Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24
There looks to be a chance for light rain in Atlanta on Friday, where the Braves and Dodgers will face off at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park. However, the forecasted rain does not appear to be impacting the money line odds, as the Dodgers are the slight favorite (-109).
Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and APLTV will be televising this NL matchup. Landon Knack is starting for the Dodgers, and they are currently 1st in the NL West, while the Braves have Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. Atlanta is 3rd in the NL East and has a record of 79-67.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -109
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Friday, September 13th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Dodgers Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 10-8 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -164. It was a big 1st inning for the Dodgers, as they scored five runs right out of the gates. The Cubs could only score two runs in the 2nd and added another four runs in the 5th to take the lead. Los Angeles’s bullpen closed things out with Alex Vesia picking up the save.
Bobby Miller got the start for the Dodgers and took the win. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Dodgers had 12 hits and only one home run. Tommy Edman went 2/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Los Angeles is 87-59 overall heading into their road matchup vs. the Braves. The Dodgers are in 1st place in the NL West, leading the Diamondbacks by 5 games. Los Angeles lost two of three in their series vs. the Cubs.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this season, and they are 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 82-48 this year, but they are just 5-11 as the underdog. So far, they have been the road favorite 35 times, going 21-14.
When betting the run line, the Dodgers have been a .500 proposition this season at 73-73. They have been a bit better on the road at 35-36, but their overall run differential is just +0.8 runs per game. They have been a favorite in 130 of their games and have gone 66-64 against the run line in those contests.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-64. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 32-24. This season, 46 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.5% of their games. The over has hit in their last three games.
Right-hander Landon Knack is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA. Knack’s WHIP for the season is .96, and opponents are batting .191 this year. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Knack took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight decisions. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 1-0 and 3.04 ERA compared to 1-3 with a 3.11 ERA at home.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 47 home runs are 2nd in the MLB and the best mark on the Dodgers. He is also 3rd in the league with 104 RBIs. Ohtani is batting .292 for the season and comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. Tommy Edman has also been on a tear of late, going 9/20 with four homers in his last five games.
Overall, the Dodgers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and have been a very good home run hitting team. They are also near the top of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, the Dodgers have the 2nd best OPS in the league and are 2nd in isolated power.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored two runs in the 3rd. The Braves could only scratch across one run, and it came in the 6th inning.
Max Fried had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on 11 hits and issuing three walks. The Braves also wasted a big game from Jorge Soler, who went 2/3 with a double and a run scored.
Heading into today’s game vs. the Dodgers, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. Overall, the Braves are 79-67, and they are 24-22 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta is coming off a series split vs. the Nationals, and they are 5-5 across their last ten games.
At home, the Braves are 40-31 this year, and they have gone 39-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this year, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall record as the favorite is 67-51. So far this year, they have a series record of 26-17-6.
When betting the run line on Braves games this season, it has been a better proposition to take the underdog. Atlanta is 17-11 against the run line as the underdog, but just 52-66 as the favorite. The Braves have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game this season, but they have been outscored by 0.1 runs per game at home.
Atlanta is 13-24 this season when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have played in 44 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.1% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 53-88.
Spencer Schwellenbach is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Against the Blue Jays, Schwellenbach gave up two homers. Looking back over his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. Schwellenbach has a record of 5-7 this season and an ERA of 3.78. Opponents are batting .237 off the right-hander this season. In 17 starts, he has eight quality starts and is averaging 9.86 strikeouts per nine innings.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .303 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/22 in his last six games. Olson is batting just .237 for the season but does have 25 homers.
Overall, the Braves are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .240 and are 23rd in the league in strikeouts.