Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24
ESPN2 will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Kansas Jayhawks and Baylor Bears as they take the field at McLane Stadium in Waco. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, and the over/under line is currently at 61.5 points. The Jayhawks are coming in with a 5-6 record this season, while the Bears are 7-4. The Jayhawks are the slight -1 point spread favorite on the road.
KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas Jayhawks +1
This game will be played at McLane Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE KANSAS JAYHAWKS:
- We have the Kansas Jayhawks winning this one by a score of 29 to 28
- Not only do we have the Kansas Jayhawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1
- We see this game finishing below the line of 61.5 points
Will The Kansas Jayhawks Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Kansas enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, facing Baylor on the road. They are ranked 28th in our power rankings and have a 51.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Jayhawks are 3-2 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.
Their ATS record stands at 5-5, with a +6.5 average scoring margin. Kansas is 1-3 against the spread as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than any other game this season. Kansas’ over/under record is 5-5, with an average line of 55 points and an average game total of 55.1 points.
Kansas has leaned heavily on their rushing game this season, ranking 14th in the nation with 213.8 rushing yards per game. Devin Neal has been the focal point, amassing 1,133 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging 5 yards per carry. The Jayhawks are also third in the nation in third-down conversions, converting 51.1% of their attempts.
They are averaging 30.8 points per game, ranking 41st nationally, and are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Jalon Daniels has thrown for 2,174 yards with 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. Kansas ranks 90th in passing yards per game.
Heading into their matchup with Baylor, Kansas’s defense ranks 49th nationally, allowing 24.3 points per game. They’ve given up 232.6 passing yards per game, ranking 111th, with a passer rating of 91.6 and a 61.3% completion rate. On the ground, they’ve allowed 143 rushing yards per game on 32.1 attempts, which is the 34th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.
In their recent game against Colorado, Kansas’s defense allowed 21 points, giving up 266 passing yards and three touchdowns but limited Colorado to just 43 rushing yards on 12 attempts. Overall, they allowed 309 total yards and 15 first downs.
Will The Baylor Bears Win At Home Over The Kansas Jayhawks?
Baylor enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, ranked 37th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 0.8% chance of winning the Big 12. At home, the Bears are 3-1, while they’ve gone 3-2 on the road this season.
Baylor has been favored in six of their 11 games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.7 points, and they’ve covered the spread in seven of nine games, with a 4-1 ATS record on the road and 3-1 at home.
The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 59.7 points, with an average over/under line of 53.5 points. Their over/under record is 6-3, with eight games having lower lines than this week’s total.
Heading into week 14, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.7 points per game, ranking 24th in the nation. They are 32nd in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing attack with 2,316 yards and a passer rating of 102. He has thrown 22 touchdowns and 7 interceptions.
Baylor is 48th in passing yards per game, averaging 240.2 yards, and they convert 40.5% of their third downs. Bryson Washington has rushed for 812 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 541 yards and 8 touchdowns.
Baylor’s defense played a key role in their recent 20-10 win over Houston, allowing just 10 points and forcing three interceptions. They limited Houston to 239 total yards, including 92 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 147 passing yards.
On average, Baylor’s defense has given up 26 points per game this season. They’ve allowed 151.5 rushing yards per game and 222.6 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 77.5.