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Betting on today's Beach and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Beach come into this Big West conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 143.5 points.

LONG BEACH STATE BEACH VS CAL POLY MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will Long Beach State Be The Talk of Mott Athletics Center?

Today marks the 15th game of the season for Long Beach State, who currently have a 9-5 record. When playing on the road, the Beach have a 6-4 record, and they are 1-1 when playing at home. As of now, Long Beach State has a 6-6 record against the spread heading into today's matchup. In their last ten games, Long Beach State has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

After 14 games, Long Beach State has an over/under record of 7-5-0, with their games averaging a combined 154.6 points per game so far. The Beach have an over/under record of 1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 162 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 80 points per game, Long Beach State struggled in their previous game. Against CSUN, the Beach scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.4%. Coming into the game, the Beach offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 28%. On average, they get up 19.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 16.6 made free-throws.

At present, the Beach's defense is nationally ranked 242nd, allowing 76.7 points per game. Against CSUN in their most recent game, the Long Beach State defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing CSUN to hit 36% of their shots.

Can the Mustangs Offense Score Enough at Home?

Cal Poly, with a record of 4-10, will be playing their 15th game of the season. So far, all of their games have been on the road. Cal Poly has a subpar ATS record, sitting at 6-7. In their last ten games, Cal Poly has gone 1-4 vs. the spread.

In 14 games, Cal Poly comes in with an over/under mark of 6-6-1, with their games averaging 136.6 points per game. In their most recent three games, the Mustangs' over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 130 points per game.

Cal Poly offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 46 points against UC Davis. In that game, they made 2/13 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 32.7%. Kobe Sanders is leading the team in scoring at 18.9 points per contest. Jarred Hyder has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.1 going into the game.

The Mustangs' defense is presently ranked 175th nationally, allowing an average of 72.7 points per contest. Cal Poly's three-point defense is currently 89th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.5% of their shots vs. Cal Poly.