The Rockets and Heat are set to face off at 7:30 ET on BSSU. The Heat will host the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 219.5 points, and the Heat are favored to win at home against the Rockets.


The Pick: Houston Rockets +4.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, January 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-114 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with Jalen Green points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.1% and knocking down 11 threes.

Will Houston Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Heading into today's matchup vs. the Heat, the Rockets are the 4.5-point underdogs on the road. Before today's game, they are 18-16 and sit 8th in the Western Conference.

When playing outside of their division, Houston has gone 3-10 on the road compared to 4-6 in non-conference games. On the road, the Rockets have an average scoring margin of -5.3 points per game.

Against the spread, Houston is 6-6 on the road and 21-12 overall. The Rockets have gone 12-10 as the underdog this season.

In their 112-108 win over the Bucks, Houston fell short of the spread as 7-point underdogs. The game's over/under line was 237.5 points, and the teams combined to score 220. Houston's over/under record for the season is 14-20.

Looking at the Rockets' offensive numbers, they are averaging 112.5 points per game. In their last game, they finished with 112 points. Overall, the Rockets are shooting 46% from the field, which ranks 24th in the league. When it comes to three-pointers, they are 17th in makes and 14th in three-point percentage.

So far, the Rockets defense is giving up 109.9 points per contest, which has them sitting 2nd in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in four straight matchups. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Rockets are forcing 12.5 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 26th in blocked shots at 4 per game.

Do the Heat Have a Shot at a Home Win?

With an overall record of 20-15, the Heat will look to pick up a win at home today as 4.5-point favorites over the Rockets. If they are able to come through, they will also move above .500 against the spread at home, as they are currently 9-6 on average losing by 0.3 points per game at home.

In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are in 8th place and sit 2nd in the Southeast Division. Against other teams in the East, Miami has gone 15-10 compared to 5-5 in non-conference games.

So far, Miami has an over/under record of 16-19 for the season. Each of their last five games have finished below the OU lines for each of those games. Today's line of 219.5 is just below their average OU line of 222.5. For the season, 21 of their games have had higher OU lines than 219.5.

When playing at home, the Heat have put together two straight wins and have gone 9-6 for the season. They have managed to cover the spread in two straight home games as well and have an overall home ATS record of 5-10.

In their most recent game, the Heat scored 97 points against the Suns while shooting 41% from the field and hitting 10 three-pointers. On the season, the Heat are shooting 46% from the field which ranks 20th in the country. In terms of three-point percentage, the Heat are 2nd and are 15th in three-pointers made.

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 9th in the NBA by allowing 111.6 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.5 turnovers per game, ranking 8th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.2 blocked shots each game.