Looking to win big? The Redbirds and Sycamores face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Sycamores are hosting the game at Hulman Center in Terre Haute, IN. The over/under for this game is set at 143.5 points, and Indiana State is favored by -17.5 vs. Illinois State in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds +17.5

This game will be played at Hulman Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Sycamores.
  • Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Illinois State at +17.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Taking a Look at the Redbirds Chances on the Road

Illinois State enters this game as a 17.5-point underdog, and they have gone 4-9 as the underdog this season. The Redbirds are 11-14 overall and have lost three straight games.

Over their last ten road games, Illinois State has gone just 3-7, and they are 3-8 on the road this season. In their last game, the Redbirds lost to Southern Illinois by a score of 69-66.

Against the spread, Illinois State has gone 10-14 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-7. As the underdog, the Redbirds are 5-8 vs. the spread this year. Over their last three road games, Illinois State is 2-1 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 139.3 in Illinois State games this season. So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 127 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Illinois State offense tallied 66 points in a matchup against Southern Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 55.6%, and they made 5 threes. Coming into the game, the Redbirds offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 28%. On average, they get up 20.8 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14.4 made free-throws.

The Redbirds' defense is presently ranked 71st nationally, allowing an average of 67.6 points per contest. Against Southern Illinois in their most recent game, the Illinois State defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Southern Illinois to hit 50% of their shots.

Will Indiana State Make it Happen at Home?

Indiana State has been dominant at home this season, going a perfect 11-0. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 10-0, and their average margin of victory at home is +24.3 points per game. Overall, they have won nine straight games, and their record for the season is 22-3.

So far this season, Indiana State has been the favorite in 20 of their 25 games, and they are 20-0 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home is +24.3 points per game, and they are coming off a two-point win over Missouri State.

Indiana State has been a solid team against the spread this season with a 15-9 record. Their ATS mark at home is even better, going 9-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores are 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Indiana State's games this season (156.3). So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 149 points.

In their latest game, Indiana State offense put up 73 points against Missouri State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.8% and made 12 threes. Offensively, the Sycamores hold a season-long field goal percentage of 50%, placing them 16th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 36th in terms of percentage and 4th in three-pointers made.

The Sycamores' defense is presently ranked 163rd nationally, allowing an average of 71.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Illinois State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.3%.