Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24
The Jaguars are favored on the road with a point spread of -1 as they take on the Raiders at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Jaguars’ money line odds are -115, and the Raiders’ odds are -107. This week 16 AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 39.5 points.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -1
This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 22nd.
WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS:
- We have the Jaguars winning this one by a score of 26 to 20
- Not only do we have the Jaguars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
- Look for this game to go over the line of 39.5 points
Will The Jaguars Pick Up A Win On The Road?
At 3-11, the Jaguars sit 3rd in the AFC South and 27th in our power rankings, giving them a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. Jacksonville is 2-2 in division games, with their most recent division matchup being a 10-6 win over the Titans in week 14. However, they couldn’t carry that momentum into week 15, losing 32-25 to the Jets.
Jacksonville has a -8.1 scoring margin this season, but they are 7-6-1 against the spread. As underdogs, they are 6-3-1 ATS, but they are just 1-3 when favored. Their O/U record is 8-6, with their games averaging 45.7 points compared to an average line of 44.7.
Heading into week 16, Jacksonville ranks 22nd in our offensive power rankings, scoring 18.8 points per game (23rd in the NFL) and averaging 306 yards per game (24th). They are 16th in passing attempts and 22nd in passing yards per game, with 204.4. On the ground, the Jaguars rank 24th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards per game, averaging 101.6. Jacksonville is 25th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.2% success rate, and they rank 14th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 15, Mac Jones threw for 294 yards, completing 31 of 46 passes, with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Brian Thomas Jr. led the receiving corps with 10 catches for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Travis Etienne Jr. rushed for 65 yards on 14 carries. Jacksonville scored in every quarter against the Jets, totaling 25 points, and converted 8 of 15 3rd-down attempts and 2 of 4 red zone opportunities.
In their 32-25 loss to the Jets, the Jaguars’ defense allowed 275 passing yards on just 16 completions, including three touchdowns. The Jaguars struggled to defend the big play, as the Jets averaged 9.2 yards per passing attempt. Despite hitting the quarterback more than the Jets and winning the tackles for loss battle, they managed just one sack.
On the ground, the Jaguars allowed 125 rushing yards on 23 attempts, giving up 5.4 yards per attempt. Opposing offenses have been able to move the ball effectively against Jacksonville, as the Jets finished with 400 total yards in the game. The Jaguars also allowed the Jets to convert on 40% of their third down attempts.
Will The Raiders Win At Home Over The Jaguars?
With their 15-9 loss to the Falcons in week 15, the Raiders’ losing streak now stands at 10 games, dropping them to 2-12 on the season. Las Vegas ranks 24th in our NFL power rankings and has been eliminated from playoff contention. They are 0-5 in the AFC West and 2-8 in conference play.
Against the spread, the Raiders are 5-8-1, with a 5-7-1 record as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -9.4 points per game. Their O/U record is 8-6, with the under hitting in three straight games.
Heading into week 16, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game (17.5) and 27th in yards per game (299.1). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts, they are 15th in passing yards per game, with 221.1. On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing yards per game (78.1) on 21.6 attempts per game, which ranks 28th.
Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33.9% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 47.2% of their opportunities, which ranks 3rd in the league.
In their 15-9 loss to the Falcons, the Raiders’ defense allowed just 93 passing yards on 11 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 168 rushing yards on 37 attempts. The Falcons took advantage of this, controlling the clock and keeping the Raiders’ offense off the field for long stretches.
Despite allowing only 261 total yards, the Raiders’ defense gave up one touchdown on the ground and struggled to get off the field, as the Falcons converted 69.2% of their fourth-down attempts and 50% of their red-zone trips. Las Vegas did come up with three sacks and one interception in the game.