Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 10/1/24
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Tigers and Astros facing off in an AL matchup. ABC is carrying this one on TV, and the Astros are the favorites on the money line (-148). The Tigers are +126 underdogs, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.
The over/under line is currently 6.5 runs, and today’s pitching matchup features Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and Framber Valdez for the Astros. Skubal is 86-76, while the Astros are 88-73 and they lead the AL West.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -148
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:32 ET on Tuesday, October 1st.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the over
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 9-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the White Sox scored four runs in the top of the 7th. Detroit was the -238 favorite at home going into the game.
Kenta Maeda had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Kerry Carpenter, who went 1/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Detroit is 86-76 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers lost the first two games of their series vs. the White Sox but won the final game. So far, they have gone 28-24 in AL Central matchups.
This season, the Tigers are 43-38 both at home and on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 46-50 this year and 40-26 when favored. They have won two straight games as the underdog, and they have won three straight series on the road.
The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 86-76 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 51-30. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 62-34 as an underdog this season. Detroit’s average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it’s -3.4 in losing games.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road against the Houston Astros today. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.2 runs per game. Overall, the Tigers have played to the over in 78 of their 157 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 6.5 runs is 3-1. The Tigers have had just one game this season with an over/under line lower than 6.5 runs.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he has turned in 22 quality starts. Skubal has been especially tough at home, going 10-1 with a 2.02 ERA. On the road, he is 8-3 with a 3.09 ERA. In his last outing, Skubal went seven innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. He gave up just two hits in that outing. Leading up to that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. This includes averaging 4.3 runs per contest on the road. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 15th in the league, and have the 19th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Detroit’s team OPS of .685 is also 20th in the league.
Riley Greene is the team’s top power threat, with 24 homers, and he is also leading the Tigers with 74 RBIs. Greene is batting .262 for the season. Kerry Carpenter has also been a solid power threat, with 18 homers and a team-leading 57 RBIs. However, Carpenter has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/16 in his last five games.
Astros Records & Stats
Mauricio Dubon had a big game at the plate for the Astros in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, going 2/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and a stolen base. The Astros really needed his offense, as they only scored four runs on nine hits and didnjson’t hit a home run.
Justin Verlander started for the Astros, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
The Astros are 88-73 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners. Houston will be hosting the Tigers today, and they are 46-35 at home this season. The Astros have gone 42-38 on the road.
Houston has an overall series record of 27-22-2 this season, and they are 67-51 as the favorite. As the home favorite, the Astros are 43-29 this season. They closed out their series vs. the Guardians with two straight wins and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Astros have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 83-78. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 45-35 against the run line. They’ve also been a good bet in games they’ve won, with an average run margin of +3.6 in those contests.
The over/under line for today’s game between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers is set at 6.5 runs. The Astros have played 160 games with over/under lines set higher than 6.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 65-90, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. Their games have gone under the line in their last two games.
Framber Valdez is coming off a start in which he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Mariners. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs, issued two walks, and gave up a pair of homers. Looking back further, Valdez has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. Valdez has a record of 15-7, an ERA of 2.91, and a WHIP of 1.11. Opponents are batting .218 vs. Valdez this season. Out of his 28 starts, Valdez has turned in 17 quality starts and has a total of one complete game. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.63 strikeouts and 2.81 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the 10th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Astros are batting .262 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. Houston has been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 10th in home runs and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 35 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He also has 86 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Alex Bregman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/17 in his last five games, with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .260 with 26 homers.