Betting on today's Fighting Illini and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on CBS. The over/under for this game is set at 146.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -3.5 vs. Illinois in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Michigan State Spartans -3.5

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Not only will Michigan State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Illinois Grab a Win on the Road?

Illinois is 17-5 this season, including a 7-3 record in Big Ten play. The Fighting Illini have won two straight games, and they are 4-3 on the road this season.

So far, Illinois has been the underdog in four games, going 2-2 in those contests. The team is 14-3 when favored, and they have been favored in 17 of their 22 games this season.

Illinois has been solid against the spread this season, going 11-8-2, but their road ATS record is even better at 5-1-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Fighting Illini have gone 7-2-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-3-1 in the last 10 contests.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 13-8 and the average over/under line in their games is 147 points. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line of 146.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

In their latest game, Illinois offense put up 87 points against Ohio State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 7 threes. Offensively, the Fighting Illini have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 121st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 179th in percentage and 100th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Fighting Illini's defense is nationally ranked 113rd, allowing 69.6 points per game. Illinois' defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Ohio State offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 75 points.

Taking a Look at the Spartans Chances at Home

Michigan State will be looking to bounce back after a tough loss to Minnesota, which dropped their overall record to 14-9. The Spartans have been dominant at home this season, going 13-4 with an average scoring margin of +15.2. They are also 12-5 when favored, and they have been favored in 17 of their 23 games.

On the other hand, Michigan State has struggled on the road, going just 1-5 with an average scoring margin of -6.7. They have lost their last two road games and are looking to avoid dropping three in a row.

Michigan State's ATS record this season is 13-10, and they have gone 11-6 against the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 7-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan State games is 10-13 and today's line of 146.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (141.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

Michigan State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 56 points against Minnesota. In that game, they made 7/18 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 44.7%. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 70th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 99th in terms of percentage and 254th in three-pointers made.

The Spartans' defense is presently ranked 31st nationally, allowing an average of 65.0 points per contest. The Michigan State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 59 points and allowed Minnesota to connect on 9 threes.