<p>ESNU will be covering the week seven matchup between the Ohio Bobcats and Central Michigan Chippewas, set to kick off at 4:00 ET from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant. Both teams enter the game with a 3-2 record this season. The Bobcats are the -3.5-point favorites on the road, and the over/under line is currently at 47.5 points.</p><h3>OHIO BOBCATS VS CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Kelly/Shorts Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Ohio Bobcats winning this one by a score of 26 to 25</li><li>Even though we like the Ohio Bobcats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Central Michigan Chippewas at +3.5</li><li>Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Ohio Bobcats Win As Road Favorites?</h3><p>Ohio enters Week 7 against Central Michigan with a 3-2 record, ranking 106th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 87% chance of being bowl-eligible but just a 6.6% chance of winning the Mid-American. The Bobcats are 2-0 at home but 0-2 on the road this season.</p> <p></p><p>Ohio is 3-1 against the spread, with a -1.8 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 2-1 ATS as the underdog. At home, they are 2-0 ATS.</p> <p></p><p>Their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 47 points. Ohio’s games have averaged 44.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 47.5 points.</p><p>Ohio's offense has leaned on their run game, ranking 37th in rushing attempts and averaging 194 yards per game. Anthony Tyus III leads the team with 500 rushing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 5 yards per carry.</p> <p>Quarterback Parker Navarro has thrown for 751 yards, with Ohio ranking 107th in passing yards per game. Navarro has 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and the team is 79th in scoring, averaging 21.2 points per game.</p><p>Ohio’s defense has been strong against the run this season, allowing just 100 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th in the nation. In their recent game against Akron, they gave up 116 rushing yards on 21 attempts. The Bobcats also held Akron to 10 points and forced them to throw 32 times, allowing 206 passing yards.</p><p></p><p>Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 63.5% completion rate and a passer rating of 85.5 against Ohio, with 238.8 passing yards per game, ranking Ohio 112th nationally. On average, they’ve faced 30 rushing attempts per game, the 23rd fewest in the country.</p><h3>Are The Central Michigan Chippewas Going Win In At Upset At Kelly/Shorts Stadium</h3><p>Central Michigan enters Week 7 against Ohio with a 3-2 record, ranked 116th in our power rankings. They have a 44.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 2-0, while they are 0-2 on the road this season.</p> <p></p><p>The Chippewas have been favored in three of their five games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +0.6 points per game, and they are 1-3 against the spread this season.</p> <p></p><p>Central Michigan’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 59.4 points. Their average over/under line is 49.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 47.5 points.</p><p>Central Michigan’s offense is averaging 30 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 47th in the nation. However, they rank 92nd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is 36th in attempts, with 33.4 per game, and they are 38th in completions, averaging 19.8. Overall, they are 64th in passing yards, with 245 per game, and they have converted 37.1% of their third downs.</p> <p>Joe Labas leads the team with 1,078 passing yards, but he has thrown seven interceptions to go along with seven touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 76. Central Michigan’s rushing attack is averaging 184.6 yards per game. B.J. Harris has 273 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry. Evan Boyd is the leading receiver with 253 yards and one touchdown.</p><p>Central Michigan's defense has allowed 29.4 points per game this season, including 21 points in their recent 22-21 win over San Diego State. They gave up 323 total yards in that game, with 224 passing yards and 99 rushing yards on 34 attempts.</p><p></p><p>Opponents have averaged 156.2 rushing yards per game against Central Michigan, while quarterbacks have posted a 103.6 passer rating, completing 61.8% of their throws and averaging 197.6 passing yards per game.</p>

Ohio Bobcats vs Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

Isn’t it fitting that the Buschy McBusch Race was won by Kyle Busch? Trips to Victory Lane have been few and far between for Kyle over the last three years, but he got one at Kansas Speedway last weekend. The pressure is now off for him heading into this week’s Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway.

The “Lady in Black” is a twice-a-year stop for the Cup Series and this will be the first race, with the second one scheduled to open up the playoffs on September 5. We’ll break this one down with odds from our pals at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betonline"><strong>BetOnline Sportsbook</strong></a> and see we can get back to the winner’s circle ourselves.
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="295">Kyle Larson</td>
<td width="295">+450</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Denny Hamlin</td>
<td width="295">+550</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Kevin Harvick</td>
<td width="295">+700</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Martin Truex Jr</td>
<td width="295">+750</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Brad Keselowski</td>
<td width="295">+800</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Kyle Busch</td>
<td width="295">+800</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Chase Elliott</td>
<td width="295">+900</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Joey Logano</td>
<td width="295">+1000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">William Byron</td>
<td width="295">+1600</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Alex Bowman</td>
<td width="295">+1800</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Ryan Blaney</td>
<td width="295">+2000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Christopher Bell</td>
<td width="295">+2500</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Kurt Busch</td>
<td width="295">+3300</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Austin Dillon</td>
<td width="295">+4000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Matt DiBenedetto</td>
<td width="295">+4000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Tyler Reddick</td>
<td width="295">+4000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Aric Almirola</td>
<td width="295">+6600</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Erik Jones</td>
<td width="295">+8000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Chris Buescher</td>
<td width="295">+10000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Cole Custer</td>
<td width="295">+10000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Daniel Suarez</td>
<td width="295">+10000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Darrell Wallace Jr</td>
<td width="295">+10000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Michael McDowell</td>
<td width="295">+15000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Ricky Stenhouse Jr</td>
<td width="295">+15000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Ross Chastain</td>
<td width="295">+15000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Ryan Newman</td>
<td width="295">+15000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Chase Briscoe</td>
<td width="295">+20000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Ryan Preece</td>
<td width="295">+20000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Anthony Alfredo</td>
<td width="295">+30000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Corey Lajoie</td>
<td width="295">+50000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">BJ McLeod</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Cody Ware</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">James Davison</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">JJ Yeley</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Josh Bilicki</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Justin Haley</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="295">Quin Houff</td>
<td width="295">+100000</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3><strong><u>The Odds</u></strong></h3>
Kyle Larson is something of a surprise favorite at +450 here on the short track at Darlington. Larson has demonstrated the ability to be competitive at just about any track, but he’s gotten more of his wins on bigger tracks, including his win on the 1.5-mile loop in Vegas. He’s run very well at Michigan and Indianapolis in the past. Darlington is more of an intermediate track.

Nevertheless, he’s the favorite here, followed by snakebitten Denny Hamlin, who has led the most laps four times this season, but has not won a race. Hamlin is +550. Kevin Harvick is still garnering a lot of respect on the odds board and he is priced at +700, ahead of Martin Truex Jr. at +750, Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch at +800, and Chase Elliott at +900.

Joey Logano is +1000 and then everybody else is +1600 or higher. That has basically been the boilerplate format for NASCAR odds this season. Mix and match the top eight guys between +500 and +1000 and then post the others starting around +1400 or +1600.
<h3><strong><u>The Track Too Tough To Tame</u></strong></h3>
Alliteration aside, Darlington Raceway has been around for 71 years and has been a regular NASCAR stop ever since. The first Darlington race was won by Johnny Mantz in his Plymouth. The second was the first of three for Herb Thomas, with the first two coming in a Hudson. So, yeah, this track has a lot of history.

NASCAR ran twice a year here from 1956-2004 before the spring race as taken off of the schedule. It returned in 2020 and the drivers actually ran twice here to make up ground on the schedule in light of COVID-19.

The track is 1.366 miles long with an asphalt racing surface. The track is an oval, but with big, wide turns for 1 and 2 and narrower turns for 3 and 4. The egg-shaped layout is because of a minnow pond that was next to the property. Like I said, a lot of history.
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<h3><strong><u>Darlington</u></strong><strong><u> Darlings</u></strong></h3>
So, who has run well here? Larson has actually had a lot of success here. He only has six starts, but has finished in the top five three times and the top 10 five times. The highest average finish here actually belongs to Erik Jones, who has a win, four top-five finishes, and has been in the top 10 all six times. Not something that we would expect to see.

As far as the usual suspects, Denny Hamlin has run here 17 times and his average finish is 7.5th place. Hamlin’s three wins are tied for the most among active drivers with Kevin Harvick, who actually scored two of those three wins last season. He won the first spring race and then the fall race as well. Because of those two performances, Harvick is now the active leader in laps led with 782, but he also has the second-most laps here with 8,710, trailing only Kurt Busch. Harvick’s 11 top-five finishes are the most among active drivers, but he does also have a lot more starts than most of them.

Brad Keselowski has run well at Darlington with a win, five top-five finishes, and seven spots in the top 10 over 14 races.  His Team Penske teammate, Joey Logano, has also been in the top 10 in half of his 14 races, but has one fewer top-five finish and no wins.

The only other active drivers with wins that haven’t been mentioned yet are Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch. Only six active drivers have a win here.
<h3><strong><u>Recent Darlington Darlings</u></strong></h3>
Because the spring race went away for a long time, the recent results are pretty similar to the overall results. Harvick’s three wins have all come within the last 10 races and he has nine top-five finishes here. He’s been in the top 10 in every race and his 427 points are far and away the most. He’s averaged a finish of 3.5th place, hence the really short odds this week.

Hamlin has two wins, six top-five finishes, and seven in the top 10 with an average finish of 8.7th place. Jones and Larson have six starts a piece, so obviously their aforementioned numbers apply here.
<h3><strong><u>Goodyear 400 Picks</u></strong></h3>
It looks like this could be Kevin Harvick’s week. Because of his struggles, we’re getting +700 on him. Normally he’d be in the 5/1 range, so there is some equity on this price. Harvick has back-to-back top-five finishes and just saw what Kyle Busch did to win a race on a track where he has excelled in the past. I think it all sets up well for Harvick here.

Taking a chance on Erik Jones at +8000 when he’s been so good in his six starts here is not crazy, but the longer shot looks appealing.

As far as another pick at a more reasonable price, William Byron is on a run of nine straight top-10 finishes and profiles as a guy that should run well here. His lone top-five finish here came in the fall race last season. I’ll give him a look at +1600.

Coverage of the Goodyear 400 will be at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday May 9 on FS1.
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2021 NASCAR Cup Series Goodyear 400 Betting Odds & Free Picks

<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Pirates. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on FS2, and it's hosted by the Pirates at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Big East conference game currently have Seton Hall as the -5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 143 points.</p><h3>BUTLER BULLDOGS VS SETON HALL PIRATES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Seton Hall Pirates -5</p><p>This game will be played at Prudential Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SETON HALL PIRATES:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Pirates.</li><li>Not only will Seton Hall pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.</li></ul><h3>Can the Bulldogs Lock in a Road Win?</h3><p>Butler comes into this game as a 5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-10 as the underdog this season. Overall, they have gone 16-11, but they have lost their last three games.</p>

<p>On the road, the Bulldogs are 4-6 this season, and their average scoring margin is -3.3 points per game. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have gone 4-6.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Butler has gone 5-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 3-7. On the road, Butler is 5-5 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.</p><p>Butler's over/under record this season sits at 14-12 and their games have averaged 152 points. Today's over/under line of 143 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (145.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during that span is 0-3.</p><p>The Butler offense is coming off a game where they scored 62 points against Villanova. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% and connected on 11 threes. The team's top scorer is Pierre Brooks, who enters today's matchup with an average of 15.1, while Jahmyl Telfort also carries a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.</p><p>At this time, the Bulldogs' defense is positioned 225th in the country, permitting 73.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Butler's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.8% this season.</p><h3>Can the Pirates Pull Off a Home Win?</h3><p>Seton Hall is coming off a 68-62 win over St. John's, and the Pirates have won two straight games. At home this season, they have a record of 10-3, and their average scoring margin at home is +10.5.</p>

<p>So far this season, Seton Hall has been favored in 12 of their 26 games, and their record as the favorite is 10-2. In Big East play, they are 9-5 compared to 8-4 in non-conference action.</p><p>Seton Hall has an ATS record of 11-14 this season and they are 6-7 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Pirates are just 4-6 ATS.</p><p>Seton Hall's over/under record for the season is 12-13 and today's line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (140.6). So far, 15 of their games have finished with less points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.</p><p>Against St. John's, the Seton Hall had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.2 points per game. They scored 68 points and posted a field goal percentage of 37% in the game. The team's top scorer is Kadary Richmond, who enters today's matchup with an average of 16.2, while Al-Amir Dawes also carries a PPG average of 14.4 into the game.</p><p>The Pirates' defense is presently ranked 97th nationally, allowing an average of 69.1 points per contest. Seton Hall will look once again to perform well on defense, holding St. John's to just 33% shooting in their most recent game.</p>

Butler Bulldogs vs Seton Hall Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 2/24/24

<p>Saratoga will be the site of a major horse race this weekend as it’s time for the annual Alabama Stakes. This is a race that has always seemed to attract some of the top horses, and the field is loaded with top competitors again this year.&nbsp;</p>



<p>There will be eight three-year old fillies set to take to the track for the Alabama 2024, and there are some extremely tight odds for this event. A couple of horses appear to stand out above the rest of the pack, but there could be some underdogs that make a big run as well.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Here is a look at the current betting odds to win the Alabama Stakes and a bet on which horse gets it done.&nbsp;</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Pletcher Has Two Options</h2>



<p>When looking at the betting odds to win the Alabama, there are two horses trained by Todd Pletcher that are near the top of the list. One of his horses has now emerged as a clear favorite, but the other horse isn’t too far behind.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Candied has been the favorite since the field was announced, and nothing has changed as that horse now has odds sitting at +250 to come away with the win. While the odds for Candied have improved since the draw, the other horse that was trained by Pletcher has seen the odds fall a bit.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Miss Justify now has <a href="https://www.bangthebook.com/s/bookmaker/">betting</a> odds set at +450 to win the Alabama, and that horse was once neck-and-neck with Candied. Those are still going to be the top two horses to watch, even though some other contenders have seen their odds improve. </p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Others in the Field</h2>



<p>There are six other horses set to run in the race, and those odds are a bit all over the place. Some have seen their betting odds improve over the last few days, while others have always been a bit of a longshot.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Power Squeeze (+400) and Just Basking (+500) are the two horses that have seen their odds improve the most, and they will now look to challenge Candied in this race. Out of that group of horses, it’s actually Just Basking that is the horse that you want to keep an eye on.</p>



<p>Chatalas and Intricate are the other two horses that could end up making a move and they have odds sitting at +800 to come up with the win. America’s Vow and Neon Icon are the other horses in this event, and their odds are currently at +1200 to come up with the win.&nbsp;</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Picking a Winner</h2>



<p>It has been a wild and thrilling year so far in the horse racing industry, and this is a race that has historically delivered some great results. <a href="https://www.bangthebook.com/s/bookmaker/">Betting</a> odds have been moving a ton ahead of this event, but the clear favorite has remained. </p>



<p>While there are some horses in this field that can push Candied down the final stretch, there is a clear favorite for a reason. Taking the betting odds and betting on Candied to get the win is going to be the best option to explore.</p>



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Alabama Stakes Betting Preview

<p>At 7:05 PM ET, the Milwaukee Brewers (8-3) will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles (8-4) in an interleague matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. The weather forecast for the game calls for light rain with a temperature of 61 degrees and a wind speed of 18 MPH.</p>

<p>On the mound for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while the Orioles will counter with Tyler Wells. The oddsmakers have this one as a close matchup, with the Orioles currently listed as the slight favorite with a money line of -120 compared to the Brewers at +101. The over/under line is currently set at 8 runs.</p><h3>BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -120</p><p>This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, April 12th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS ORIOLES:</h3><ul><li>We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><h3>Brewers Records & Stats</h3><p>Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Brewers closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +120 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Brewers scored three runs in the inning. Milwaukee's offense added another two runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. The Reds could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.</p>

<p>Wade Miley put together a good start for the Brewers, going four innings and giving up just one run on one hit. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.</p><p>The Brewers have been on a roll lately, winning two straight games and taking two out of three from the Reds in their last series. So far this season, they have played well on the road, going 5-1, and have been especially good as the road underdog, going 5-0. They have also been strong in day games, going 7-1.</p>

<p>Overall, the Brewers are 8-3 and are currently tied for first place in the NL Central with the Pirates. They have a chance to make up some ground on the Pirates as they are currently 3.5 games behind them.</p><p>When the Brewers are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line. They are 5-1 ATS on the road, and have covered in their last two games as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.1 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 6-5, and their average run margin per game is 1.5 runs.</p><p>The Brewers have been on a roll with the over, hitting in four straight games. Their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 7-4. The over/under line for their games has been set at an average of 8 runs per game, and they have gone over that line in 63.6% of their games this season. Their games have had an average of 10.3 runs per game this season, and their games have hit the over in four straight games.</p><p>Freddy Peralta and the Brewers are on the road today, taking on the Orioles. Peralta has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his first start and then taking a no-decision in his last outing. He has 15 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings of work so far this season.</p><p>When looking at the Brewers' offensive projections, we have Rhys Hoskins as the player with the best chance to hit a home run today. His home run projection is 8th best in the league. Christian Yelich has the 2nd best chance to hit a home run for the Brewers and his home run projection is 11th best in the league. If you are looking for a player to get a hit, William Contreras has the best hits projection on the team and his total is 19th best in the league. If you are looking for a longshot to hit a home run, Sal Frelick has the 18th best odds in the league.</p><h3>Orioles Records & Stats</h3><p>Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with an impressive 9-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -130 on the money line. It was a six-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Red Sox could only score two runs in the bottom of the 10th. Baltimore's offense was carried by Colton Cowser, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.</p>

<p>Grayson Rodriguez got the start for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings, and didn't give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Red Sox batters. Craig Kimbrel picked up the win out of the bullpen, and the Orioles scored six runs in the top of the 10th to get the win.</p><p>The Orioles are currently on a three-game winning streak and have an overall record of 8-4. They are currently in 2nd place in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games. Baltimore has been solid at home, going 4-2, and they have also been good on the road, going 4-2.</p>

<p>So far, the Orioles have been great in day games, going 7-3, and have a record of 7-4 when they are favored. They have yet to be an underdog at home, going 4-2 in those games.</p><p>The Orioles are 7-5 against the run line this season, including a 3-3 mark at home. They have covered the run line in four of six road games. Baltimore is 6-5 against the run line as the favorite and 1-0 as the underdog. The average run margin in their wins is 4.5, while it's -2.0 in their losses.</p><p>When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs for the season. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 6-4. The over has hit in two of their last three games, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 58.3% of their games this season.</p><p>Tyler Wells is getting the start for the Orioles at home against the Brewers. He has started two games already this season, and in his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 4 runs and taking the loss. In his first start of the year, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 3 runs.</p><p>When looking at the Orioles' offensive projections, we see that Ryan Mountcastle has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his total hits projection is 22nd best in today's slate of games. His home run projection is 4th on the team and 15th in the league today. Anthony Santander has the highest home run projection on the team and 8th best in today's games. Adley Rutschman is our top projected Orioles hitter in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 16th best in today's games. Gunnar Henderson has the 2nd highest home run projection on the team and 9th best in today's games.</p>

Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

<p>The Ravens are favored by -6.5 as they host the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are the heavy favorite with a money line of -288, and the over/under line is set at 52.5 points. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS.</p><h3>WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Washington Commanders +6.5</p><p>This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 30 to 19</li><li>Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Commanders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs</h3><p>Washington heads into week 6 on a four-game winning streak, including a 34-13 home victory over the Browns in week 5. The Commanders were favored by 3 points and easily covered the spread, putting them at 4-1 ATS this season. They’ve covered in four straight games, including two as underdogs, and have a +8 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.</p> <p>With a 4-1 record, Washington sits atop the NFC East and ranks 2nd in the conference. Our power rankings have them 12th heading into week 6, and they have a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 47.8% chance of winning the division. The Commanders are 2-0 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.</p><p>Heading into week 6, the Commanders lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 31 points per game, and they sit 4th in total yards per game with 392.6. Despite ranking 25th in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 238 yards (14/25) and a touchdown in week 5. Daniels posted a passer rating of 96 in week 4 and 141 in week 3. Terry McLaurin led the team in receiving in week 5, with 112 yards on 4 catches.</p> <p>Washington has leaned on the run game, ranking 2nd in both rushing attempts and yards per game (178.4). Daniels rushed for 82 yards on 11 carries in week 5, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 101 yards on 21 carries in week 4. The Commanders also lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 51.7% success rate.</p><p>Washington's defense was dominant in their 34-13 win over the Browns, with 7 sacks and holding Cleveland to just 108 yards passing. The Commanders' secondary allowed only 16 completions on 29 attempts (55.2%) and limited the Browns to a 3.7 yards per attempt. Additionally, they were tough to convert on third down, allowing just a 7.7% conversion rate.</p><p></p><p>On the ground, the Commanders gave up 104 yards on 23 attempts, with Cleveland averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. Despite this, Washington's defense was able to control the game by pressuring the quarterback and limiting big plays.</p><h3>Are The Ravens Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?</h3><p>After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 41-38 victory over the Bengals in week 5. This streak has put Baltimore at the top of our power rankings and given them a 71.4% chance of winning the AFC North. They currently hold a 3-2 record, including a 1-0 mark in division play.</p> <p>Against the spread, the Ravens are 3-2, covering in each of their last three games. In week 5, they narrowly covered the 2.5-point spread by beating the Bengals by 3. Their O/U record is 4-1, with an average of 54.6 points scored in their games.</p><p>Heading into week 6, the Ravens rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game with 447.6 and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 29.4. Baltimore has relied heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (34.4) and yards per game (211.2). Despite ranking 3rd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in conversion percentage, with just 5%.</p> <p>Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 348 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 5 without an interception. Before that, he posted passer ratings of 135 in week 4 and 139 in week 3. Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries in week 5, and Zay Flowers led the team with 7 catches for 111 yards.</p><p>In their most recent game, the Ravens gave up 371 passing yards to the Bengals, allowing five passing touchdowns and 442 total yards. Despite this, the Ravens managed to come out on top with a 41-38 overtime win. The Bengals completed 76.9% of their passes and converted on 57.1% of their third down attempts.<p></p>Baltimore's defense did come up with one interception and had three sacks in the game. The Ravens also held the Bengals to just 71 yards on 23 rushing attempts, and they won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.</p>

Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

<p>The forecast for Tuesday's Braves vs. Cardinals matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 90s. This one is getting started at 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-138).</p>

<p>The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Cardinals will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak with a victory. However, they are +117 on the money line. As for the Braves, they are 43-33 and 2nd in the NL East. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, while the Braves are sending Reynaldo Lopez to the mound.</p><h3>ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +117</p><p>This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS CARDINALS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>St. Louis picked up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a big 3rd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Braves, they scored one run in the 5th and added two more in the 9th.</p>

<p>Lance Lynn started for the Cardinals and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued zero walks. As for the Braves, Spencer Schwellenbach got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.</p>

<p>Austin Riley hit the game's only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Brendan Donovan also had a three-hit game for the Cardinals.</p><h3>Braves Records & Stats</h3><p>With an overall record of 43-33, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Atlanta lost the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals and are 12-11 in divisional matchups this year. The Braves have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.</p>

<p>At home, the Braves have gone 24-13 this season, and they are just above .500 at 19-20 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 40-27, compared to 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta's overall series record is 15-8-2, and they have won three straight series.</p><p>When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, it's not close, as their average run margin in losses is -3.4. Overall, Atlanta has a run line record of 37-39, with a scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game. Their run line record on the road is 20-19, and they are 5-4 against the run line as an underdog.</p><p>The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-45. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-15. So far this season, 42.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 27.6% have had lower lines. The under is currently on a two-game streak.</p><p>Reynaldo López is coming off a strong outing for the Braves, as he didn't give up a run in five innings of work vs. the Tigers on June 19th. He ended up with the win in that outing. Looking at his overall numbers, López has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-2. His ERA for the season is an impressive 1.57, along with a WHIP of 1.08. This year, opponents are batting .208 vs. López. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed four homers and is averaging 2.78 walks per nine innings.</p><p>Marcell Ozuna has been a huge part of the Braves' lineup this season, as he is batting .314 with 21 homers and 64 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. Ozuna is also on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and has gone deep four times in his last eight games while hitting .246 for the season.</p>

<p>Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are batting a combined .245. As a team, they are 6th in slugging percentage and have the 6th best isolated power (ISO) in the league.</p><h3>Cardinals Records & Stats</h3><p>St. Louis is currently 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by five games. The Cardinals have an overall record of 40-37 and have won four straight games, including taking the first game of this series vs. the Braves. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional matchups.</p>

<p>At home, the Cardinals are 21-15 this year and 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has won six straight games at home, and they are 7-4 as the home underdog this year. As for their overall record as the underdog, the Cardinals are an even 20-20.</p><p>St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 40-37. They have been particularly good at home, going 22-14 on the run line in their own ballpark. They have covered the run line in eight straight home games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 25-15 on the run line in those games.</p><p>When the St. Louis Cardinals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is their combined run average for the season. The over/under record for the Cardinals this season is 33-41, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cardinals have a record of 15-9. So far this season, 22.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.</p><p>Kyle Gibson is getting the start for the Cardinals today and comes into the game with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.44. So far, he has made 14 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Gibson was fantastic, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He only allowed two hits in that outing. Looking back further, he has only given up more than three earned runs once in his last five outings. Gibson's ERA at home is 4.07 compared to 2.82 on the road.</p><p>St. Louis' offense is averaging just 4 runs per game this season, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league. So far, their offense has been very average in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.</p>

<p>Both Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been swinging the bat well of late, with Donovan going 15/34 and Burleson going 12/29 over their last eight games, respectively. Nolan Gorman is the team's leader in home runs, but he is batting just .195 so far this season.</p>

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24

<p>The Chicago Bulls will host the Boston Celtics at the United Center in a 8:00 ET tipoff. This Eastern Conference matchup will be televised on NBCS.</p>

<p>The Celtics (-329) are favored by 7.5 points over the Bulls (+263) and the over/under line is set at 221.5. Boston is 56-14 and has won eight straight games. Chicago is 34-36 and sits 9th in the Eastern Conference.</p><h3>BOSTON CELTICS VS CHICAGO BULLS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Chicago Bulls +7.5</p><p>This game will be played at United Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 23rd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE CHICAGO BULLS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Celtics.</li><li>Our projections have Jaylen Brown finishing with Jaylen Brown points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 12 threes.</li></ul><h3>Can Boston Pull Off a Road Win?</h3><p>Today, the Celtics are favored by 7.5 points against the Bulls. This season, Boston has been favored in 67 of their 70 games and has gone 54-13 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +12.2 PPG.</p>

<p>In terms of their ATS record, the Celtics are 36-31 overall and 17-16 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last five road games and are 34-30 ATS as the favorite.</p>

<p>Boston's O/U record for the season is 34-35-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 230.5 points per game compared to today's O/U line of 221.5.</p>

<p>Looking at the Eastern Conference standings, the Celtics are in 1st place with a record of 56-14. In non-conference games, they are 19-7 and 37-7 against other Eastern Conference teams.</p>

<p>Boston's last game was a 129-102 win over the Pistons. They easily covered the spread as 14-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 223 points.</p><p>Heading into their matchup with the Bulls, the Celtics are one of the most potent offenses in the NBA, ranking 2nd in scoring at 121.1 points per game. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, leading the NBA with 16.6 made threes per game.</p>

<p>When it comes to scoring on the road, Boston is 3rd in the NBA at 118.9 points per game. Overall, they have outscored the league average in 74.3% of their games this season.</p>

<p>So far, the Celtics have been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league. They are 9th in field goal percentage at 48% and have the 2nd-best true shooting percentage. However, they are just 17th in free throw attempts per game.</p><p>This season, the Celtics defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.4 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Celtics defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.0% and 34.5% from three-point territory.</p><h3>Can the Bulls Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?</h3><p>Today, the Bulls are looking to extend their home winning streak to three games. As the underdog, they are 15-26 straight-up and 21-20 against the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is also 2-0 coming into today's game.</p>

<p>Chicago's ATS record for the season is 35-34, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 17-18 ATS compared to 18-16 on the road.</p>

<p>In terms of their O/U record, the Bulls are 38-31-1 this season. The over has hit in their last five games, and today's O/U line is 221.5 points. On average, their games have finished with 225.8 points.</p>

<p>Chicago's last game was a 127-117 loss to the Rockets. The O/U line for that game was 219.5 points. The Bulls were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.</p>

<p>In the Eastern Conference, the Bulls are in 9th place with a record of 34-36. Within the Central Division, they are in 4th place. This season, they are 18-22 against other teams in the East and 16-14 in non-conference games.</p><p>At home, the Bulls are averaging 111.5 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.1 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the league at 97.1 possessions per game.</p>

<p>When it comes to field goal percentage, Chicago is 20th in the NBA at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 35% of their shots, which is 19th in the league. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 22nd with an average of 32.6 per game.</p>

<p>So far this season, the Bulls have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.4% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 24th in the league with an average of 24.8 per game.</p><p>So far, the Bulls' defense is ranked 14th in the league at 113.7 points per contest. In their previous game, the Bulls' defense struggled against the Rockets, giving up 127 points on a field goal percentage of 45%.</p>

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls Betting Pick & Prediction 3/23/24

The National Football League (NFL) is easily the most popular sport in the United States, especially when it comes to betting. NFL betting puts up the biggest numbers every single year, and bettors are always looking for new betting options.

The NFL was founded all the way back in 1920 in Canton, Ohio, and that is where the Hall of Fame is located to this day. There were only a handful of teams in the league when it first started, but it didn’t take long for the league to grow.

There are now 32 teams in the NFL, and the league is broken up into two conferences and eight total divisions. Since the league just continues to be more and more popular, the league has added an extra regular season game for each team to play in.

NFL teams now play 17 total regular season games, and then the top seven teams in each conference advance to the postseason. The NFL regular season begins in September, and the Super Bowl is now played during the month of February.

When it comes to the NFL, the Super Bowl is the event that draws the most betting attention. This league isn’t going away anytime soon, and it’s actually started to become more of an international competition.

This article will not only cover the best NFL betting sites &amp; sportsbooks, but will also provide some tips on how to bet on the NFL.
<h3>Where to bet on NFL</h3>
Knowing where to find the best NFL sportsbooks is a big key if you want to have some success when wagering on this sport. Here are six of the best NFL sportsbooks to use, and all of them are going to be a little bit different.

&nbsp;

Best NFL Betting Sites & Sportsbooks

Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 9/30/24

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/30/24

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

The world of sports betting requires handicappers to constantly adapt and evaluate. Things that worked 10 years ago don’t work as well today. Things that worked five years ago don’t work as well today. There are some concepts and philosophies that will always work, but have also been accounted for by the oddsmakers and by other bettors that probably get to the market faster.

Fortunately, we live in an era when there is a lot of new data and people are coming up with new ways of breaking down the games and the players that play them. It creates so many opportunities for fans and bettors to look through different lenses in order to see things with a unique perspective.

When it comes to baseball, specifically, that perspective for me comes in the form of sabermetrics. Over a decade ago, I wanted to know how my favorite team, the Cleveland Indians, makes decisions and values players. So, I researched. And I studied. I won’t say that I was early to the party, but I certainly didn’t arrive all that late. It is something that has been a huge part of my fandom and my handicapping ever since.

There continues to be a pretty sharp divide between old school and new school when it comes to player evaluation. A lot of fans cling to stats like batting average and RBI, while others proselytize about wRC+ and wOBA. While I certainly believe in the advanced metrics far more than the traditional ones, I hate the holier-than-thou attitude some in the stats community have. The best way to induce change and induce a new way of thinking is to reach common ground. I feel like that is part of my skill set when it comes to talking about baseball and I’ll try to do that today with some of the stats that I will reference heavily in my MLB season win totals.

First, we’ll start with some team-oriented metrics:

<strong>Pythagorean Win-Loss – </strong>Most people don’t care about what <em>should</em> have happened. They only care about what actually happened. Pythagorean Win-Loss records can be a good barometer for teams in line for regression. It is a standings metric based on run differential. Teams that excelled in one-run games may regress the following season. Similarly, teams that got blown out a lot should have better personnel the next year.

As an aside, one-run games are a big deal when it comes to Pyth W-L. Generally, teams are within a couple of games above or below .500 in one-run games. Significant outliers are likely to regress the following season.

<strong>BaseRuns – </strong>I like to refer to the BaseRuns standings from Fangraphs as well. BaseRuns takes all of a team’s outcomes for and against and removes the context. Think of it like this: If a team goes HR, 1B, 1B, K, K, K, that team scores one run that innings. If a team goes 1B, 1B, HR, K, K, K, that team scores three runs that inning. The same six individual outcomes produced two very different outcomes overall. BaseRuns eliminates that element of randomness and spits out a measure of runs per game and runs allowed per game given all of the individual outcomes. Then, it produces a win-loss record.

<strong>3rd Order Win% - </strong>An alternate standings metric at Baseball Prospectus that looks at a team's strength of schedule and "underlying statistics" to come up with a win percentage based on the team's performance.

Now, some individual stats for hitters and pitchers:

<strong>wOBA – </strong>wOBA is my favorite statistic of all. It stands for Weighted On-Base Average. Unlike its predecessor, on-base percentage, wOBA assigns a weighted value to each way of reaching base. When it comes to on-base percentage, there is no distinction between a single or a home run. wOBA has changed that. The weights of the outcomes are assigned based on the offensive climate around Major League Baseball. For example, the weight of a home run was 1.98 runs, the lowest mark since 2007. Walks, however, were the highest since 2011 at .693 runs.

Quite simply, wOBA actually distinguishes between the value of ways of getting on base, thus making it better than most every other offensive metric.

<strong>wRC+</strong> - Weighted Runs Created Plus is another popular statistic. The + simply means relative to league average, wherein league average is 100. A player with a 110 wRC+ was 10 percent better than league average when adjustments are made for park factors and the current run environment. Now that we’re in the Juiced Ball Era, or so they say, the run environment is higher, so the baseline is higher. Not that it’s relevant to my win totals or overall handicapping, but you can use wRC+ to compare hitters from previous eras because the stat is adjusted for park factors, leagues, and run environments.

<strong>K% &amp; BB% - </strong>These seem pretty obvious, but are worth mentioning. These are (Strikeouts / Plate Appearances) and (Walks / Plate Appearances). Those are important stats for hitters, but I will use them more frequently with pitchers.

<strong>BABIP – </strong>BABIP stands for Batting Average on Balls in Play. Keep in mind that traditional batting average factors strikeouts into the equation because those are at bats. BABIP is a good measure of luck. Hitters with a high BABIP are either making terrific contact, are fast, or are getting lucky. Hitters with a low BABIP either have poor contact quality or are getting unlucky. The same can be said about pitchers in terms of contact quality and luck. Home runs are NOT factored into BABIP because they are not balls in play. Traditionally, the “average” range for BABIP is between .290 and .310, but extreme fly ball pitchers and hitters need to be graded accordingly. Last year, the league average BABIP for hitters was exactly .300.

<strong>FIP – </strong>I hate ERA. It is such a tremendously flawed statistic. Let’s remember that a pitcher that allows three runs over six innings has a 4.50 ERA, which is widely considered to be bad, but it is a “quality start”. FIP is a better metric and one that I use often. FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. It is a run metric derived from things that a pitcher can “control” – strikeouts, walks, home runs, and hit by pitches.

It takes the defense out of the equation. Bad defenders can really hurt a pitcher’s ERA by not catching balls that should be caught. FIP takes that element out of the equation. Once the ball leaves the pitcher’s hand, he has no control over what happens. It is all subject to variance, especially once it is put in play. This is a far better way to assess a pitcher’s performance.

<strong>xFIP – </strong>A derivative of FIP is xFIP, which stands for eXpected Fielding Independent Pitching. The difference between FIP and xFIP is that it recalculates the home run portion of FIP by assuming a league average home run to fly ball rate. Last season, obviously, we had a significant number of home runs hit. The HR/FB% league-wide rose from 12.8 percent to 13.7 percent. It was just 11.4 percent in 2015. The relevance of that will become clearer as we move forward.

The important takeaway here is that we can use xFIP in a similar context to BABIP. Sometimes pitchers are getting unlucky with fly balls that hit a jet stream or just keep carrying. Other times, they are simply making bad pitches. Like any statistic, we have to dig deeper to find out the root cause, but xFIP is a good predictor of future performance. It eliminates some of the noise of small sample sizes.

Pitchers with high ERAs that have lower FIP and xFIP marks are generally pitchers to circle for positive regression. Pitchers with low ERAs that have higher FIP and xFIP marks are likely to regress negatively. There are always outliers, and I’ll discuss them in the season previews and on a day-to-day basis, but keep that in mind.

<strong>SIERA - </strong>SIERA stands for Skill Interactive Earned Run Average. This is how we get a little bit deeper. If you find FIP to be too oversimplified because it doesn’t take into account whether a pitcher is more of a ground ball guy or a fly ball guy, this is for you. Think about it. Ground ball pitchers will have a higher HR/FB% because they have a smaller sample of fly balls. Fly ball pitchers will generally allow more home runs, but they also allow more fly balls, which will cut into the HR/FB%. Pitchers that allow a lot of line drives are going to give up more hits. Hard contact is a bad thing, no matter how good the defense is. SIERA is probably the best ERA estimator we have, though there are some very good ones at Baseball Prospectus.

The big thing about these stats is that they carry predictive value. That’s what we’re looking for. We’re not looking for what happened in the past. We’re looking for what will happen in the future.

<strong>DRS – </strong>DRS stands for Defensive Runs Saved. One of the last great frontiers to explore for baseball stat geeks like me is defense. Errors are a poor stat. They only count if the fielder gets to the ball and are based on subjective discretion by the official scorer. Because fielding percentage uses errors, it is also a poor measure of defensive ability.

DRS is somewhat complex. Players are graded on a plus/minus scale, where zero is average. It is measured on location of a batted ball, type of batted ball, and a general description of the speed of the ball. All of these plays are catalogued and a baseline is set. If a ball has a 70 percent catch probability and the fielder fails to make the play, that accounts for -0.7 defensive runs saved. If that play is made, the fielder gets +0.3 defensive runs saved.

Now that we have Statcast data, we’re getting a much clearer picture of defensive metrics based on Catch Probability, Sprint Speed, and a variety of other metrics. Fans and writers have merely the tip of the iceberg when it comes to Statcast data, but it is very important.

Statcast is remarkable. Those that really want to go down a rabbit hole of baseball statistics are going to fall in love with the data. It is something that I have studied a lot and can be found at BaseballSavant.com.

Here are some of the Statcast metrics I’ll be using:

<strong>Exit Velocity –</strong>We think of pitchers with high BABIPs as “unlucky”. We think of pitchers with high ERAs and low FIP and xFIP marks as “unlucky”. Well, now that we have exit velocities to factor in, we can see if pitchers are simply getting hit really hard. Balls that are hit harder are more likely to go for doubles, triples, and home runs and are also likely to be tougher plays for fielders to make.

I often refer to the "percentile" that the player fell into with regards to Exit Velocity or Hard Hit%. A 97th percentile Hard Hit% means that the player ranked in the top 3% in Hard Hit%, which is percentage of batted balls with an exit velocity of 95+ mph.

<strong>xwOBA – wOBA – </strong>Statcast does its calculations based on batted ball distance, launch angle, and exit velocity. Using that data, it can estimate hit probabilities, including whether or not balls should be home runs, doubles, singles, etc. xwOBA stands for eXpected wOBA. xwOBA – wOBA is a good indication of pitcher luck. This is a stat I will be utilizing a lot more this season. It is a measure of the gap between a pitcher’s expected wOBA and actual wOBA against. It can work for hitters as well and will be something I utilize in my DFS pieces.

<strong>xBA – BA – </strong>This is a similar stat. This is eXpected Batting Average minus actual batting average. Pretty simple and straightforward.

<strong>Barrels &amp; Barrel% &amp; Barrels/PA% - </strong>Barreled balls are a recent development at Statcast to suggest batted balls with a very high likelihood of positive outcomes. A "barreled ball" as defined by Statcast using primarily launch angle and exit velocity is a ball with a xBA of .500 and a xSLG of 1.500. More often than not, those would be doubles, triples, or home runs.

Pitchers that allow a lot of barrels or a high Barrel% have bad command. Hitters that have a lot of barrels or a high Barrel% would grade well in exit velocity, launch angle, and contact quality as a whole.

As far as my MLB analysis goes, these will be the most popular terms and statistics, so I certainly encourage readers to familiarize themselves with these concepts. I will also use additional PITCHf/x and Statcast data.

I would encourage readers to check out more detailed definitions at FanGraphs with the <strong><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/offensive-statistics-list/">Offensive Stats</a></strong> and the <strong><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/library/pitching/complete-list-pitching/">Pitching Stats</a></strong>.

Important Statistics to Know for Handicapping Baseball

<p>Wyoming comes into this game looking for their first win of the season, and they will be hosting the Air Force Falcons at War Memorial Stadium in Laramie (WY). Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and you can catch the action on CBSS. Air Force is 1-2 on the season, and they are the -4-point favorite on the road. The money line odds are -181 for Air Force and +150 for Wyoming, with the over/under line at 36.5 points.</p><h3>AIR FORCE FALCONS VS WYOMING COWBOYS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Wyoming Cowboys +4</p><p>This game will be played at War Memorial Stadium (WY) at 8:00 ET on Saturday, September 28th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE WYOMING COWBOYS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Wyoming Cowboys winning this one by a score of 20 to 15</li><li>Not only do we have the Wyoming Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 36.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Air Force Falcons Win As Road Favorites?</h3><p>Air Force is looking to rebound after a 31-3 loss to Baylor on the road, bringing their season record to 1-2. The Falcons were +17 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread, and the game's total score of 34 points fell short of the 41-point over/under line.</p><p></p><p>After a close 3-3 tie in the second quarter, Air Force trailed 3-0 early and ended up down 17-0 in the third quarter. The Falcons managed a field goal but allowed 8 more points in the fourth quarter, leading to their defeat.</p><p>In their 31-3 loss to Baylor, Air Force's offense managed to gain 218 total yards, with 193 yards coming on the ground. The Falcons picked up 12 first downs but struggled in the passing game, completing just 2 of 8 attempts for 25 yards and throwing one interception.</p> 
<p>Josh Johnson was responsible for the interception and finished with 18 yards on 1 of 2 passing. On the ground, Cade Harris led the team with 71 yards on 8 carries, while Tre Roberson was the top receiver with one catch for 18 yards.</p><p>After facing Baylor in their most recent game, Air Force's defense will be looking to improve, as they gave up 314 total yards and 31 points. The Falcons' secondary allowed 148 passing yards and two touchdowns, while Baylor's ground game was effective, rushing for 166 yards and a score. Air Force's defense will need to tighten up in the secondary and against the run in their next game.</p><h3>Are The Wyoming Cowboys Going Win In At Upset At War Memorial Stadium (WY)</h3><p>Wyoming is still looking for their first win of the season after a 44-17 loss to North Texas on the road. The Cowboys, who were +7 point underdogs, not only lost the game outright but also failed to cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 55 points, with the game totaling 61 points.</p><p></p><p>Wyoming's record now stands at 0-4. The Cowboys were down 7-3 after the first quarter, and North Texas extended their lead to 27-17 by halftime. Wyoming was shut out in the third quarter, and they managed just a field goal in the fourth quarter.</p><p>In their 44-17 loss to North Texas, Wyoming's offense was limited to 244 total yards, with just 69 yards coming on the ground. The Cowboys managed to pick up 15 first downs but were unable to establish a consistent rushing attack, averaging just 2.2 yards per carry. In the passing game, Wyoming totaled 175 yards, with Evan Svoboda completing 11 of 23 passes for 155 yards and a touchdown. John Michael Gyllenborg led the receiving effort with five receptions for 56 yards.</p><p>Wyoming's defense is looking to bounce back after allowing 537 total yards in their last game. North Texas found success on the ground, rushing for 219 yards and three touchdowns. The Cowboys' secondary also struggled, giving up 318 passing yards and two touchdowns on 30 completions. Overall, Wyoming allowed 44 points and 28 first downs in the game.</p>

Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24

<p>The Pirates are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their home matchup vs. the White Sox has them at -204 compared to the White Sox at +170. Today's over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NBCS.</p>

<p>First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 PM ET. Pittsburgh will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive with Mitch Keller on the mound, while the White Sox are starting Jared Shuster. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central.</p><h3>PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs</p><p>This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 14th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS WHITE SOX:</h3><ul><li>We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 4</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Pittsburgh cruised to a 6-2 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 1st inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -138 on the money line.</p>

<p>Luis L. Ortiz only went 5 2/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Chris Flexen had a rough outing for the White Sox, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He did finish the game with just four hits allowed and two strikeouts.</p>

<p>Pittsburgh's two biggest hitters in the lineup were Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen. Reynolds went 4/5 with four RBIs, while McCutchen scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Ke'Bryan Hayes also had a two-hit game and scored a run for the Pirates.</p><h3>Pirates Records & Stats</h3><p>Pittsburgh heads into today's road matchup vs. the White Sox with a record of 47-48, which has them 3rd in the NL Central. They trail the Brewers by 6.5 games for the division lead. The Pirates have won three straight games and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the White Sox.</p>

<p>At home, the Pirates are 22-24 this year and 25-24 on the road. As the road favorite, the Pirates are 8-6 this year, and they are 20-19 as the favorite overall. Pittsburgh has won three straight games as the road team, and their overall series record is 12-13-5.</p><p>The Pirates are currently on the road against the White Sox. They have a run line record of 52-43 this season, with a run line record of 29-20 on the road. Pittsburgh's average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 38-18 as the underdog.</p><p>When the Pirates are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game. The over/under record for Pittsburgh games this season is 44-50, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 18-12. The under has hit in their last three games.</p><p>Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Mitch Keller to the mound today vs. the White Sox. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA. Keller's WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is coming off a game in which he went 8 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and picking up the win. Before that outing, he had given up at least 3 earned runs in three straight starts. Keller has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.31 ERA compared to 4.04 on the road.</p><p>Heading into today's game, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. This is also the 16th best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the league. However, they do have two hitters in the lineup who have been solid home run threats, as Bryan Reynolds has 17 homers (11th in the league) and Oneil Cruz has 14 homers.</p>

<p>Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last five games with a home run and six RBIs. Over this stretch, he has scored two runs. Jack Suwinski has struggled in his last five games, going just 2/15. However, he does have one homer in this stretch. Joey Bart and Joshua Palacios have also gone deep in their last four games.</p><h3>White Sox Records & Stats</h3><p>With a record of 27-70, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 32.5 games. The White Sox have struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-25 this year. Chicago has dropped three straight games, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog.</p>

<p>At home, the White Sox are just 17-33 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 10-37. So far, they have gone 5-3 as the favorite. Chicago has an overall series record of 6-23-2 and have dropped three straight series.</p><p>Chicago has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 44-53 overall. The White Sox have been a better bet on the road, where they are 24-26 compared to 20-27 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 39-50 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -1.8 runs per game, but they have been better against the run line in games they have won, with an average run differential of +3.0 runs per game.</p><p>Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-50. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-11. 20.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 4 games.</p><p>The White Sox are starting left-hander Jared Shuster vs. the Pirates today. Shuster has made 20 appearances this season and has a record of 1-2 with a 3.52 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.41. Shuster has made one start this year, and it came on July 4th vs. the Guardians. In that outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in two innings of work. Shuster has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. His ERA at home is 3.68, compared to 3.74 on the road.</p><p>Chicago's offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are dead last in both team batting average and OPS. The White Sox are also last in the league in on-base percentage and have the fewest runs per game in the league at just 3.2. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.</p>

<p>Paul DeJong and Andrew Vaughn are the team's top power threats, with DeJong leading the team with 16 homers and Vaughn right behind him with 11. DeJong is also 2nd on the team with 37 RBIs, while Vaughn is the team's top run producer. Luis Robert Jr. is also tied with Vaughn for the 2nd most homers on the team, but he is batting just .222 for the season.</p>

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24

Major League Baseball (MLB) might not be the most popular sport in the world to wager on, but it still presents a really good betting option. MLB betting comes in many different forms, and this is a season that presents plenty of betting opportunities as well.

Major League Baseball was founded all the way back in 1876, but the league has obviously gone through some major changes since that time. Most of the major rules are still in place, but the way that the game is played is now much different.

There are currently 30 teams in MLB, and every team plays 162 games during the regular season. MLB games typically start at the end of March, or early April, and the World Series wraps up during the first week of November.

MLB teams are split up into leagues and divisions, but there is now more crossover games than ever before. The American League and National League now operate under the same basic rules, and that keeps things similar regardless of what league you are looking at.

Knowing the best MLB betting sites &amp; sportsbooks is also important if you plan to bet on MLB, and this article will explore that as well. By the time you are done reading this article, you should be ready to bet on baseball.
<h2 id="h-where-to-bet-on-major-league-baseball" class="wp-block-heading">WHERE TO BET ON MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL</h2>
Here is a look at some of the best MLB sportsbooks that are out there in the industry:

Best MLB Betting Sites & Sportsbooks

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<p>The Golden Bears and Runnin' Utes are set to face off at 9:00 ET on PACN. The Runnin' Utes will host the game at Jon M. Huntsman Center in Salt Lake City, UT. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 154.5 points, and Utah is favored by -8.5 to win at home against California.</p><h3>CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS VS UTAH RUNNIN' UTES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: California Golden Bears +8.5</p><p>This game will be played at Jon M. Huntsman Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Runnin' Utes.</li><li>Even though we have Utah winning straight-up, we like California at +8.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.</li></ul><h3>Taking a Look at the Golden Bears Chances in Salt Lake City</h3><p>Cal comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been in 19 of their 29 games this season. They are 7-12 in those games, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -6.1 points per game.</p>

<p>Most recently, Cal lost to Colorado by a score of 88-78. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Golden Bears have gone just 3-7.</p><p>California has an ATS record of 15-12-2 this season, including a road ATS record of 8-4. As the underdog, the Golden Bears have gone 13-5-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Cal has an ATS mark of 7-2-1. On the road, their ATS record is 6-4 in their last 10 contests.</p><p>California's over/under record this season is 18-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 151.2 points. Today's over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (146.4). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.</p><p>The California offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Colorado. Overall their field goal percentage was 42% while connecting on 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Jaylon Tyson with 25 points. Keonte Kennedy also added 13 points for the Golden Bears.</p><p>Coming into today's game, the California defense is giving up an average of 76.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.7 threes per game vs. Utah. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.6%.</p><h3>Do the Runnin' Utes Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?</h3><p>Utah will look to build on their 14-4 record as the favorite this season when they host California tonight. The Utes have been a much better team at home this year, going 14-4 compared to 3-7 on the road.</p>

<p>Utah comes into the game with a record of 17-11 overall and 8-9 in Pac-12 play. They have won three of their last five games and are coming off a 90-68 win over Stanford.</p><p>As the favorite, Utah has an ATS record of 10-8 this season and is 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite. Their overall ATS record this season is 13-15. At home, the Utes have an ATS mark of 10-8 and are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.</p><p>So far this season, the over/under record for Utah games is 14-12-2. The average scoring total in their games is 151.5 points, which is 3.1 points lower than the average over/under line of 154.6 points. Over their last three games, the OU record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.</p><p>In their recent matchup, the Utah offense ended with 90 points against Stanford. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.2% and made 12 threes. Leading Utah in scoring vs. Stanford was Cole Bajema with his 21 points. Lawson Lovering also added 17 points for the Runnin' Utes.</p><p>On defense, Utah is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Utah's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.5% this season.</p>

California Golden Bears vs Utah Runnin' Utes Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24

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<p>The Knicks (-311) are currently favored by 7.5 points over the Nets (+247). The over/under line for this Eastern Atlantic Division matchup is 204.5. New York (41-28) is 5th in the Eastern Conference, while Brooklyn (26-44) is 11th.</p>

<p>This game will be played at Madison Square Garden and is scheduled to start at 1:00 ET. It will be televised on MSG.</p><h3>BROOKLYN NETS VS NEW YORK KNICKS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Brooklyn Nets +7.5</p><p>This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 1:00 ET on Saturday, March 23rd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE BROOKLYN NETS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 107-105 in favor of the Knicks.</li><li>Our projections have Jalen Brunson finishing with Jalen Brunson points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 14 threes.</li></ul><h3>Do the Nets Stand a Chance in New York?</h3><p>As the underdog, the Nets have lost their last five games and are 12-36 as the underdog this season. Today's O/U line of 204.5 is lower than all of their previous games this season.</p>

<p>In their last game, the Nets lost to the Bucks by a score of 115-108. They were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win.</p>

<p>Brooklyn is 11th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 26-44. Against other teams in the East, they are 18-24 and 3-8 against Atlantic Division opponents.</p>

<p>On the road, the Nets are 12-23 ATS and have an average scoring differential of -6.9 points per game. This season, they are 10-25 on the road.</p>

<p>This season, the Nets have an O/U record of 35-35 and their games have averaged 225.3 points per game. Today's line of 204.5 is lower than their season average of 225.7.</p><p>When it comes to scoring, the Nets are 25th in the NBA at 111.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Brooklyn is 25th in the league at 97 possessions per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA average in just 40% of their games.</p>

<p>As a team, the Nets are 28th in field goal percentage at 45%. They have been particularly poor from two-point range, hitting just 52% of their attempts (26th). However, Brooklyn is 6th in the NBA in three-point shooting at 36%.</p>

<p>When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Nets are 24th in attempts at 20.8 per game. They are also 25th in free throws made at 15.7 per contest. In terms of assists, Brooklyn is 17th in the league at 26.3 per game.</p><p>At present, the Nets' defense is ranked 15th, allowing 114.0 points per game. Brooklyn struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Bucks, giving up 15. For the game, Milwaukee scored 115 points in the game.</p><h3>Will New York Come Through as Home Favorites?</h3><p>Today, the Knicks are favored by 7.5 points against the Nets. In their last two games as the favorite, New York has covered the spread and has a 29-9 record as the favorite this season.</p>

<p>The Knicks are 37-31 against the spread this season, going 18-17 ATS at home and 19-14 ATS on the road. At home, they have an average scoring margin of +5.5 PPG.</p>

<p>In their last game, the Knicks lost to the Nuggets by a score of 113-100. The O/U line for that game was 208.5 points, and New York was getting 8.5 points as the underdog.</p>

<p>This season, the Knicks have an O/U record of 25-43-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 219.8 points, which is higher than today's line of 204.5.</p>

<p>Overall, the Knicks are 41-28 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 27-15 and 8-5 in their division. In non-conference games, they are 14-13.</p><p>At home, the Knicks are averaging 110.5 points per game, which is 26th in the league. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 111.9 points per game. In terms of pace, New York is the slowest team in the NBA, averaging just 94.8 possessions per game.</p>

<p>When it comes to shooting, the Knicks are 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. Inside the arc, they are 23rd in two-point shooting at 52%. From three-point range, New York is 17th in three-point percentage at 36%.</p>

<p>So far this season, the Knicks have outscored the NBA average in just 40.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 29th in the league at 23.9 per game. However, New York is 2nd in offensive rebounds.</p><p>New York's defense has been playing well, ranking 2nd in the NBA with 108.0 points allowed per game. Inside the arc, the Knicks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.8% and 36.3% from three-point territory.</p>

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/23/24

<p>From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Angels and Blue Jays facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch is set for 3:07 PM ET, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -165 compared to the Angels at +139. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.</p>

<p>Carson Fulmer is starting for the Angels, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. The Blue Jays will be sending Bowden Francis to the mound. In the AL West, the Angels are 5th with a record of 54-75, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East at 61-68. This game can be seen on SNET.</p><h3>TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -165</p><p>This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Saturday, August 24th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS BLUE JAYS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Toronto picked up a 5-4 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Angels could only muster two runs in the bottom half of the inning. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -197 on the money line.</p>

<p>Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up four runs while striking out six. He did not factor in the decision, as Chad Green got the win out of the bullpen. Roansy Contreras took the loss for the Angels out of the bullpen. </p>

<p>Addison Barger and Joey Loperfido each homered for the Blue Jays, while Alejandro Kirk went 2/4 with two RBIs. Daulton Varsho also had a two-hit game at the plate.</p><h3>Angels Records & Stats</h3><p>With an overall record of 54-75, the Angels are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 15.5 games. The Angels have dropped three straight games, and they have lost two straight series. So far, they are 17-18 in AL West matchups.</p>

<p>At home, the Angels are just 27-40 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road, coming in at 27-35. This season, the Angels are 6-15 as the favorite, and they are 48-60 as the underdog. Los Angeles' overall series record is 12-27-2, and they have dropped four straight series.</p><p>The Angels have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 68-61 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 34-28 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and have a run line record of 63-45 when they are the underdog.</p><p>When the Los Angeles Angels are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 62-62. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 27-23. So far this season, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 33.3% of their games, while 36 games have had lower lines, making up 27.9% of their games.</p><p>So far this season, Carson Fulmer has made 31 appearances and seven starts. He has a record of 0-4, an ERA of 4.24, and a WHIP of 1.29. Fulmer's only quality start came against the Blue Jays, where he pitched six innings, giving up two earned runs and finished with a no-decision. In his last outing, Fulmer took the loss, going four innings, and giving up two earned runs. He has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Fulmer's ERA on the road is 6.18 compared to 2.47 at home.</p><p>So far this season, the Angels offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .234, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below average.</p>

<p>Los Angeles will be looking for Zach Neto to get back on track, as he has hit just .185 over his last seven games. However, he does have 19 homers this season, which is the top mark on the team. Jo Adell is 2nd on the team in homers, but he has a batting average of just .214 for the season.</p><h3>Blue Jays Records & Stats</h3><p>Toronto is 61-68 overall and 5th in the AL East, 15 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays are 17-24 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.</p>

<p>At home, the Blue Jays are 32-33 this season and 29-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 39-27 this year and 22-41 as the underdog. Toronto has won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 14-21-6.</p><p>When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.1. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9. That's why their run line record is almost even at 64-65. They've been a good bet on the road, going 41-23 vs. the run line, but have been a poor bet at home, going just 23-42.</p><p>When the Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-56. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 22-19. Only 17.8% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.</p><p>Bowden Francis gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn't give up a run. In that start vs. the Cubs, he went seven innings and didn't give up a run. Francis finished with a win in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Francis' record for the season is 6-3, and he has an ERA of 4.38. Opposing batters are hitting .232 off Francis this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.2 strikeouts and 2.26 walks.</p><p>After struggling at the plate last season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league's top hitters this season, batting .316 with 26 home runs and 81 RBIs. He is currently on a 4 game hitting streak. George Springer has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 3/3 in his last seven games, but his season average is just .219.</p>

<p>Overall, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). As a team, the Blue Jays are 19th in home runs and have a team batting average of .240.</p>

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