The Knicks and Pacers tip off their second-round series at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. New York is the 2-seed in the East and is favored by 6 points at home. The over/under line is sitting at 217.5 points, and the Knicks are -234 on the money line compared to +191 for the Pacers. TNT is carrying this game on TV.


The Pick: Indiana Pacers +6

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 7:30 ET on Monday, May 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-112 in favor of the Pacers.
  • Our projections have Pascal Siakam finishing with Pascal Siakam points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pacers finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.1% and knocking down 13 threes.

Indiana is coming off a 120-98 win over Milwaukee and closed out the series in six games. This win was at home, and they closed out the series 4-2. The over/under line for the game was 216.5 points, and the teams combined for 218 points.

Offensively, the Pacers shot 54.1% from the field and hit 13 threes. Obi Toppin led the team with 21 points and added eight rebounds. T.J. McConnell also had 20 points and added nine assists.

Jalen Brunson had a huge game for the Knicks, putting up 41 points and 12 assists. His 41 points led the team and he also hit three threes. Brunson's big game helped the Knicks close out their series vs. the 76ers, as they picked up a 118-115 win on the road. With the win, the Knicks won the series 4-2.

Overall, the Knicks hit 14 threes on 45.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Donte DiVincenzo hit five threes and finished with 23 points. OG Anunoby added 19 points and nine rebounds. As a team, the Knicks hit 46.2% of their shots from the field.

Can the Indiana Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Indiana's ATS record for the season is 47-39 after going 47-35 straight up. On the road, they are 23-20 ATS compared to 24-19 at home.

The Pacers have covered the spread in their last two road games and have an average scoring differential of -1.2 points per game on the road. Today, they are 6-point underdogs vs. the Knicks.

In terms of their O/U record, Indiana is 47-41 for the season. In 85 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than today's line of 217.5. The average O/U line in their games is 239.9 points.

Indiana's last game was a 120-98 win over the Bucks. They easily covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 216.5, and the teams combined for 218 points.

The Pacers are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 32-20 and 11-6 in their division.

Indiana is the NBA's top-scoring team this season, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 119.9 points per contest. The Pacers are also near the top of the league in pace, averaging 101.2 possessions per game.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 19.6 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 52% from the field. In these games, he averaged 8 rebounds and 4.6 assists. Myles Turner has also been shooting the ball well of late, averaging 19.6 points per game in his last five games. In these games, he hit 3 threes per game and shot 46.9% from downtown.

So far this season, the Pacers have been one of the worst defensive teams in the league, ranking 27th in points allowed per game at 119.6. Their defense has been equally bad on the road, where they are giving up 121.0 points per game. In their last five games, they have been slightly better, allowing 110.4 points per contest.

Despite their struggles on the defensive end, the Pacers have been excellent at defending the three-point line, ranking 1st in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.4%. Opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 84.1% of games vs. Indiana.

One area where the Pacers have struggled is at the free-throw line, as they are 30th in made free throws allowed per game at 25.6. In terms of fouls, Indiana is the league-leader in personal fouls per game.

Can the Knicks Deliver Being Favored at Home?

The Knicks have a record of 48-39 ATS this season, including going 23-21 ATS at home. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games. As the favorite, the Knicks are 29-20 ATS this season.

On average, the Knicks have outscored their opponents by 5.6 points per game at home. This season, they are 29-15 straight up at home. In the Eastern Conference, the Knicks are 2nd with a record of 50-32.

New York's O/U record for the season is 40-47-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today's O/U line of 217.5 is lower than their season average of 220.8.

In their most recent game, the Knicks defeated the 76ers by a score of 118-115. New York was a 3-point underdog heading into the game. The combined scoring total of 233 points was well above the O/U line of 202.5.

New York comes into the game as the league's lowest-paced team, averaging 94.8 possessions per game. Despite playing at a slow pace, they are 19th in scoring at 112.8 points per contest. For the season, they have hit 36% of their three-point attempts, which is 12th in the league.

Jalen Brunson has been playing well for the Mavericks, averaging 38.2 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 45% of his shots from the field. Over that stretch, Josh Hart has averaged 15.8 points and 12.2 rebounds. OG Anunoby has also averaged 15.8 points in his last five games, to go along with 7.4 rebounds.

At home this season, the Knicks have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, allowing just 105.3 points per game, which is 3rd in the league. Overall, New York is 4th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.2.

One area where the Knicks have been able to limit their opponents is from beyond the arc. On the season, New York has allowed opponents to shoot just 36.3% from three, which is 11th in the NBA. In terms of three-pointers made per game, the Knicks are 11th in the league at 12.6.

Over their last five games, the Knicks have been even better inside the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 48.9% on two-point attempts. However, New York has struggled to keep opponents off the free-throw line, giving up 20.8 made free-throws per game during that stretch.