TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

ESPN+ will be covering this week 14 TCU Horned Frogs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats matchup, set to kick off at 6:00 ET from Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati. The over/under line is at 58.5 points, and TCU comes in as the -2.5-point favorite on the road. The money line odds are -141 for TCU and +118 for Cincinnati. TCU has a 7-4 record, while Cincinnati is 5-6 on the season.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS CINCINNATI BEARCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +2.5

This game will be played at Nippert Stadium at 6:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:

• We have the Cincinnati Bearcats winning this one by a score of 34 to 31
• Not only do we have the Cincinnati Bearcats winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 58.5 points

Will The TCU Horned Frogs Pick Up A Win On The Road?

TCU enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, ranked 36th in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible but have no chance of winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 3-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.

TCU has been favored in seven of their 11 games, going 4-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7 points per game, and they are 4-6 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 62.3 points, with their over/under record at 7-3. Their average line has been 60 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 4 points.

TCU’s offense ranks 20th in points per game, averaging 34.6, and they are 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 5th in the nation with 327.2 yards per game. They are 7th in completions, averaging 26.1 per game, and 15th in passing attempts. TCU also ranks 9th in completion percentage, connecting on 68.7% of their passes.

Josh Hoover has thrown for 3,485 yards this season, with a 68.1% completion rate, 23 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. His passer rating is 104. Jack Bech leads the receiving corps with 1,007 yards and 9 touchdowns on 59 catches. TCU’s run game is lacking, ranking 111th with 117 rushing yards per game.

TCU’s defense will look to improve on their 27.6 points allowed per game, which ranks 65th nationally. In their recent game, they gave up 28 points but limited Arizona to just 39 rushing yards on 21 carries, while allowing 287 passing yards and forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 162 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking the Horned Frogs 104th in the country. Through the air, TCU is giving up 195.6 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 59.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 84.5.

Will The Cincinnati Bearcats Win At Home Over The TCU Horned Frogs?

Cincinnati enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, hoping to become bowl-eligible against TCU. They are 2-2 at home and 2-4 on the road this season. The Bearcats have been favored in five of their 11 games, going 3-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +1.3 points per game, and they are ranked 53rd in our power rankings.

Against the spread, Cincinnati is 4-5-1, with a 2-2 record at home. They are 3-2 ATS as the favorite and 1-3-1 as the underdog. The Bearcats have a 47.6% chance of reaching bowl eligibility, according to our projections.

This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 51.3 points, and their over/under record is 3-6-1. Their average over/under line this season has been 54.4 points, with seven games featuring lower lines than this week’s total.

Cincinnati’s offense is averaging 26.3 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 65th in the nation. However, they rank 34th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,653 yards, completing 64.2% of his passes, with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. The Bearcats are 32nd in passing completions, averaging 21 per game, and 40th in attempts.

They are 44th in passing yards, averaging 243.5 per game, and have a third-down conversion rate of 41.4%. Sorsby’s passer rating is 96. Corey Kiner leads the rushing attack with 1,043 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but has only three touchdowns. Cincinnati is 41st in rushing, averaging 183.2 yards per game. Xzavier Henderson has 689 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 55 catches.

In their most recent game, Cincinnati’s defense struggled, allowing 41 points in a 41-15 loss to Kansas State. They gave up 428 total yards, including 281 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they allowed 147 passing yards and two touchdowns.

For the season, Cincinnati’s defense ranks 53rd nationally, giving up 25 points per game. They have allowed an average of 223.7 passing yards per game, ranking 97th, and 166.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 112th in the country.