Newsletter

Some great players will be listed at some great salaries this week across the DFS landscape. The exclusivity of an Invitational event really limits the field and that is the case this week. Forty-five of the top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking are on hand and those players make up more than half of the field for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

We’ve got a lot of years of course data to look at for this event, but many of the top players in the field just returned to TPC Southwind last year because the event, which used to fall between much larger events, is now a large event of its own with a prize pool in excess of $10 million. When this was the FedEx St. Jude Classic, a lot of players skipped it. Now that it is what used to be the WGC-Bridgestone Invitationl, the bigger names are interested.

Salaries come from <a href="http://bangthebook.com/s/draftkings">DraftKings </a>as we try to isolate some good value picks in the field.

Matthew Wolff ($7,900) – This is typically higher than I like to go with the picks in the article, but Matthew Wolff is actually one of my outright picks from our full preview, so it would be silly not to includr him here. Wolff has three top-25 finishes in his last four events, including a runner-up finish a few weeks back in the Travelers Championship. Putting and play off the tee, specifically driving distance, are really helpful at this par 70 course coming in at well over 7,200 yards. Wolff putted well and struck the irons well last week at TPC Twin Cities and was sixth in SG: OTT in The Memorial Tournament. He’s a force to be reckoned with this week, despite the star-studded field.

Kevin Kisner ($7,000) – The prices start dropping pretty fast in a field like this. If putting is a big part of the equation again this year, and it should be with these massive green complexes, then Kevin Kisner should be right in the thick of things. Kisner was 27th last year in his first start at TPC Southwind in five years. Kisner is regularly among the better putters on the PGA Tour and even though he’s missed three of five cuts since the return, he was third in the Workday Charity Open, so he’s been able to put it together at least once in recent events. Kisner actually did not putt well in this event last year, but still made the cut and took home a nice pay day.

Ryan Palmer ($6,700) – According to DataGolf.com, the course profile fits that of Colonial Country Club. Driving distance is more important here than it is at Colonial, which could be what makes this difficult for Ryan Palmer, but he’s a member at Colonial and that could translate into some success here. Palmer was second two weeks ago in the Memorial, so he’s in pretty decent form. He was also eighth in the RBC Heritage. Palmer did not qualify for this event last year, but had made seven straight starts at this course, including a couple of top-five finishes. He’s a very low price, but not a bad gamble this week.

JT Poston ($6,500) – Can JT Poston snap out of it this week? Poston has missed three straight cuts since finishing eighth at the RBC Heritage and 10th at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Maybe a week off to clear his head will help. Poston is one of the stronger putters in this field, which could give him a leg up. Poston putted really well back in 2018 when he finished T-18 and ranked just slightly outside the top 20 in SG: Putting for that event. He clearly made some adjustments from his MC in 2017. With a week off to work on some things and a course where the flatstick comes in real handy, Poston is a decent grab at a deeply-discounted price.

Mackenzie Hughes ($6,400) – Your leader in SG: Putting at The Memorial Tournament was Mackenzie Hughes. Hughes also played exceptionally well in all facets at the Travelers Championship when he finished T-3rd. We’re talking about a couple of really good events for Hughes recently and the putter has been a big part of the equation. Putting will be at the forefront this week at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and a big putting effort from the Canadian will put him in the thick of things. Hughes has only started here once and missed the cut, so that is a concern, but he’s in some pretty great form right about now. Again, we’re just looking for upside in the event that you are running out of money after taking some of the top players and the flatstick is good enough to give Hughes a chance at a high finish.

Golf DFS Picks: The 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

BetDSI

Bookmaker

Bet US

BetOnline

Bovada

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Sycamores? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Indiana State as the -9.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 147.5 points.<h3>MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS INDIANA STATE SYCAMORES BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Missouri State Bears +9.5This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 1:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.<h3>WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Sycamores.</li><li>Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Missouri State at +9.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.</li></ul><h3>Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?</h3>The Missouri State Bears come into this game as underdogs, as they have been in 18 of their 32 games this season. Their record as underdogs is 6-12, and they are just 5-10 on the road this year. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Missouri State's average scoring margin on the road this year is -3.9 points per game. They are currently on a two-game win streak, and their overall record is 17-15. In their last game, they defeated Murray State by a score of 60-35.As the underdog, Missouri State has gone 8-9-1 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record is 6-8-1, but over their last 3 road games, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.This season, the over/under record for Missouri State games is 16-15, and today's line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.1). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 123 points.Compared to their season average of 71.6 points per game, Missouri State struggled in their previous game. Against Murray State, the Bears scored 60 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.7%. Alston Mason is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today's matchup with an average of 17.7. Meanwhile, Donovan Clay also brings a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.On defense, Missouri State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Missouri State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.1% this season.<h3>Can the Sycamores Live Up to the Hype at Home?</h3>Indiana State has been dominant at home this season, going 13-1 with an average scoring margin of +20.1 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Sycamores have gone 9-1.

For the season, Indiana State has been favored in 26 of their 31 games, going 24-2 in those contests. The Sycamores are coming off an 89-77 win over Murray State and have won four straight games.As the favorite, Indiana State has an ATS record of 16-9-1 this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.Indiana State's over/under record this season is 17-13 and today's over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (155.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points compared to their season average of 156.8 points per game.In their recent matchup, the Indiana State offense ended with 89 points against Murray State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 60.9% and made 11 threes. The top scorer for the Sycamores was Ryan Conwell with 24 points, while Robbie Avila also chipped in with 23 points.At present, the Sycamores' defense is nationally ranked 175th, allowing 72.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.4% this season.

Missouri State Bears vs Indiana State Sycamores Betting Pick & Prediction 3/8/24

Week 7 Sunday Night Football will see the Indianapolis Colts and San Francisco 49ers lock horns for the first time since 2017. Indy searches for its fifth consecutive victory over San Francisco, so we’re taking a closer look at this interconference showdown to get you the best Colts vs. 49ers betting pick and odds.



The Colts head to Levi’s Stadium as 4-point underdogs on <a href="https://www.bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker/">Bookmaker Sportsbook</a>. The Niners are -195 moneyline favorites with a total of 43.0 runs.&nbsp;



<h2>Indianapolis trounced Houston to get back on the right track</h2>



The Indianapolis Colts (2-4; 4-2 ATS) are coming off a 31-3 home victory to the Houston Texans this past Sunday. It was their second win in the last three outings along with a heart-breaking 31-25 overtime loss at the Baltimore Ravens.



The Colts had an easy job against the hapless Texans. They picked off Davis Mills twice while racking up 174 rushing yards (6.7 per carry). Jonathan Taylor went off for 145 yards and a couple of touchdowns on just 14 carries, whilst Carson Wentz completed 11 of his 20 passing attempts for 223 yards and two scores.



After a 0-3 start on the season, the Colts are back in the playoff chase. They are tallying 23.2 points per contest (19th in the league) on 124.2 rushing yards (11th) and 243.3 passing yards (15th). Indianapolis surrenders 21.8 points in a return (11th) on 111.0 rushing yards (14th) and 255.5 passing yards (20th).



<h2>San Francisco lost three straight contests</h2>



The San Francisco 49ers (2-3; 1-4 ATS) are coming off a bye and will start Jimmy Garoppolo under center. Garoppolo sat out Week 5 and a 17-10 defeat at the Arizona Cardinals, while rookie Trey Lance went 15-of-29 for 192 yards and an interception in his first start.



Lance also had 16 carries for 89 yards, leading the way for the injury-depleted San Francisco backfield. RB JaMycal Hasty will return for Sunday’s clash against the Colts, but Lance won’t be available due to a knee injury. Tackle Trent Williams is doubtful to play which is another problem for the Niners’ offense that already misses TE George Kittle, RB Raheem Mostert, and RB Jeff Wilson.&nbsp;



San Francisco ranks 17th in the league in points scored per game (23.4) and 12th in rushing yards (12th). Garoppolo hasn’t impressed through his four appearances this season, tossing for 925 yards, five touchdowns, and a couple of picks.



Trends:



Indianapolis:



<ul><li>4-1 ATS in the last five games overall</li><li>6-1 ATS in the last seven games against the NFC</li><li>5-2 ATS in the last seven games against San Francisco&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ul>



San Francisco:



<ul><li>1-4 ATS in the last five games overall</li><li>1-6 ATS in the last seven games played in Week 7&nbsp;</li><li>2-8 ATS in the last ten games at home</li></ul>



<h2 id="h-indianapolis-colts-vs-san-francisco-49ers-pick">Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick</h2>



This is a big game for both teams, so I’m expecting a hard-fought battle. Hereof, with four points on the table, I have to take the underdogs. I would feel more comfortable with a 7-point spread, so if you’re satisfied with slightly lower wages, buy a few points and go with the Colts.



We should see a back-and-forth battle between a couple of run-heavy teams. I would be surprised if someone wins by a comfortable margin. Four points are a tricky spread, and we all saw what happened with the Colts in Baltimore.



Pick: Take Indianapolis Colts +4.0 at -110&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;



The Total:



I’ve mentioned the Colts’ defensive stats, and the Niners’ numbers are similar. San Francisco allows 23.8 points on 113.2 rushing yards and 216.6 passing yards. Both teams are capable of playing tough defense and love to run the ball, so we shouldn’t see a firecracker.



On the other hand, the line is set pretty low, and I can see this clash finishing 24-21 or 23-20. The totals look like a tricky wager, and I’ll take the over only because of a possible dramatic finish. The over is 5-1 in the Colts’ last six outings on the road, and it is 4-2 in the Niners’ last six showings at home.



Pick: Go over 43.0 points at -110

Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds, Pick, Prediction 10/24/21

A big battle in the AAC takes place on Tuesday night between Houston and Tulsa. The Cougars look to be one of the top teams in the country this season, but they have not been tested a whole lot on the young year. We’ll see if their second true road game brings some challenges in this matchup against the Golden Hurricane.

Houston is favored by eight points with a total of 126.5 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betonline">BetOnline Sportsbook</a>. The side has inched up a little, while the total has come down a couple of points from the opener of 128.5. You can catch the underdogs at +280 on the money line or lay a juicy favorite price at -350.

Let’s take a look at this one and see what we can find for a side or total play.
<h3>Houston Cougars</h3>
Kelvin Sampson’s team is off to a 7-0 start that includes a win over Texas Tech and a win over a common opponent in South Carolina. To this point, though, Houston only has that one Quadrant 1 win and a couple of Quad 2 wins over Boise State at home and UCF on the road. Little road trips such as this are certainly interesting this season, as players are mostly confined to their rooms on the road and aren’t able to let off much steam because of COVID protocols.

The Cougars have won all but one of their seven games by 10 points, but are still only 5-2 against the spread. The first game against Lamar wound up not being posted across the market, but if it was at your sportsbook of choice, they covered with a 44-point win, so we’ll count that one, too.

Offensively, Houston has not shot the ball well. They are below 32% from distance and sit at just 48.2% on two-point shots. They are, however, at nearly 75% from the free throw line and rank sixth in the nation in OReb% at 40.1%. Second-chance points have assisted the offense tremendously, as they are shooting 64% near the rim. They are only shooting 35% on long twos and 31.9% from 3.

In other words, Houston has to be able to get to the rim and also get back a high percentage of misses to have offensive success. The Cougars struggled to do both against UCF last time out and were forced to win with defense, holding UCF to .853 points per possession.

The defense has been a great fallback this season. No opponent has managed more than .952 PPP and Texas Tech was even held to .801 in the 64-53 win. Houston fouls a lot, but opponents have not taken advantage, shooting just 63% from the free throw line. They could see some regression in that department that could be hurtful in terms of covering spreads. Houston’s free throw rate against ranks 326th in the nation per Bart Torvik.
<a href="http://bangthebook.com/s/betonline">CLAIM YOUR WELCOME BONUS FROM BETONLINE SPORTSBOOK</a>

<h3>Tulsa Golden Hurricane</h3>
Tulsa is one up and one down in conference play. The win was a good one on the road at Memphis, as Tulsa held the Tigers to .709 points per possession. Tulsa has also had a couple of really poor defensively performances in losses to TCU and Wichita State with 1.103 and 1.095 PPP allowed in those two games.

Tulsa opponents are only shooting 55% from the free throw line. As a team, Tulsa is only shooting 58.8%. There must be something about the rims in all of the venues in which they have played. Opponents are only shooting 42.1% on two-point shots, while Tulsa is shooting 54.9% as a team. They’ve also done an excellent job forcing turnovers with a 24.5% TO% on defense.

This is a Tulsa team that has been a bit inconsistent thus far. They had good offensive performances in the losses to TCU and Wichita State, but have also had some real clunkers. Defensively, they had the outlier performance against Memphis, but otherwise have been up and down.

You would expect to see that with a young team, but upperclassmen play the majority of the minutes. Sophomore Keyshawn Embery-Simpson plays about 60% of the minutes as a transfer from Arkansas, but he’s 26% from three and 8-of-17 from the line. The smart thing for Tulsa would be to get senior Darien Jackson in the offense more. He’s 19-of-25 on twos, but his usage rate is below 15%. He was a 59% shooter on twos last season.
<h3>Pick &amp; Analysis</h3>
The low-scoring expectation makes sense here, as these two teams are among the slowest in tempo in the nation. However, there could be a lot of free throws in this game. AAC officials seem to be pretty whistle-happy and both teams have some regression signs in that department. Tulsa should get better at shooting them and their opponents should also get better at shooting them.

Houston’s opponents won’t keep shooting as poorly as they have. Tulsa has had some issues on the defensive rebounding end, which could lead to some easy buckets for the Cougars.

I’ll go against the grain and look for an over here, as Houston’s defense should be in line for a bit of regression and this profiles as a game with a lot of free throws.
<h4>Pick: Over 126.5</h4>
<h2 style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://record.commissionkings.ag/_SwFIINNFoTmu11z-n_bVh2Nd7ZgqdRLk/1/">GET A 100% DEPOSIT MATCH BONUS FROM BETONLINE SPORTSBOOK</a></h2>

Houston vs. Tulsa College Basketball Free Pick & Prediction 12/29/20

BetDSI

Bookmaker

Bet US

BetOnline

Bovada