn't give up a run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four hits and one walk. Skubal has won each of his last three starts.</p><p>Over the Tigers' last eight games, Parker Meadows has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/31 with two homers and six runs scored. This has helped him put together a four-game hitting streak heading into today's game. Kerry Carpenter comes into the game with the team's best batting average (.284) and is 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Riley Greene has been the team's top power threat, with 24 homers and comes into the game batting .262.</p>

<p>For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 15th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .300 is 21st in the league. Overall, they are just 19th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .385.</p><h3>Guardians Records & Stats</h3><p>Leading the series 1-0 against Detroit, Cleveland looks to take a commanding lead in game two of this best-of-five matchup. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 65-36 mark, while going 28-33 as underdogs.</p> 

<p>During the regular season, Cleveland went 83-79 against the run line, with a +0.8 average run margin at home and +0.4 on the road. They finished 40-41 versus the run line at home. The Guardians’ over/under record was 68-82, and today’s O/U line of 6 runs is their lowest of the season, compared to their average line of 8 runs.</p><p>Through eight starts, Matthew Boyd has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 2.72. Looking at his overall numbers, Boyd has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Boyd's ERA for the season is 2.86 at home, compared to 3.28 on the road. Opponents are batting .204 off Boyd this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.44 strikeouts and 2.95 walks.</p><p>Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 13/29 in his last eight games with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with 39 homers and 118 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he is 13th in the league with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.</p>

<p>Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting a combined .238. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, they are one of the best in the league at not striking out and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.</p>

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/7/24

<p>At 9:08 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Dodgers are the slight underdog on the money line (+129). The money line odds for the Padres are sitting at -151, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.</p>

<p>Walker Buehler will start for the Dodgers, and he will be facing off against Michael King. The Dodgers are 98-64 and have won five straight, while the Padres are 93-69.</p><h3>LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline +129</p><p>This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:08 ET on Tuesday, October 8th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PADRES:</h3><ul><li>We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Dodgers to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under</li></ul><p>San Diego cruised to a 10-2 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 8th inning, scoring three runs and adding another three in the 9th. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +131 on the money line.</p>

<p>Yu Darvish pitched well for the Padres in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued two walks. Jack Flaherty had a rough outing for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.</p>

<p>Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill each homered for the Padres. Tatis, Xander Bogaerts, and Kyle Higashioka each had two RBIs. Jurickson Profar scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4.</p><h3>Dodgers Records & Stats</h3><p>As the Dodgers prepare for game three of their NL Divisional Round series against the Padres, they find themselves tied 1-1 and on the road. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, going 52-29 at home and 46-35 on the road. They’ve won five straight road games and five overall.</p> 

<p>Los Angeles has a run line record of 82-82, including 41-40 on the road. As favorites, they’re 74-72 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.5 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 92-68, with the over hitting in their last two games.</p><p>Walker Buehler is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gets the start for the Dodgers today vs. the Padres. In that last start, Buehler took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA. Buehler's WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. Looking at his overall numbers, Buehler has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 7.65 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has three quality starts.</p><p>Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late for the Dodgers, going 19/39 in his last nine games with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .310 with a team-high 54 home runs and 130 RBIs, both of which are 2nd in the league. Teoscar Hernández has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/34 in his last nine games with three homers and nine RBIs. He is batting .272 for the season and is 2nd on the Dodgers with 33 homers.</p>

<p>As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They also lead the league in OPS and slugging percentage. Overall, they are the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best isolated power mark in the league.</p><h3>Padres Records & Stats</h3><p>As the Padres prepare for game three of their NL Divisional Round series against the Dodgers, they’ll look to take a 2-1 series lead at home. San Diego posted a 93-69 regular season record, including a 45-36 mark at home and 48-33 on the road. They’ve won six straight home games and two straight as the favorite.</p> 

<p>San Diego went 86-80 against the run line this season, with a 34-49 run line record at home. As favorites, they were 44-61 against the run line. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.8 total runs, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 85-77, and the over has hit in three straight games.</p><p>Michael King will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn't give up an earned run and got the win. In that start vs. the Braves, he went seven innings and didn't give up a walk. Looking back further, King has made 30 starts and is 13-9 with a 2.95 ERA. Opponents are batting .217 vs. King this season, and his WHIP is 1.19. Overall, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.42 strikeouts per nine innings. King has allowed a total of 17 home runs this season.</p><p>San Diego comes into the game with the league's best team batting average at .263 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Padres are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.</p>

<p>Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs is 7th in the league and leads the team. He also has a team-high 29 home runs. Over his last nine games, Machado has four homers and has gone 12/33 (.364). Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar are also near the top of the Padres home run leaderboard, with 24 homers apiece. Luis Arraez and Kyle Higashioka have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Arraez hitting .364 in his last nine games and Higashioka also going deep four times in this stretch.</p>

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 10/8/24

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