Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 10/1/24
There appears to be a chance of light rain in Baltimore on Tuesday, where the Orioles and Royals will face off at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is currently scheduled for 4:08 PM ET, and ESPN2 is carrying the TV rights for this AL matchup.
Baltimore is favored on the money line, with oddsmakers listing them at -159 compared to the Royals at +135. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the Orioles will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive. Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East. Cole Ragans is the Royals’ starter, while Corbin Burnes will go for the Orioles.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -159
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 4:08 ET on Tuesday, October 1st.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 8 runs and like the over
Royals Records & Stats
To close out their series vs. the Braves, the Royals picked up a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +183. It was a big three-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.
Alec Marsh put together a good start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Michael Massey, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Kansas City is 86-76 overall and trails the Guardians by 6.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-19 against other teams in the division. The Royals will be on the road today, taking on the Orioles, and they are 41-40 on the road this year.
The Royals have gone 50-31 when favored this year and 36-45 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight series at home, and their overall series record is 23-26-2. Kansas City is just 4-6 over their last 10 games and closed out their series vs. the Braves with a loss.
The Royals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 89-73. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 46-35 against the run line. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 48-33 against the run line in those games.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Royals games this season is 8.5 runs. Kansas City has an over/under record of 69-88 for the season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Royals have a record of 5-3-1. The over has hit in 93.8% of their games this season, with the over/under line set at 7 runs for just one game. The under has hit in their last three games.
Cole Ragans is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Nationals on September 24th, he went six innings, giving up no runs on six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Ragans has made 32 starts and has a record of 11-9. His ERA for the season is 3.14, along with a WHIP of 1.14. This year, opponents are batting .206 off the left-hander. Ragans has one complete game shutout and 21 quality starts this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.77 strikeouts compared to 3.24 walks.
Currently, the Royals are 13th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th best in the league, and are 2nd in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage is just 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, as his 109 RBIs are 5th best in the league, and he is also batting .332 with 32 homers. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, with a batting average of .271 and 27 home runs. Witt Jr. comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, and over his last four games, Hunter Renfroe has gone just 2/11 with two homers.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles’s offense was carried by James McCann in their most recent game vs. the Twins. McCann went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Orioles also had a big 5th inning, scoring three runs. Heston Kjerstad, who was called up from the minors, went 1/1 with a homer.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Baltimore is 91-71 overall and is 3.0 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles will take on the Royals at home today, having won three straight games. Their three-game winning streak has come at home, closing out their series vs. the Twins with three straight wins.
As the favorite, the Orioles are 70-52 this year and 21-19 as the underdog. They have been good on the road, going 47-34 compared to 44-37 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have won two straight series.
The Orioles are 38-43 against the run line at home this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.3. They are 27-13 against the run line as an underdog this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.5. They are 60-62 against the run line as a favorite this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.2. Their run line losing streak as a favorite is currently at 2 games.
The Orioles have played 90.1% of their games this season with over/under lines set higher than the 7 runs for today’s game against the Royals. The average over/under line for an Orioles game this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record is 87-63. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the over/under record is 8-4-4. The combined run average in Orioles games this season is 9.2 runs per game.
Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he gets the start for the Orioles today. Against the Yankees, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Burnes’ ERA for the season is an impressive 2.92, along with a record of 15-9. Out of his 32 starts, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is averaging 8.38 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Burnes has allowed 22 homers and is averaging just 2.22 walks per nine innings.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 6th in the league.
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander are the Orioles’ top home run hitters, with 37 and 44 homers, respectively. Santander’s 102 RBIs are 10th in the league. Henderson comes into the game batting .281 for the season, and Santander is hitting just .235. Ryan O’Hearn and Emmanuel Rivera have both been swinging the bat well of late, with O’Hearn going 8/22 in his last seven games and Rivera hitting .500 in his last five games.