Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24
This article was published on Sep 13, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Rays and Guardians facing off in an AL matchup. The Guardians are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -176, while the Rays are at +148. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSSUN. The Rays are 72-75 this season, while the Guardians lead the AL Central with an overall record of 84-63.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -176
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 13th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay picked up a 5-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 4th inning, scoring two of their five runs and picking up three of their six hits. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 5th and finished the game with five hits.
Ryan Pepiot only went two innings for the Rays but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Cole Sulser got the win out of the bullpen, and Richard Lovelady got the save. Gavin Williams struggled on the mound for the Guardians, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Brandon Lowe and José Caballero each homered for the Rays, while Yandy Díaz scored two runs and drove in a run while going 2/3. For the Guardians, Franmil Reyes went 2/4 with an RBI.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 72-75 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division, two games behind the Red Sox for 3rd place. The Rays are 19-24 against other AL East teams this year.
At home, the Rays are 37-38 this year and 35-37 on the road. So far, they have gone 35-30 as the favorite but just 37-45 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 22-19-6, and they are currently up 1-0 in the series vs. the Guardians.
When betting the run line, the Tampa Bay Rays have been a good choice this season, as they are 76-71 overall. They are 42-30 on the run line on the road, and they have covered in their last two games. They are 52-30 against the run line as the underdog, and they have an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Rays’ games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-74 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-26. Overall, 56.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 6-9. Littell’s ERA is 3.89, along with a WHIP of 1.33. In his 26 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Littell’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. At home, his ERA is 3.3, compared to 6.2 on the road.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .231. However, they do have two players with a good on-base percentage, as a team, they are 8th in walks.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .284 with 14 homers and 65 RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 9/21 in his last six games. Brandon Lowe has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 3/10 with two homers in his last four games.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland heads into today’s game vs. the Rays with an overall record of 84-63, which has them leading the AL Central by four games over the Royals. The Guardians will take on the Rays at home today, and they are 27-21 in divisional games this year.
The Guardians have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and are 38-19 as the home favorite this year. On the road, the Guardians are 41-37. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 59-31, and they are 27-15-5 in series this year.
The Guardians have a run line record of 74-73 this season, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the run line at home, going 33-36, compared to 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 42-48 on the run line, while they are 32-25 as the underdog. They have an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game at home and 0.4 runs per game on the road.
The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 66-70 this season, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. However, when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-19. The Guardians have played 103 games with lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 70.1% of their games this season.
Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Bibee has made 28 starts and has a record of 11-7. His ERA for the season is 3.56, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Opposing batters are hitting .225 off Bibee this season. One positive note for Bibee is that he has a WHIP of 2.84 compared to 4.96 at home.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 106 RBIs are 2nd in all of baseball. He has also gone deep 34 times, which is the best mark on the team and 8th in the MLB. Ramirez is also batting a solid .270 for the season. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 29 homers and is 5th in the league with 101 RBIs.
Lane Thomas has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 8/21 in his last five games, including driving in nine runs. He is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Austin Hedges and Bo Naylor have each homered in their last game, with Hedges going 1/3 and Naylor going 3/13 in his last four games.
