Betting on today's Cyclones and Bears game? Catch the action at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 142 points, and Baylor is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Iowa State.


The Pick: Baylor Bears -3.5

This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Baylor pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Iowa State Come Through as Road Underdogs?

After winning their last game against Kansas by a score of 79-75, Iowa State is now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in Big 12 play. So far, they have gone 3-3 on the road compared to 13-1 at home.

As the underdog, the Cyclones have gone 2-2 this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -1.3 points per game. Over their last ten road games, they have gone 5-5.

As the underdog this season, Iowa State has gone 2-2 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4 and over their last 10 road games, the Cyclones are 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the underdog, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Iowa State games is 13-7. The average scoring total in their games this year is 142.2 points, which is higher than the average over/under line of 138 points. Today's over/under line of 142 is similar to the average scoring total in their last three games (147 points).

In their recent matchup, the Iowa State offense ended with 79 points against Kansas. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.9% and made 14 threes. Leading Iowa State in scoring vs. Kansas was Tre King with his 21 points. Keshon Gilbert also added 16 points for the Cyclones.

This season, the Iowa State defense has been impressive, holding the 7th position in the country while permitting an average of 61.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Kansas, the Jayhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 75 points vs. Iowa State.

Will Baylor Live Up to Expectations at Home?

With an overall record of 15-5, Baylor has been dominant at home, going 11-0. They have won their last 11 games at home, and their average margin of victory is +23.6 points per game. This season, they have been favored in 14 of their 20 games, going 13-1 in those contests.

In their last game, the Bears defeated UCF by a score of 77-69. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1, and their record over their last five games at home is 4-1. For the season, they have a record of 4-2 in Big 12 play, and their non-conference record is 11-3.

When looking at Baylor's overall ATS record this season, they are 12-6. At home, their ATS mark is 9-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Baylor games is 10-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 152.2 points. Today's over/under line of 142 is lower than the average OU line in their games (148.8). Over their last three games, the over/under mark is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 167 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Baylor offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against UCF. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.1%, and they made 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.8 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, RayJ Dennis also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 heading into game.

In terms of defense, Baylor is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Baylor's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.5% this season.