Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Sycamores versus the Bears? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO. Indiana State is favored by -7.5 in this Missouri Valley conference matchup the against Missouri State. The over/under for the game is set at 152.5 points.


The Pick: Missouri State Bears +7.5

This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Indiana State Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

Indiana State is 21-3 overall and 12-1 in the Missouri Valley, and they have won eight straight games. For the season, they have gone 9-3 on the road, and they are 19-0 when favored. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.6, and they have won their last three games away from home. In their last game, they beat Valparaiso 101-61.

So far, the Sycamores have been perfect at home, going 11-0 with an average scoring margin of +24.3. They are 4-1 in their last five road games and 8-2 in their last ten.

Indiana State's ATS record this season is 15-8, and they are 14-5 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores have gone 7-3 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Indiana State games is 14-9 and today's line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (156.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

Coming off their recent game, the Indiana State offense tallied 101 points in a matchup against Valparaiso. Their field goal percentage for the game was 61.3%, and they made 9 threes. In terms of offense, the Sycamores have a season-long field goal percentage of 51%, putting them 17th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 34th in percentage and 3rd in three-pointers made.

On defense, Indiana State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. Indiana State's defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Valparaiso offense to knock down 61% of their shots on their way to putting up 61 points.

Can Missouri State Grab a Win at Home?

Missouri State will be looking to bounce back from a 72-65 loss to Northern Iowa, and they will enter this game as 7.5-point underdogs. So far this season, the Bears have gone 14-10, and their record in Missouri Valley Conference games is 6-7.

At home, Missouri State has gone 9-3, and their average scoring margin is +5.3 points per game. Over their last ten home games, the Bears have gone 7-3, and they are 5-7 this season when listed as the underdog.

As the underdog this season, Missouri State has gone 5-6-1 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 8-4 and they are 2-1 in their last 3 home games vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have a 4-5-1 ATS record.

Today's over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Missouri State's games this season (141.4). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

Most recently, the Missouri State offense finished with just 65 points vs. Northern Iowa. For the game, they hit 6/15 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 42%. Alston Mason was the leading scorer for the Bears, putting up 19 points. In addition, Matthew Lee contributed 10 points.

Missouri State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.8 points per game. Against Northern Iowa in their most recent game, the Missouri State defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Northern Iowa to hit 40% of their shots.