Betting on today's Redbirds and Bruins game? Catch the action at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN, as the Bruins hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points, and the Bruins are favored to win at home vs. the Redbirds.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds +7

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Even though we have Belmont winning straight-up, we like Illinois State at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Redbirds Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Illinois State has struggled on the road this season, going just 1-5 away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -12.3 points per game, and they have lost their last two road games.

Overall, the Redbirds are 8-7 this season and have lost three straight games. In Missouri Valley Conference play, they are 2-2 compared to 6-5 in non-conference action.

Illinois State's ATS record this season is 6-8 and they are just 1-5 vs. the spread on the road. The Redbirds' ATS mark as the underdog is 2-5 and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Illinois State is just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Illinois State's games this season (140.9). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their over/under record for the season is 8-6.

In their recent matchup, the Illinois State offense ended with 64 points against Southern Illinois. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.1% and made 3 threes. The team's top scorer is Darius Burford, who enters today's matchup with an average of 13.1, while Dalton Banks also carries a PPG average of 10.7 into the game.

At present, the Redbirds' defense is nationally ranked 116th, allowing 69.3 points per game. Against Southern Illinois in their most recent game, the Illinois State defense gave up a total of 71 points while allowing Southern Illinois to hit 44% of their shots.

Can Belmont Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Belmont enters this game with a 10-5 record, including a perfect 5-0 mark at home. The Bruins are 5-1 when favored this season, and they are coming off an impressive 87-65 win over Drake.

On the year, Belmont has a +7.6 average scoring margin at home, compared to -3.9 on the road. The Bruins have won five straight games at home, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Belmont has struggled against the spread this season, going just 5-9. Their ATS mark is even worse at home, where they are just 1-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bruins are only 4-6 vs. the spread.

Belmont's over/under record for the season is 7-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 158.5. Today's over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (156). This season, 10 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 148.5 and eight of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

In their latest game, Belmont offense put up 87 points against Drake. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 57.1% and made 12 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Bruins offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 49%.

The Bruins' defense is presently ranked 263rd nationally, allowing an average of 77.8 points per contest. So far, the Belmont defense is giving up an average of 9.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (614th).