Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24
The Vikings are favored at -123 on the money line as they host the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites on the point spread. This week 17 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 48.5 points.
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Green Bay Packers +1.5
This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:
- We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 30 to 26
- Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points
Will The Packers Pick Up A Win On The Road?
With a 34-0 win over the Saints in week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4, putting them 2nd in our power rankings and giving them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have no chance of winning the NFC North, as they are 1-3 in division games and sit 3rd in the standings. Green Bay has won two straight, including a 17-point victory over the Seahawks in week 15.
Against the spread, the Packers are 8-6-1, with a +8.4 scoring margin. They have covered in two straight games, including a 34-point win over the Saints as 14-point favorites in week 16. The O/U line was 43.5, and the teams combined for 34 points, putting the under at 2-0 in Green Bay’s last two games.
Heading into week 17, the Packers are 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.5 points per game, and they rank 4th in total yards with 377.3 per game. Despite being 26th in passing attempts, they are 11th in passing yards, with 230.1 per game. On the ground, they rank 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, averaging 147.3 per game. Green Bay is 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.6% success rate.
Jordan Love has gone three straight games without an interception, posting a passer rating of 88 in week 16, with 182 yards and a touchdown. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing with 69 yards on 13 carries, while Jayden Reed had 76 receiving yards on 3 catches. Before Reed’s week 16 performance, Christian Watson had led the team in receiving for two straight games, but he is questionable for week 17 with a knee injury.
The Packers’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, pitching a shutout in a 34-0 win over the Saints. They allowed just 196 total yards and limited the Saints to 67 yards on 20 rushing attempts. In the passing game, the Packers gave up only 129 yards and held the Saints to a 50% completion rate. They also came away with one interception.
On third downs, the Packers allowed the Saints to convert just 36.4% of their chances. Green Bay’s defense also came up with three sacks and had three more quarterback hits than the Saints.
Will The Vikings Win At Home Over The Packers?
With an eight-game winning streak, the Vikings are now 13-2 this season, including a 7-1 record at home and 6-1 on the road. Minnesota has a 100% chance of making the playoffs but only a 23.7% chance of winning the NFC North, where they are 3-1. They rank 7th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 17.
Against the spread, the Vikings are 10-4-1, including three straight wins. In week 16, they covered as 2.5-point favorites, beating the Seahawks 27-24. The combined score of 51 points went over the 43-point line. Minnesota’s O/U record is 6-9 this season.
Heading into week 17, the Vikings’ offense ranks 10th in our power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.4 points per game, and 12th in total yards per game with 346.3. Minnesota has been strong in the passing game, ranking 8th with 235.3 yards per game on 30.9 attempts per contest. They are 18th in passing attempts. On the ground, the Vikings rank 17th in rushing yards per game, with 111.1, on 27.5 attempts per game. Minnesota has been excellent in the 1st quarter, leading the NFL in points scored.
Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, going 22/35 without an interception. Justin Jefferson had 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 67 yards on 18 carries. The Vikings struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 12 attempts, but they scored on both of their red zone trips.
In their 27-24 win over the Seahawks, the Vikings’ defense gave up 302 passing yards on 31 completions, but they did force two interceptions. Seattle managed only 59 rushing yards on 15 attempts. The Vikings allowed three passing touchdowns and gave up 361 total yards, but they held Seattle to a 20% third-down conversion rate. Minnesota’s defense also recorded two sacks and had a good day in terms of tackles for loss and QB hits.