The Cardinals and Cowboys are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cowboys will host the game at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, LA. This Southland conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and McNeese State is favored to win by -21.5 at home vs. Incarnate Word.


The Pick: Incarnate Word Cardinals +21.5

This game will be played at The Legacy Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Cowboys.
  • Even though we have McNeese State winning straight-up, we like Incarnate Word at +21.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Cardinals Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Incarnate Word has struggled on the road this season, going just 3-12, and they have lost two straight games on the road. The Cardinals are 5-14 as the underdog this season, and they are 21.5-point underdogs today.

Overall, Incarnate Word is just 8-18 this season, including a 3-9 record in Southland Conference play. In their last game, the Cardinals lost to Northwestern State, 81-61.

Incarnate Word's ATS record this season is 9-13-1, including a 5-9-1 mark on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Incarnate Word's over/under record this season is 12-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 150.1 points. Today's over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and their over/under record during this span is 1-2.

In their recent matchup, the Incarnate Word offense ended with 61 points against Northwestern State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.7% and made 4 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Alex Anderson with 20 points. Sky Wicks also added 9 points for the Cardinals.

Coming into today's game, the Incarnate Word defense is giving up an average of 77.9 points per contest. So far, the Incarnate Word defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15 times per game (712nd).

Does McNeese State Have What it Takes at Home?

McNeese State is a perfect 9-0 at home this season, and they have won their last ten games in front of their home fans. They are 16-1 when favored this season, and they are favored by 21.5 points against Incarnate Word.

Over their last five games, the Cowboys have gone 5-0, and they are 23-3 overall. They have a scoring differential of +17.1 points per game at home, and they have won their last four games.

When looking at McNeese State's ATS record this season, they have gone 13-9. At home, they are 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. Overall, their record vs. the spread when favored is 9-8.

This season, the over/under record for McNeese State games is 13-9, and today's over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.1). Currently, the over/under record in their last three games is 2-1, and the average scoring total in their last three games is 140 points.

The McNeese State offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Nicholls. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.9% and connected on 4 threes. On the offensive front, the Cowboys have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 38th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 34th in terms of percentage and 161st in three-pointers made.

McNeese State's defense has been playing well, ranking 4th nationally, with 60.8 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.4 threes per game vs. Incarnate Word. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.6%.